Fri, Jun 13, 2:08pm by Daryl Curnow
Where: Flemington, Melbourne.
When: Saturday, June 14. First race starts at 12.20pm.
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Callahan was a nice debut winner for trainer Mark Kavanagh and he has been elected as the $2.70 favourite after opening at $2.50. The two-year-old only narrowly scored at Seymour but Glen Boss retains the ride and that means he’s confident of another win. He is by Street Sense and they are running well at the moment. Not a lot of exposed form so his chances look bright again.
Roundabout has had two career starts for Peter Moody and he’s getting better with every starts. The I Am Invincible colt finished third on debut before finishing two lengths behind Puzzle at Sale. That form looks solid for this and the rise in distance should suit. Good draw and jockey helps with his chances.
Vuelta finished 3.5 lengths from the winner on debut but he did ran second in that race. The well bred colt by High Chaparral is trained by David Hayes and he has been kept safe in the betting at $4.80 after opening at $5. There isn’t much depth to this field so he’s a chance on that.
Selection: Callahan to win ($2.70) at IASbet.com
A small but tough field assembles here with Nearest To Pin the opening $4.40 favourite. The four-year-old is in good form and he won last start in Adelaide. He’s a seven-win gelding who only has to carry 54.5kg and that makes him tough to beat. He finished under four lengths behind Essay Raider in a Group Three event and that’s great form for an even race like this.
Doubtfilly arrives from Queensland with a last start eighth in the Group Two QTC Cup. The four-year-old’s form prior was good which featured two placings in listed company and this is his preferred distance. The Danny O’Brien-trained mare is unbeaten on a dead track – three from three – and Glen Boss rides with only 54kg, making her a serious chance down at the weights.
General Truce is fresh up where he has won twice and placed five times from nine starts. The Ricky Maund-trained gelding is searching for his 10th win and his last two runs have come in Group One’s. This isn’t anything close to that and if he’s ready to fire he will be tough to hold out. Jordan Childs take 3kg off his back and that will help. Has won four times on this track with one coming at the sprinting distance.
Selection: General Truce/Nearest To Pin quinella at Sportingbet.com.au
The top weighted Written is the current $3.90 favourite after opening at $3.70. The three-year-old filly will have to carry 56kg after Jackie Berriman’s allowance and she’s never won or placed when fresh. The Michael Kent-trained filly last ran in the $250,000 VGold Reef and this is much easier than that. If she can find form quickly she should run well but those fresh stats are a worry.
Good Music finished second at her only start at 1400 metres and she will appreciate the rise in distance. The Shane Fliedner-trained three-year-old has drawn wide for this but she usually drops back and flashes home late. She has had two runs in this campaign so fitness isn’t an issue and the daughter of Primus should run well.
Fantome Gris wasn’t disgraced when running fifth last time out and she put back-to-back wins together earlier this campaign. The Sebring filly had won and placed at the distance and she was good enough to run sixth in the Group Two Moonee Valley Classic last year. Good draw and she should be prominent throughout.
Selection: Good Music to win ($4.80) at Sportingbet.com.au (better than $4.50 elsewhere)
The stayers go at it here with the former Kiwi runner Sacred Flyer opening as the short $2.35 favourite after opening at $2.70. The Chris Waller-trained gelding is lightly tried but her run for second last time out was good. It looks as though the distance will suit and he is bred to see it out. He wouldn’t mind some cut out of the track but his chances appear bright regardless.
Permit is struggling to find his best form with his last start sixth only fair. The Chris Waller-trained gelding surprisingly won five starts back at Randwick but he followed that up with a last. The son of Dansili has won in excess of $500,000 so you can’t count him out, but he will need to improve as he’s never won or placed in three starts at Flemington.
Zabeelionaire is only a three-win horse but he has always been a solid staying chance. The Leon Corstens-trained five-year-old ran second in the Listed Port Adelaide Cup two starts back and ran just ok for fifth last time out. He hasn’t done much at Flemington but the track does suit his long winding style and he shouldn’t be overlooked in an average affair.
Selection: Sacred Flyer to win ($2.35) at Centrebet.com
Henwood has very good stats of six wins from 19 starts including seven placings. The John Sadler-trained gelding was a strong rating 96 winner last time out – winning by a length over a decent horse in Tried And Tired. The son of Savabeel hasn’t put a foot wrong this campaign and he’s getting better with every run. His best surface is slow where he’s won three from five with two placings and this race looks well within his reach. He opened at $4 and has been specked into $3.90.
Limes was a good last start winner on this track for trainer John O’Shea and he finished second in two listed events earlier this year. The four-year-old will have to carry the top weight of 60kg but he hasn’t carried anything less than 58.5kg this season so it shouldn’t bother him. The son of Commands enjoys this course and the distance and $8 looks like good value.
Pillar Of Creation has drawn very wide in barrier 15 but he has the ability to drop back or roll forward. The four-year-old was a touch unlucky to run second last time out and he’s got a fair amount of ability. He has placed on four occasions at Flemington and his odds of $14 doesn’t justify his talent.
Selection: Pillar Of Creation to place ($3.90) at IASbet.com
West Africa was outstanding on debut when winning at Kilmore by nine lengths. However, the Mark Kavanagh-trained colt then finished a lousy fourth as a $1.40 shot next time to the races. The three-year-old has extreme ability but there are questions as to why he was so poor last start. He opened at $2.90 for this and has since drifted out to $3.30 which isn’t a confidence booster. It’s hard not to put a potential superstar on top so we’ll give him another chance.
Peter Moody trains Il Cavallo who either wins or misses a place. The son of Choisir has had seven career starts for two wins and no placings, with a win coming last time out at Sandown. The three-year-old won on debut and had huge wraps put on it. He will have to carry 59.5kg here which is tough but he has a fair amount of ability and should be respected.
Bring A Ring is fresh up for Tony McEvoy after finishing last in the Magic Millions last campaign. The Sebring filly had a solid campaign which featured a win and a placing but she looked out of her grade last time out and she will find this slightly easier. Her fresh up stats read well – three starts for two wins – and Kayla Nisbet takes her weight down to a respectable 57kg.
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