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Eels vs Titans Margin & Head to Head Bets

Sat, May 25, 1:11am by Rob Sheeley

Match: Parramatta Eels vs Gold Coast Titans – NRL Round 11
When/Where: 3:00pm Sunday, 26th May at Glen Willow Oval, Mudgee
AUD $100 Free Bet:

The Eels have elected to take this game to the country, Mudgee to be more specific. The fine wine producing district will be hoping to host some champagne rugby league this weekend.

Both teams in this match are coming of heavy defeats and will be keen to atone. The Eels return to their home ground which has been somewhat of a graveyard for more fancied teams this season. The Titans were criticised for their aggressive play last weekend and will look to get back to their best football here.

The Eels travelled to Wollongong last Saturday night and were outplayed by a slick Dragons outfit. They were behind from the outset and eventually went down by twenty points (32-12). All the Eels wins have been at home this year so by moving the game to Mudgee, they will miss a return to the scene of their three 2013 successes. The fourteenth placed Eels are $201 in premiership markets after ten rounds.

The Titans were accused of head hunting by Broncos coach Anthony Griffen last weekend, an accusation that left coach John Cartwright far from pleased. What would have left Cartwright less pleased was his sides twenty six point loss (32-6) to the Brisbane side. The Titans are currently clinging to eighth place on the competition ladder and are $81 to win the premiership.

  • The two teams have met 9 times. The Gold Coast has won 6, the Eels have won 3.
  • The Titans have won their last two matches against the Eels.
  • This will be both the Eels and the Titans first match at Glen Willow Oval.

Parramatta Eels Team & Form – LLLWL

Ricky Stuart has only made one change to his squad. The change was a forced one after young second-rower Kelepi Tanginoa who broke his hand last week. Matt Ryan returns to the starting side in his place, with Brayden Williame added to a five-man bench.

1. Jarryd Hayne (c)
2. Ken Sio
3. Api Pewhairangi
4. Jacob Loko
5. Vai Toutai
6. Luke Kelly
7. Chris Sandow
8. Tim Mannah
9. Matt Keating
10. Fuifui Moimoi
11. Reni Maitua (c)
12. Matt Ryan
13. Peni Terepo


14. Kaysa Pritchard
15. Junior Paulo
16. Joseph Paulo
17. Mitch Allgood
18. Brayden Wiliame

Parramatta EelsThe Eels met an in form Dragons down in Wollongong last weekend and were never really in the match. Despite some fantastic efforts by their skipper Jarryd Hayne, the Parramatta side trailed throughout and eventually went down 32-12.

The Eels showed fantastic tenacity a week earlier in Round 9 to hand a one point defeat to their much more fancied rivals, the Broncos. After starting in rapid fire fashion, the Eels out ten points on their opponents in the first seven minutes. From then on the Eels showed great enthusiasm and resilience to eventually hang on for a  victory by the narrowest of margins.

In Round 8, the Eels to almost pulled off an upset. Trailing by four points, the Eels went desperately close to scoring after the final siren that would have (at the very least) sent the game into golden point, if not given them victory. In the end it was a 14-10 loss to the Cowboys but a game that would have instilled more confidence then the week before.

In Round 7, the Eels were handed a massive defeat, this time at the hands of 250/1 premiership outsiders Penrith. Despite remaining somewhat competitive in the first half against the Panthers last Monday night, it turned out to be a grim evening for the blue and golds. Their defensive line resembled a sieve in the second half as the Panthers ran out 44-12 winners.

Last time the two sides met, back in Round 6, the Eels looked to have the match won before the Titans came home with a wet sail to steam roll them 28-22.

The Eels will be keen to out enthuse the inconsistent Titans here. Attitude is more than likely the factor that will win the game and Ricky Stuart is big on that.

Gold Coast Titans Team & Form – WLLWL

Winger David Mead will miss the game after breaking his jaw for the second time this year, meaning Anthony Don is back on the wing. Hooker Beau Falloon is also out with an ankle injury meaning Matt Srama rejoins the run-on side and Sam Irwin joins the bench. Dave Taylor was originally not named in the team as it looked as though he may miss up to three weeks for a high tackle, but Taylor successfully had his charge downgraded and is free to play this week, don’t be surprised if he makes a late appearance in the team.

