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Flemington and Moonee Valley – Preview, Odds and Best Bet

Fri, Mar 16, 10:48am by Staff Writer

Melbourne racing is back at Flemington for the third week in a row, and backs up after a controversial meeting last Saturday where there was a strong bias to horses on the inside. The track moves from four-metres to seven-metres with a good track expected.

The Group 2 Blamey Stakes (1600m) is the feature of the day with only six acceptors in the race. Darren Weir won the Blamey last year with Palentino and this year he saddles up Tosen Stardom ($2.25) and Humidor ($2.50). A dual Group 1 winner of the spring, Tosen Stardom was disappointing when eleventh of 13 in the G1 CF Orr (1400m) at his first run this prep. He returned to form at his most recent run though when runner-up to Brave Smash in the G1 Futurity (1400m) – that form reading well after Brave Smash ran second in the G1 Newmarket (1200m) last week.

Humidor ran fourth in the Futurity making good ground late with two wins at the track and three at the distance certainly putting him into mix here. He won the G1 Makybe Diva at this track and distance during the spring, albeit when third-up.

Hellova Street ($8.50) is a seven-year-old gelding trained in Tasmania and he’s eyeing off three straight victories, with three wins and five starts from his eight runs this campaign. In fact, he’s won 16 from 37 overall with a further 15 minors – and he’s two wins from three at Flemington.

Odeon ($9) has a solid record of six wins from 18 starts and he’s also second-up, likewise the outsiders of the small field Cool Chap ($16) and Radipole ($18).

Friday night racing is at Moonee Valley with the G2 Alister Clark Stakes (2040m) for three-year-olds, the main event. Cliff’s Edge ($2) is favourite for the race and he’s fourth-up after a last start seventh of 16 in the G1 Australian Guineas (1600m). He was a winner first-up over the unsuitable distance of 1200m and then ran second to the eventual Guineas winner (Grunt) at his next start. Last time he raced over this track and distance he was second – beaten 3.5L – by Aloisia in the G2 Moonee Valley Vase (2040m).

Astoria ($4.50) only has the two wins from his 11 career starts but he did win a G3 Spring Stakes (1600m) at Newcastle last spring and he has been placed at both his Caulfield runs this time in. Levendi ($11) was supported in early all-in betting for the race and he’s third-up, most recently finishing at the tail of the Australian Guineas.

Trent Busuttin and Natalie Young saddle up Salsamor ($8) and the lightly raced Belfast ($13). Salsamor – also accepted for Sydney on Saturday – has just the one win from eight starts but he’s only missed the place on two occasions and he was third behind Aloisia and Cliff’s Edge in the Vase although beaten out of sight by 9L. Belfast won his first two career starts with a second and fourth at his past two runs, most recently in the G3 Autumn Classic (1800m).

Suggested Bet: Well done to those quick enough to grab as much as $2.30 on offer for Cliff’s Edge (Moonee Valley, race 7, number 1). He’s now into even money and even that looks good value as all things being equal, he looks well placed here. He’s drawn well, he’s racing well enough in better grade and at set weights he should prove too good.

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