Fri, May 2, 5:56pm by Daryl Curnow
Where: Gold Coast, Queensland.
When: Saturday, May 3. First race starts at 12:15pm.
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The Gold Coast rarely has a stand alone meeting but when they do it’s a great day with plenty of feature racing including the $350,000 WFA Hollindale Stakes, Prime Minister’s Cup and the Ken Russell Memorial Classic. We provide all the market odds, form and tips to help punters find a winner or two at the sunny Gold Coast.
Monbazillac is fresh up for Peter Moody where the gelding has won once and placed a further two times. The four-year-old is the current $3.80 favourite and looks to have a fair amount of class, having won three and placed in six from only 16 starts. The son of Fastnet Rock finished only 2.2 lengths behind the classy Knoydart and Chris Munce is in the saddle with only 54kg. That luxury weight will take him close in the opening event of the day.
Sir Moments is another gelding who is fresh up after a prior campaign which featured a win in the Listed Dalrello Stakes at Doomben. The three-year-old also won another listed race before running seventh in the Group One J.J Atkins at Eagle Farm. He is bred for speed (Choisir x Colourful Moments) and his tote price of $4.60 suggests he will be right in the mix.
The White Hope is sometimes a tough horse to follow but when he’s right then he is very hard to beat. The five-year-old gelding is another who is fresh up and he has won and placed in this state before. He is twice a winner over the sprint distance and the track conditions should suit. This field isn’t the easiest for him but he does have good speed and he could lead all the way.
Recommended bet: Monbazillac to win ($3.80) at IASbet.com
It’s anyone’s guess in the most open race of the day where More Leverage is the $7 favourite. The four-year-old has a consistent record of three wins and five placings from nine starts, with his last start third being a good form guide for this. He won three starts back and has since run two placings behind some nice types and he is bred to be better than most of his opposition. He has had two starts on this track for a win and a placing with all wins coming on a dry track.
Platinum State was a last start winner for trainer Bryan Guy and there is no reason the gelding can’t handle this grade. The son of Falvelon has a good fresh up record but his stats second up are much to be desired with four starts for no wins and one placing. Despite that, he has won and placed on the course and twice at the distance. This field isn’t top standard but any stretch so he is a good chance to win or place in this.
Bushy has won two of his last three and five from 11 in his career. The Gary Duncan-trained gelding scored a narrow win at big odds last time out and he has won his only start on this track. To his favour he has won two starts on a dead track and with some rain around in the region, this could play into his hands nicely. He opened at $7 and hasn’t moved from that price.
Recommended bet: More Leverage to win ($7) at Sportsbet.com.au
In a cracking field, Aimee is the early $3 favourite after scoring three wins in a row. The two-year-old filly has come on leaps and bounds recently but she will find her opposition here much harder as the last horse to beat her was race rival Sarisara. She is untested on any surface worse than good which is a concern but it looks as though she has the class to overcome that and she will be around the mark.
Sagatona has the best form line for this race with a narrow placing behind Magic Millions winner Unencumbered last December. The Liam Birchley-trained filly is still a maiden however but the extra distance will suit her down to a tee and her opening quote of $6 has been smashed into $4.60 accordingly. She has had one start on a heavy track for a placing which bodes well for her here.
Sarisara is a speedy filly who has drawn wide in barrier 12 but she will likely drop back from that draw and finish home strongly. The 1200 metres will suit her better than her recent starts over 1000 metres have and she did defeat Aimee three starts back at Doomben. She is at good odds of $7.50 and is a genuine place chance.
Recommended bet: Sagatona to win ($4.60) at Sportsbet.com.au
Chop Chop is the first of the Kiwi’s the launch an attack on the Brisbane Winter Carnival and the three-year-old’s price has been slashed from $34 to $12. The Shaune Ritchie-trained filly is twice a winner in NZ with a last start fourth coming in the Group One New Zealand Oaks. She has won both her races over the mile so dropping back in distance to the 1800 metres will suit her and she is at great value.
