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EPL betting guide: finding winners in week 25

Fri, Feb 7, 1:56pm by Clarinda Campbell

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EPL week 25MANCHESTER City’s dominance at Etihad – and it’s hold over title favouritism – was bought down a notch last round, with Chelsea securing an upset win.

As a result, Arsenal retains the top spot, with a two point buffer. Liverpool meets Arsenal this week in the first match of the round. The Tottenham and Everton clash will be previewed as both teams need the win to stay in touch with the top four.

The best bet of this round is Manchester City to win, with three or four total goals in the match, which is currently paying $2.89 at www.IASbet.com

Liverpool ($2.10), Draw ($3.50), Arsenal ($3.40)

11:45pm (AEST), Saturday February 8 at Anfield

Liverpool could only manage a disappointing draw against West Brom, while Arsenal easily defeated Crystal Palace 2-0. Arsenal has won three of its last four against Liverpool and it was a 2-0 result to Arsenal when the sides last met this season.

Liverpool has 10 wins at Anfield this season and has not lost at home since September last year. Arsenal is one of the best away teams in the competition, currently sharing top honours with Tottenham.

This will be a blockbuster match but the injuries both sides have suffered in recent weeks may tell on the result. Liverpool is down on defenders and Arsenal’s key midfielders have also failed to escape the injury curse. Liverpool is very good at home so it is too hard to tip against them here.

Arsenal has returned to the top of the competition ladder after Manchester City’s loss to Chelsea last round. Liverpool is in fourth position. Arsenal is $5.50 to win the competition and Liverpool is $23 in the same market. Liverpool is $1.57 to finish in the top four.

Aston Villa ($2.05), Draw ($3.40), West Ham ($3.75)

2:00am (AEST), Sunday February 9 at Villa Park

Aston Villa suffered a 2-1 loss last week at the hands of Everton. West Ham secured a vital 2-0 win over Swansea. The sides played out a draw when they met earlier this season. Prior to that, Aston Villa had won three of the last four clashes between the two teams.

Aston Villa’s home form continues to be a worry. It has only managed three wins for the Villa Park faithful and lost seven. West Ham has not achieved much better figures on the road, only winning two. West Ham will be buoyed by its victory last week and a draw is the prediction for this one.

Aston Villa is faring much better then its opponent on the ladder, currently sitting in 10th position. West Ham is looking perilous in the relegation stakes in 18th.

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Chelsea ($1.25), Draw ($6), Newcastle ($11)

2:00am (AEST), Sunday February 9 at Stamford Bridge

Chelsea knocked off Manchester City at Etihad Stadium, which was a massive accomplishment given City’s dominance at home. Newcastle was embarrassingly defeated 3-0 by Sunderland and has only managed the one win in its last six starts. Newcastle has had the wood on Chelsea recently though, winning its last two matches against the Blues.

Chelsea has not dropped a game at home this season, winning 10 and drawing two. Newcastle has a fairly even away record, winning six, drawing one and losing five. Chelsea proved its quality with its win against Manchester City. When you consider they are now facing a team that convincingly lost to Sunderland last week, its easy to see why Chelsea is my tip.

Chelsea is still fighting tooth and nail for the premiership in third, just two points behind Arsenal. Newcastle is in eighth and its top six chances are slowly slipping. Chelsea is on the second line of premiership betting at $3.10.

Crystal Palace ($2.50), Draw ($3.25), West Brom ($2.90)

2:00am (AEST), Sunday February 9 at Selhurst Park

Crystal Palace has opened up slight favourites in head-to-head betting, just ahead of West Brom. As expected, Crystal Palace suffered a loss against Arsenal last round. West Brom drew with Liverpool. There has been a draw three times as a result of the last five matches between the two teams.

Both teams have had a pretty ordinary season with Crystal Palace slowly heading closer to the relegation zone in 17th. West Brom isn’t too far behind in 16th and on the same points as Crystal Palace. To say both teams need a win here is an understatement. Crystal Palace has won its last two at home but I think the draw looks the best bet.

