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Flemington Saturday November 4 – Preview, Best Bets and Odds

Fri, Nov 3, 8:14am by Staff Writer

Day one of the Flemington carnival commences on Saturday in what many purists believe is the best day of racing on the Australian Calendar. The rail is in the true and with only a drop of rain forecast, the track will be in the good range.

A capacity field of 16 three-year-olds will line up in the Group 1 Derby (2500m) with no fillies amongst the boys. A winner of three from 11 career starts, Ace High ($5) has won his past two including a last start Group 1 Champion Stakes (2000m) at Randwick. He held out a fast-finishing Tangled ($6.50) on that occasion who has been runner-up at his past two runs, most recently when second to Cliff’s Edge in the Group 3 Norm Robinson (2000m).

Main Stage ($6.50) absolutely rattled home to win the Listed UCI Stakes (1800m) at Flemington two starts back beating Cliff’s Edge and he was third to Cliff’s Edge and Tangled last start at Caulfield. His stable mate, Sully ($7.50) has finished behind Ace High at his last two runs but was strong late in the Champion Stakes while Johnny Vinko ($26) and Beachwood ($101) are also amongst acceptances for Trent Busuttin and Natalie Young – Beachwood is the emergency of the race. Weather with You ($7) broke his maiden status when taking out the Listed Geelong Classic (2200m) with Ocean’s Fourteen ($13) and Astoria ($9.50) – who filled the minors in that race – also lining up here.

The Group 1 Myer Classic (1600m) is a typically open affair for the fillies and mares with Global Glamour ($5) attracting early support during the week and, she and Shoals ($4.80) are fighting out favouritism for the race. Global Glamour returned from her autumn break with a win in the Group 2 Tristarc (1400m) and she’s already a multiple Group 1 winner. Her stable mate Prompt Response ($17) is a consistent mare that finds it hard to break through for a win with three victories and nine minor placings highlighting that while Shoals will carry 50kg and she is the lone filly in the race.

Dixie Blossoms ($11) and Daysee Doom ($23) fought out the G3 Angst (1600m) two starts back before dropping back to the 1200m of the G3 Nivison which kept them ticking over for this. Amazingly the stable mates have finished alongside each other at their past three starts.

French Emotion ($41) went within a whisker of winning this race last year while her stable mate Foxplay ($7.50) opened favourite for the race in some markets but has drifted slightly. Shillelagh ($9.50) is the third of Chris Waller’s runners and she was backed at big odds in all-in markets although she is fourth emergency and unlikely to gain a start.

Cool Passion ($26) split Global Glamour and Shillelagh last start after a G3 win at Caulfield prior. Heaven’s Above ($17), Silent Sedition ($8) and Danish Twist ($34) ran the trifecta in the Group 1 Coolmore (1500m) of the autumn while I Am a Star ($23) took out this event last year.

It’s $7 the field in the Group 1 Coolmore (1200m) for three-year-olds with 20 runners to tackle the famous Flemington straight. Viridine ($7) holds slight favouritism over the fillies Catchy ($8) and Invincible Star ($9) while Group 1 Golden Rose (1400m) winner Trapeze Artist ($8) is there as well. Stable mate to the favourite – Kementari ($12) – drops back from the 1600m of the G1 Caulfield Guineas where he was runner-up.

Tosen Stardom ($5.50) broke his Australian duck last start when taking out the G1 Toorak (1600m) at Caulfield and he’s at the top of betting in another wide race for the punters – the Group 1 Kennedy Mile (1600m). He’s one of two runners for DK Weir with Hayes/Daberning also with two in the race while Chris Waller takes up a remarkable six spots. So Si Bon ($19) has been specked at long odds while Sense of Occasion ($34) will enjoy any give in the ground.

Suggested Bet: It took him seven starts in a period spanning over a year but Tosen Stardom (race eight, number 1) finally broke through for his first win in Australia – and in a G1 no less. He’s giving some handy horses plenty of weight but he’s a high quality galloper so let’s hope he can go back-to-back. We’ll be taking the $5.50.

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