Fellow Kiwi Asadauskaite for Michael Moroney will relish the distance after winning over 1800 metres last time out. Granted it was only a maiden race but the Pentire filly won by 3.25 lengths and never looked tested. She is bred to run well and will handle conditions if they are wet. Moroney is training winners frequently in Victoria and there is no reason that can’t transfer over to the sunny state.
Quest For Peace finished second by a nose last time out at Eagle Farm after not receiving much luck in the straight. The Hard Spun filly has drawn perfectly in barrier one and she has won on a slow track in the past. She is the current $4.80 favourite after opening at $5 which suggests there is good stable and tote support for her.
Recommended bet: Chop Chop to win ($12) at Sportingbet.com.au
We have tipped the Ciaron Maher-trained Srikandi on multiple occasions in Melbourne and she should find conditions to suit in this event. The Dubawi three-year-old has won on a heavy track at Cranbourne and she showed last time out that she can fight to the very end. She has the ability to sit on a fast tempo and still hold off all challengers which is a great quality and that’s why she stays on top for us at $4.
Platinum Rocker is fresh up for Ascot trainer Simon Miller and the six-year-old has great fresh up statistics. The mare has won three from four with a placing and she brings in very solid Perth form. Her last four races have all come in either group or listed grade with her last start second in the Group One Railway Stakes being a standout. The concerns are that the distance might be a touch short now considering her age and she will have to carry 59kg. She oozes class so a win wouldn’t surprise at odds of $4.80.
Tukiyo is a nice four win mare for trainer Lacey Morrison who is coming off a last start second placing. The four-year-old won a listed event three starts back when beating a quality field and there is no reason why she can’t repeat that effort. She is fit and will carry only 54kg again with Tegan Harrison in the saddle, which should ensure she goes to the front and tries to hang on for dear live.
Recommended bet: Srikandi to win ($4) at Sportsbet.com.au
The Gerald Ryan-trained Dances On Stars has a wide barrier draw to contend with but he did finish fourth in a Group Three event last time out. The four-year-old Snitzel gelding is a three time winner from 22 starts with his last win coming five starts back at Randwick. He has had two starts on this track for two placings and he should be able to handle any track conditions that come his way. This is a tough field and he doesn’t win often but he looks classy at best.
Rollout The Carpet is a Kiwi runner who finished third in the Group One Easter Handicap last time out to the races. The four-year-old has been consistent this campaign without winning but the mare is peaking for this run and she is well above average. There is a concern that she drops back the mile to 1300 metres but there has been support for her at $6.50 after opening at $7.50.
Fillydelphia has always been a solid mare and she looked to be back at her best last time out. She finished third at Eagle Farm in a listed event and she did win four starts back against similar opposition as a $9 shot. The Robert Heathcote-trained mare is currently at $7.50 and that price is about right for her chances. If she can sit close to the pace with some cover she has the speed to out sprint the field.
Recommended bet: Fillydelphia to win ($7.50) at Centrebet.com
Junoob is our bet of the day at $2.80 as the Chris Waller-trained gelding will love any easing of the track. The six-year-old has won effortlessly at his last two starts and this field is a step down in class. He does rises in weight after carrying only 55kg last time out but he has won carrying 58kg so that should be no issue. Dropping back in distance also poses a threat but he has the class to overcome that and he is a real staying superstar in Sydney at the moment.
Streama used to be a quality mare but she just isn’t herself in recent times. The Guy Walter-trained five-year-old did finish nicely last time out at Randwick but her form prior was very average. That being said, this race isn’t exactly the Group One Queen Of The Turf and based on that she is a chance. The punters agree having made her second favourite at $4.40 after opening at $5.
Moriarty is a ten win gelding and he will be fit and ready for this. The Chris Waller-trained runner has looked pretty average this campaign but this is a step down in class and he usually surprises when you least expect. He has won once at this distance with another two placings and a place appears best for him in this race.
Recommended bet: Junoob to win ($2.80) at Sportsbet.com.au
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