Tue, Apr 18, 9:44am by Head Editor
Punters had a much better fourth round with the favourites winning in seven of the nine matches.
The biggest of the two underdogs to win was Fremantle, who stunned the Demons by two points in a thrilling contest at the MCG on Saturday.
Melbourne led by 27 points just before half-time only to be overrun by the Dockers in the second half. A Cam McCarthy goal will under two minutes on the clock proved to be the winner for the $3.18 underdog.
The round started way back on Thursday night when West Coast ensured Sydney remained winless after four weeks of the season. Last season’s runners-up must make history if they are to turn it around as no club has made the top eight after starting the year 0-4.
The first ever Good Friday match was played in front of more than 42,000 at Etihad Stadium, and was a great advertisement for the game, with Lindsay Thomas missing a shot at goal with five seconds remaining that would have stolen the game for North Melbourne.
The three-point win gives the reigning Premier – Western Bulldogs – a 3-1 start, and sets up their season nicely. They remain on the third line of betting for back-to-back flags at $7.
On Saturday afternoon, the Giants firmed even further into Premiership favouritism ($4.25) after disposing of Port Adelaide by 31 points. Jonathon Patton kicked six goals for the winners.
Half an hour after the Giants cruised home, the team that are just behind them in Premiership betting – Adelaide – started their demolition job of the Bombers.
The 65-point win was never in doubt, and sees the pride of South Australia move into $4.50 from $5.50 for their first Premiership since 1998.
On the same night, Gold Coast won their second game in a row, over the Blues at Etihad Stadium by 26 points. Gold Coast co-captain Tom Lynch was the difference between the two sides, kicking seven goals straight from his 19 disposals.
At the same venue on Sunday, the Saints upset the Pies by 14 points in a scrappy affair that never reached any great heights. The pressure continues to build on Nathan Buckley’s charges, who have now been backed into $1.25 to miss the finals.
Later on Sunday, Richmond continued their dream start to the season, smashing the Lions by 52 points at the Gabba.
Their fourth win from as many games is their best start to a season for 22 years and has seen their Premiership quote come into $21 for the pre-season mark of $42.
The traditional Easter Monday blockbuster between Hawthorn and Geelong saw the Hawks’ season slip to 0-4 after their second consecutive 86-point loss. The Hawks are now $1.18 to miss the eight, while the Cats are now $9 for the flag.
Onto our best bets, we backed four winners from six bets.
On Thursday, we had the Eagles to win by under 40 points for a collect of $2.10 and on Friday we had the Bulldogs by the same margin for a $2.20 return.
Saturday’s stunning result at the MCG brought us back down to earth before we bounced back on Sunday by taking either side to win by under 25 points in the St Kilda-Collingwood match for a $1.83 win.
Tigers won by over the 40 points that we tipped but on Monday, the Cats’ easily beat the line to secured us another winner at $1.92.
A $10 bet on the six selections would have netted you $79.50 return for $60 investment.
Round 5 (Sportsbet)
Port Adelaide $1.13 (-35.5) v Carlton $6.05 (+35.5)
Western Bulldogs $1.06 (-43.5) v Brisbane $9.20 (+43.5)
Gold Coast $4.25 (+27.5) v Adelaide $1.23 (-27.5)
Sydney $2.89 (+15.5) v Greater Western Sydney $1.42 (-15.5)
Fremantle $1.48 (-12.5) v North Melbourne $2.66 (+12.5)
St Kilda $2.80 (+14.5) v Geelong $1.44 (-14.5)
Hawthorn $3.18 (+18.5) v West Coast $1.36 (-18.5)
Richmond $1.74 (-4.5) v Melbourne $2.10 (+4.5)
Essendon $2.19 (+5.5) v Collingwood $1.68 (-5.5)
Greater Western Sydney $4.25
Western Bulldogs $7
West Coast $8
Port Adelaide $23
St Kilda $34
Gold Coast $81
North Melbourne $151
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