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Flemington Saturday January 20 – Preview, Best Bets and Odds

Thu, Jan 18, 2:31pm by Staff Writer

Melbourne racing is at Flemington on Saturday where the rail is out nine-metres and with hot weather leading into race day, the track will be good.

A field of eight will line up in the Listed Kensington Stakes (1000m) with four of the eight first-up from a break. Ellerton/Zahra will saddle up three including top weight Flamberge ($7). He’s been out of the winners circle since March 2016 but has contested better class races than this and he did finish fourth in this race last year beaten just over a length. He’s first-up since March with four wins and three minors from nine first-up attempts. Stable mate Amber Sky ($4.60) makes his Australian debut with seven wins from his 28 starts, predominately in Hong Kong – his latest effort when third to Mr Stunning while Rock ‘N’ Gold ($18) is the third of the Price runners and the outsider of the field.

Lord of the Sky ($6) surprised a few when he won the G3 Standish (1200m) on New Year’s Day when just nosing out Flippant in a photo-finish. A little maligned, he has won seven from 28 himself – with a further five minor placings – plus he’s got a win in stakes grade and a couple of Group 1 seconds. Saracino ($6.50) has won the G2 Danehill (1200m) over this track and distance, and he’s first-up since finishing last in the G2 Bobbie Lewis (1200m) during the spring. Thermal Current’s ($4.40) last win was nearly a year ago but he’s racing consistently, not finishing further back than fourth from his four runs this prep. Husson Eagle ($5.50) is first-up – and a winner of three of five when fresh while It’z Invincible ($9.50) makes his Victorian debut with six wins coming from his 14 starts in South Australia, and he’s never finished out of the top three in his career.

Nature Strip ($1.45) caught the eye with a big 5.5L win during the midweek’s at Sandown and he’s a short odds-on favourite for the Inglis Dash (1100m) for three-year-olds. He’s won three from four with both his latest wins being by 5.5L and many think he is a Group winner in the making.

Onehundred Percent ($10) has won three of his four starts, his latest at Caulfield on Boxing Day. Prezado ($6) is first-up since breaking his maiden at Flemington on Melbourne Cup Day while Mick Price saddles up fillies Teleplay ($23) and See Me Exceed ($13).

The final race of the day is a BM84 over 1400m and an even affair to round out the day.

Wise Hero ($4) has won four from eight career starts with a further three minors, two of his placings where when beaten in photo-finishes at two of his last three runs. Malaise ($4.20) is down from Sydney and comes into this off a strong Canterbury win at his most recent run. Toy Boy ($6) has won two of his past three with a last start sixth of 12 behind Lord of the Sky in the Standish.

Star Sealer ($5.50) comes into this off an easy kill at Kilmore. The Avenger ($7.50) is a last start Caulfield winner. Simply Splashing ($21) was eleventh of 14 in that race but won two before that with two close seconds prior while Curragh ($13) is first-up for the Busuttin/Young team.

Suggested Bet: Hoping Civil Obedience ($2.30, race 3, number 1) can continue on his winning way and make it three-in-a-row, and four from his last five. He beat stable mate Last Week on New Year’s Day who runs in the race before so that will provide a good guide, and even though he does have to carry top weight from a wide draw he looks hard to beat.


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