Sat, Nov 30, 12:48am by Daryl Curnow
What: Melbourne Races at Caulfield
Where: Caulfield, Melbourne, Australia
When: Saturday, November 29. First race kicks off at 1:00pm
Wager with: Sportingbet.com.au and get a free $200 bet
THE major races move back east this week with Caulfield and Rosehill co-hosting the weekend’s features. Caulfield has an eight-race card with an exciting two-year-old event to kick-start the day’s proceedings.
Peter Snowden has a great strike rate with his two-year-olds and he saddles up the unraced Orujo in this event. The colt by Exceed And Excel has trialed once for a win at Warwick Farm over 800 metres and that’s enough to warrant his $3.20 price tag. The in-form Craig Newitt takes the ride and he’s going very well in Melbourne as of late. The wide barrier of 9 is his only worry.
Another trial winner comes by the way of David Hayes’ Flemington stable with Zulu Land. This colt won his lone trial by over a length and he’s owned by Coolmore Stud. You can expect a hefty price tag was paid for the son of Fastnet Rock and a good debut performance is expected. He’s currently at good odds of $7 and he will be right there at the end.
The interesting runner is My Lucky Strike at $6.50 because he’s had no trials, yet he’s well backed in the market. He’s trained by Matt Laurie at Mornington and Mark Zahra takes the ride. His breeding is only fair so there must be confidence in the camp for the colt to open up that short.
Recommended bet: Zulu Land each way ($7.00 and $2.40) at Sportingbet.com.au
Last week we previewed Girl In Flight to win at Sale and she did, so there’s no reason to not back it up again. The Commands filly won by two lengths and was never really tested by Ryan Maloney in the saddle. She does face a tougher field here but her $2 quote suggests she’s well within herself. She’s drawn a little wide but over the longer distance it’s not much of an issue.
Pompeius is a maiden runner who has been thrown in the deep end early in his career. The Magnus colt gradually improved in three runs to start his campaign before running a huge second place in the Listed Connoisseur Stakes at Flemington. That run secured him a spot in the Sandown Guineas at Caulfield where he was left three-wide for most of the trip before battling home and running seventh. He is way back in class here and must be respected.
Collins Street comes into this race having disappointed on debut at Bendigo and then winning impressively by a length at Cranbourne. He looked like a good horse that day and he’s by Street Cry, who I can’t hold in higher regard at this point in time. He’s trained on the track by Ciaron Maher and he’s a good chance.
Recommended bet: Pompeius to win ($8.00) at Sportingbet.com.au
Another tidy field greets punters here as By The Grace heads the market at $2.70. The God’s Own gelding won on debut before running second to our Race 2 previewed galloper Girl In Flight. He faces a rise in class here and has to carry 59.5kg which could be telling late in the race.
Countersnip has to carry the same weight but the Stratum gelding has more exposed form. The Mick Price-trained runner won easily on debut in the heavy going before running third to top spring colt Prince Harada. He then travelled to Adelaide where he finished a close second behind Exodus. The three-year-old steps up over more ground here and he is likely to get a cosy run from barrier 2.
Gracious Prospect looms as a real chance after running second to Victorian Derby winner Polanski five starts back. The David Hayes-trained runner followed up that run with a disappointing eighth at Flemington but he got in to the winners circle last time out at Geelong. The Tale Of The Cat colt was favoured to win on that occasion to which he did by two lengths. If he produces a similar run he’s a place chance here.
Recommended bet: Countersnip to win ($4.50) at Sportingbet.com.au
Chris Waller trains the five-year-old gelding Disciple who has run two solid fourths to start his new campaign. The God’s Own gelding has won five times with a further nine placing’s and he’s come up against some top quality sprinters in his time. He ran fourth to Mic Mac in the listed Civic Stakes at Rosehill in the winter and he’ll be nearing his peak for this run after another fourth behind the classy Longport at Flemington earlier this month.
The Peak is an imported runner for B & J Cummings and has had three runs in Australia. The Pendragon gelding had won five from seven in Hong Kong but he bled during his final run, prompting the owners to move country. His first up run at Caulfield was solid without being overly impressive but he ran on well in his next two starts at Moonee Valley and Flemington. If he gets a dry track expect him to be around the mark and the books have set him at a respectable $6.50.
