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EPL week 9 – Chelsea vs Manchester City

Fri, Oct 25, 5:31pm by Clarinda Campbell

Match: Chelsea ($2.37) Draw ($3.25) Manchester City ($3.10) – EPL Week 9
When/Where: 3:00am (AEST), Monday 28 October 2013 at Stamford Bridge
Bet on Chelsea vs Manchester City: IASbet.com

Premier League
Chelsea can establish itself as the favourite to win the English Premier League if the Blues defeat Manchester City this week.

Both teams were convincing winners last round with Chelsea defeating relegation-bound Cardiff, 4-1 and Manchester City defeating West Ham 3-1. It should be a highly-entertaining match and the bevvy of betting markets makes for interesting punting too.

Key Stats

  • Manchester City defeated Chelsea the last time they met in a Premier League match (February 2013). The score was 2-0.
  • From its last ten Premier League meetings, Manchester City has won five and Chelsea has won four with one draw.
  • Chelsea has won eleven of its last twelve home games in the EPL. It has scored two or more goals in nine of those matches.
  • Chelsea has scored fourteen goals and only allowed five goals after eight games this season. It has dominated possession with a 56% average and has an 84% pass success rate. Chelsea lead the league in shots on goal (18.3 per game) and average 1.8 goals per game for a 9% conversion rate.
  • Manchester City has scored at least two goals in nine of its last ten EPL matches. It has a league-high 18 goals scored while allowing nine. Its conversion rate of 16% also leads the league, along with their 2.5 goals per game from 15.6 shots average. City average 59% in possession and convert 86% of their passes successfully.
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Chelsea vs Manchester City Prediction

Fernando Torres looms as Chelsea’s main weapon for the clash against Manchester City. Torres was instrumental in Chelsea’s 3-0 win over German side Schalke in the Champions League last week. The win extended Chelsea’s unbeaten run to seven games. On the other side of the pitch, Manchester City striker Sergio Aguero will need to have his influence curbed if Chelsea are to win.

After looking at the key statistics for the match, there is no doubt that both teams will play aggressively in what looms as a high-scoring affair. I like Chelsea’s record at home and they have a very good form line coming into this match, so I am tipping them for the win.

Head to Head Betting Odds & Free Tips

Chelsea Head to Head: $2.37 @ IASbet.com
Manchester City Head to Head: $3.25
Draw: $3.10

When matched against each other, these two sides rarely play a draw. I will be placing money on Chelsea in this H2H market, especially when you can still get better than even money.

Over/Under

Under 0.5 Goals: $11.20
Over 0.5 Goals: $1.03
Under 1.5 Goals: $4.00
Over 1.5 Goals: $1.22
Under 2.5 Goals: $2.01
Over 2.5 Goals: $1.74 @ IASbet.com
Under 3.5 Goals: $1.38
Over 3.5 Goals: $2.91
Under 4.5 Goals: $1.14
Over 4.5 Goals: $5.20

Both teams average close to two or more goals per game this season. I’ve gone with the “over 2.5 goals” in this over/under betting market based on those statistics.

Both Teams to Score

Yes: $1.57 @ IASbet.com
No: $2.30

I like this market as you can get pretty good odds for both teams to score. There should be goals scored in this match from both teams so it looks a safe bet.

Anytime Goalscorer

F Torres: $2.75
S Augero: $2.50

Torres and Augero both feature in this preview and a little money on each to score won’t go astray. Augero is favoured more slightly in betting but is still great value at $2.50. There is also another interesting bet to be had, which is for Torres to score in 90 minutes and Chelsea to win, which is paying $4.50.


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