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Dogs and Tigers the biggest movers, while Danger sweats on MRP

Mon, Jul 31, 9:15am by Head Editor

The Western Bulldogs Premiership defence is back on track after a 30-point win over the Bombers in one of the games of the season at Etihad Stadium on Sunday.

The Dogs third straight win was full of big moments, speed and goals, and sees them move to within percentage of the top eight, and shorten from $34 to $23, the biggest move of the round.

Richmond moved in from $15 to $12 following their 33-point win over the Suns on Saturday night. The Tigers were one of just three favourites to win and cover the line, in a weekend that saw three games decided by a goal or less, and a draw.

The draw involved the Premiership favourite, with the Crows escaping with two points from a game they trailed by 50 points in. An after the siren Mitch McGovern goal saw Adelaide snatch a draw.

They remain a game clear on top of the table, drifting from $3.40 to $3.50, but remain the favourite for the ultimate prize.

That MCG classic wasn’t the only one at the venue over the weekend, with the Hawks beating their rivals – the Swans – at the home of football two days earlier, by one straight kick.

The loss is a big blow to Sydney’s top four chances, and sees them drift from $5 to $8 for the flag. The winners are still a chance of being involved in September, sitting one and a half games outside the eight, their quote for the Premiership was slashed from $101 to $51.

Greater Western Sydney weren’t convincing against Fremantle, but did consolidate their spot inside the top four, with a 12-point win on Saturday.

The expansion club looked anything but Premiership contenders in the first three quarters, but steadied to kick five goals to two in the final term. They moved in slightly from $5.50 to $5.

Geelong also moved in, from $7.50 to $6, after they belted the Blues by 65 points at Etihad Stadium on Saturday night. Tom Hawkins was superb, kicking six goals, and while the win was never in doubt, the biggest talking point came early in the third quarter.

Brownlow medal favourite Patrick Dangerfield will come under scrutiny from the Match Review Panel for a tackle on Carlton’s Matthew Kruezer, which saw the ruckman take no further part in the game.

“Danger” has moved on from $2 to $2.25 to win the game’s biggest individual honour, with Richmond’s Dustin Martin is the new favourite, in from $2.10 to $1.60 after he racked up 34 touches, and kicked a goal in his side’s win on the Gold Coast.

Port Adelaide kicked two goals in the last 90 seconds of the game – with many of their fans having already left – to snatch a 2-point win over St Kilda. Robbie Gray kicked the winner, but the credit must go to ruckman Paddy Ryder, who’s brilliant tap gave Gray the space he needed, to sink the Saints.

The South Australian club moved into $9 from $11 for the Premiership after getting out of jail, while the Saints drift from $67 to $101.

North Melbourne won just their fifth game of the season, in yet another nail-biting finish against Melbourne. The 4-point loss leaves the Demons teetering on the edge of the top eight, and after they were the biggest mover in the right direction last week, they’re now out from $15 to $21.

Round 20 kicks off in Geelong, with a finals-shaping clash between the 2nd placed Cats ($1.72) and the 6th placed Swans ($2.13). The line is at 4.5 points for that one, which is the third shortest of the round.

The closest betting match in early markets is Sunday’s clash between the Saints ($1.87) and the Eagles ($1.93), while there’s also a tight contest predicted when the Tigers ($1.80) host the Hawks ($2.01) in a blockbuster at the MCG on the same day.

Sportsbet Markets

Round 20

Geelong $1.72 v Sydney $2.13 Line: 4.5
Greater Western Sydney $1.42 v Melbourne $2.89 Line: 16.5
Essendon $1.26 v Carlton $3.90 Line: 24.5
Brisbane $4.45 v Western Bulldogs $1.21 Line: 27.5
North Melbourne $2.64 v Collingwood $1.49 Line: 12.5
Fremantle $1.40 v Gold Coast $2.97 Line: 17.5
St Kilda $1.87 v West Coast $1.93 Line: 0.5
Richmond $1.80 v Hawthorn $2.01 Line: 2.5
Adelaide $1.54 v Port Adelaide $2.48 Line: 11.5


Adelaide $3.50

Greater Western Sydney $5

Geelong $6

Sydney $8

Port Adelaide $9

Richmond $12

Melbourne $21

Western Bulldogs $23

Essendon $23

West Coast $41

Hawthorn $51

St Kilda $101

Fremantle $501

Gold Coast $501

Collingwood $501

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