The New Boy poses a threat and he has been backed in from $5 to $4.60. The Danny O’Brien-trained gelding has had nine starts at Caulfield for no wins but has placed six times. He has run well in behind Strawberry Boy and Cosmic Causeway this year and that form will do well here.
Recommended bet: Disciple to win ($2.90) at Sportingbet.com.au
A very even field strikes here with numerous chances to take home the prize. With it being such an even field we’re looking towards the horses paying over the odds, like the Anthony Freedman-trained Crucial. The Darley owned five-year-old is currently paying $19 despite being the winner of three races. Whilst last campaigns form line mightn’t read well, he didn’t finish further back than four lengths in his last five starts. The son of Nadeem is always around the mark and he’s won fresh up twice.
Counted is another at long odds of $14 but her form is considerably better than that. Her crown achievement was running third behind Aerobatics in a Group 3 race at Caulfield just two starts ago. To start your season in that fashion says something and she finished off her last run at Flemington well also. The Ishiguru mare will be at peak fitness now and is worth an each way bet.
Catered is another paying good money ($15) and she has won three times over the 1400 metre distance. The David Hayes-trained mare hasn’t done well this preparation but she’s working up to full fitness and shouldn’t be excluded.
Recommended bet: Boxed trifecta including Crucial, Counted and Catered. It will pay big money and if you’re looking to back one take Crucial to win ($19) at Sportingbet.com.au
She Can Skate was a well fancied horse throughout the Melbourne Cup carnival where she didn’t quite show her true potential. She ended her last campaign with back to back wins but her best this season was a third behind Dystopia at Flemington. She drops slightly back in distance in which she has won at twice with two placing’s and she has drawn a favourable inside barrier draw. She’s a winner of four races so expect her to be fighting out the finish.
Flash Of Doubt is an outsider at $19 but Not A Single Doubt’s are running very well and she’s a chance here. The Robbie Griffiths-trained mare ran home well last time out and she’s got solid form in behind Catkins and Aerobatics which is holding up well this spring.
Flamberge has drawn wide but is still attracting good money at $4.80. The Peter Moody-trained gelding has won three times from 10 starts and he hasn’t run worse than a length from the winner at his last five starts. He is the model of consistency but the wide draw over 1100 metres makes it very tough.
Recommended bet: Flash Of Doubt to place ($5.20) at Sportingbet.com.au
Multilateral came over to Victoria from Sydney last time out and won at Flemington in a Rating 90 event. Trained by Chris Waller, the gelding has put together an impressive record of five wins and four placing’s from only 14 starts. This will be his biggest test to date but he’s showing no signs of slowing down and he’s the deserved favourite at $3.80.
The second favourite is the Queensland Derby placegetter Electric Fusion. The four-year-old trained by Robert Smerdon won fresh up this campaign and ran a strong race for second last time out. He’s a horse that generally takes time to get going so with four runs back, he’ll be in good fitness for this assignment. He’s trained on the course where he has had two placing’s and senior jockey Dwayne Dunn takes the ride.
Post D’france is a former New Zealand gelding who has adapted to the Australian lifestyle very well. He’s now the winner of seven races from 18 starts and he won his last start at Flemington impressively. The Postponed gelding is having his first look at Caulfield but he’s only improving and the extra distance will suit.
Recommended bet: Electric Fusion to win ($4.80) at Sportingbet.com.au
Trainer Michael Moroney is trying to win the race his stables sponsor and he’s got a great chance with the favourite Murcielaga. The Testa Rossa gelding has won three races from nine starts and he looks like a horse on the rise. Damien Oliver takes the ride and the extra 100 metres will suit his racing pattern. He’s drawn well with a light weight so his favouritism is justified.
Backstedt is a consistent gelding for trainer David Hayes and his form in behind Star Rolling makes him a definite threat. He’s a four-year-old by Magnus – who are popping up everywhere at the moment – and he’s already won on four occasions. Hayes has him ticking along nicely and with a bit of luck he’ll feature in the finish.
Recommended bet: Murcielaga/Backstedt quinella. Should pay around $7 at Sportingbet.com.au
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