Norwich ($9), Draw ($5), Manchester City ($1.33)

2:00am (AEST), Sunday February 9 at Carrow Road

Manchester City will be reeling from its loss last week so expect them to come out all guns blazing against the 15th placed Norwich. Manchester City flogged Norwich 7-0 the last time these two sides met this season. With a home record that isn’t too flash, expect Norwich to go down with a loss again.

At odds of $1.33, Manchester City presents a healthy option for multi bets. The second-placed team is currently the $2 favourite at www.IASbet.com to win the competition outright.

Southampton ($1.53), Draw ($3.90), Stoke City ($7)

2:00am (AEST), Sunday February 9 at St Mary’s Stadium

Southampton is slowly returning to some half decent form after switching off for a number of weeks. In its last four matches it has won two and drawn two, bringing to an end a period of losses. Stoke pulled off an upset win over Manchester United at home last week.

These two sides know how to play out a draw, with the last three matches played resulting in a draw. However, Stoke is the worst away team in the competition so far this season with the one paltry win and nine losses. It has not won on the road since August last year.

Stoke will need to draw on all that post match elation from the win over United in order to counter its poor away record here against Southampton. The best it can hope for is a draw, which is the prediction for this match.

Southampton remains in the top 10 in ninth positions and Stoke is in 11th, three points clear of the relegation zone.

Sunderland ($2.10), Draw ($3.25), Hull ($3.75)

2:00am (AEST), Sunday  February 9 at Stadium of Light

Sunderland’s recent form has been great, winning three of its last four including a dominant 3-0 win against Newcastle last round. Hull was able to draw with Tottenham last round but prior to that, had lost its last four.

Sunderland is one of the worst home teams this year, winning just three and losing seven at the Stadium of Light. Hull is even worse away, not winning since September last year. Sunderland has won six of the last seven matches between the two sides but it was Hull that got the honours earlier this season with a 1-0 win. Considering Sunderland’s most recent form, I am tipping it for the win.

Sunderland and Hull are next to each other on the ladder, with the former in 14th and the latter 13th. They are on an even number of points so naturally, a win for either side would assist their chances of steering clear of relegation. Sunderland is $3.75 in relegation betting and Hull is $4.50.

Swansea ($1.80) Draw ($3.60) Cardiff ($4.50)

4:30am (AEST), Sunday 9 February 2014 at Liberty Stadium

Swansea beat Fulham 2-0 last week and Cardiff finally broke its string of losses, beating Norwich 2-1.Cardiff has won three of the last five matches including a 1-0 win earlier this season.

Neither side has notable home or away records however it is noted that Cardiff has lost its last five on the trot away and for that reason I am tipping Swansea.

Swansea is in 12th and Cardiff is battling to get clear of the relegation zone, currently in 19th. Swansea is $7.50 and Cardiff is $2.30 in relegation betting.

Tottenham ($2.10), Draw ($3.40), Everton ($3.50)

12:30am (AEST), Monday  February 10 at White Hart Lane

This match will be subject to a further preview.

Tottenham is in sixth spot and Everton is in fifth. With just one point separating these two teams, this will be an important match. Tottenham is $3.75 to finish the season in the top four and Everton is $5.50 in the same market. Tottenham is $1.30 to finish in the top six and Everton is $1.40 for the same result.

Manchester United ($1.22), Draw ($6.50), Fulham ($13.00)

3:00am (AEST), Monday February 10  at Old Trafford

Fulham has lost nine of its last 11 matches away. Expect to see that number change to ten away losses after this match. Fulham has been average at best this season and currently languishes in last position. Manchester United is in seventh position and needs these three points to edge closer to a top six finish after an unexpected loss to Stoke last round. Considering that United has won seven of the last eight matches including a 3-1 win earlier this season, it is clear that it is the tip to win this.

Manchester United is $3.75 with IASbet.com to finish the season in the top four. Fulham is $1.40 in the relegation betting market.


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