1. William Zillman
2. Kevin Gordon
3. Brad Takairangi
4. Jamal Idris
5. Anthony Don
6. Aidan Sezer
7. Albert Kelly
8. Luke Bailey
9. Matt Srama
10. Nate Myles
11. Greg Bird
12. Mark Minichiello
13. Ashley Harrison


14. Luke Douglas
15. Mark Ioane
16. Ryan James
17. Sam Irwin
18. Luke O’Dwyer

Gold Coast TitansThe Titans came out in an aggressive frame of mind against their Queensland counterparts the Broncos last week. But despite them being obviously keen to upset their under staffed opponents, they were completely blown off the park.

A series of errors coupled with ill discipline saw three tries and three penalty goals scored against them in the first half which saw them trail 24-0 at the break.  Although they stayed much closer in the second half, the Titans were never a winning hope and went down by 32-6.

A week earlier, the Titans returned to the winners circle in Round 9 with a gripping one point win over the Dragons 15-14 on the Gold Coast. The Titans were boosted by the return of their representative lock Ashley Harrison. After kicking a field goal fifteen minutes from full time, the Gold Coast outfit staved off some desperate Dragons attacking raids to prevail.

In Round 8 the Titans travelled to New Zealand and failed by the narrowest of margins. After the Warriors skipped away from the Titans, they came back strong and only failed by one point (25-24). It was a fair effort given the players they had missing.

In Round 7 they suffered vital player losses during the match. Hooker Matt Srama suffered a compound fracture to his finger and Luke O’Dwyer fractured his cheekbone to name but two of many injuries. They fought hard but were no match for an energetic Knights outfit, losing 30-6.

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Last time the two sides met, back in Round 6, the Eels looked to have the match won before the Titans came home with a wet sail to steam roll them 28-22.

Consistency has been the Titans main issue this season. They have shown they can play well against the better teams but have also dished out a couple of horrid performances. If we see the real Titans this week they are every hope of winning.

Parramatta vs Gold Coast Match Strategy

Both of these sides have had matches where ill discipline and lack of enthusiasm has cost them dearly. With such an even matchup on paper it is these two factors that could well decide the game. Attitude can go a long way in rugby league, particularly in a game like this.

Jarryd Hayne’s form over the past few weeks has been scintillating. Last week he was almost a lone beacon for the Eels and he may well possess the propensity to inspire his team mates into action. The Parramatta side will be hoping that the “Hayne Plane” has contacted ground control for permission to lift off again this week.

Albert Kelly’s resurgence as an NRL top grader has been one of the feel good stories of 2013. Kelly’s career looked all but over in June last year after he had blown a lifeline handed to him by Wayne Bennett at Newcastle. He ended up in court after smashing a light at the Newcastle night club Fanny’s and was cut loose by the Knights. Possibly realising that his chance at the Titans was his last, Kelly has made every post a winner and we are finally seeing the player he had promised to be years ago. Expect him to be heavily involved in this match and play a key role.

Eels vs Titans Head to Head & Margin Odds, Free Betting Tips

With both teams looking to bounce back from humbling losses this game is anyone’s. The Eels have handed up home advantage from a ground they’ve had some success at this year which may even up the contest. I’m leaning to the Titans but not with any conviction. Titans by 4

Head to Head Betting Odds

Eels – $2.20
Titans – $1.70

Margin Betting Odds

Eels 1-12 – $3.85
Eels 13+ – $4.65
Titans 1-12 – $3.25
Titans 13+ – $3.30

Line Betting

Eels +2.5 – $1.91
Titans -2.5 – $1.91

With the head to head (H2H) market being so close for this match, there is relative value in backing the Titans to repeat their Round 6 performance and defeat the Eels at $1.70 with

The Margin of the Titans 1-12 at $3.25 is also a reasonable sort of price. I like Titans big man Anthony Don for the first scorer of the match at $11.

If you were to try the First Try Scorer/Margin bet of Anthony Don/Titans 1-12, it would yield you a tidy $34.

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