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Melbourne Racing at Caulfield – punting guide, analysis and tips

Fri, May 2, 2:18pm by Daryl Curnow

CaulfieldWhere: Caulfield, Melbourne.

When: Saturday, May 2. First race starts at 12:40pm.

Open an account with Sportsbet for $150 in free bets which can be used on any race this Saturday.

Caulfield plays host for the Melbourne leg of Saturday racing with the $120,000 Thoroughbred Club Anniversary headlining the day’s action. We preview the major races on the card with in-depth analysis and tips.

Race 1 – Charter Keck Kramer Handicap (1200m)

The Robert Smerdon-trained Under The Louvre is the current $3.70 favourite after opening as high as $4.60. The three-year-old is a sparingly raced colt who has won his last two from three, including an easy two-length win at Moonee Valley last time out. He is a four time winner for his seven start career which includes a win on this track and he would prefer a dead surface for this.

Villopoto has an unknown quantity about him as he is trained by the unheralded Paul Jones fro Stawell. The averagely bred gelding did however win on debut by a massive 7.25 lengths and that has to be respected, despite the weak opposition he faced on that occasion. His time wasn’t overly quick when running 1:11 over 1200 metres but he has been supported on the tote at $4.60 so treat warily.

Consorting is classy at best and he ran home very well last time out on this track. The Michael Kent-trained gelding hasn’t won for some time but he did finish second behind a top class runner only four starts back in a Group Three event so that will take him close here. He might be looking for further but this field isn’t overly big and he could easily finish over the top of them.

Tip: Consorting to win ($4.50) at

Race 2 – William Buck Handicap (2000m)

Tooleybuc Kid is the raging hot favourite at $2.35 following a strong 1.5 length win at Caulfield last start. The in form Darren Weir trains this four-year-old gelding who relished the rise in distance last time out. Three starts back he finished a narrow second behind a potential staying superstar Our Voodoo Prince and that form has been franked by Akzar winning the Warrnambool Cup on Thursday. Jye McNeil takes 2kg off his back, bringing him to an almost unbeatable weight of 52kg and his price has duly dropped after opening at $3.60.

Escado doesn’t win out of turn but he is a former South Australian Derby winner and that has to be respected somewhat. The Matt Laurie-trained gelding was unlucky last time out when receiving no room in the straight but his form prior was nothing to get excited about. He has had two runs on this track for no wins or placings and his stats show he prefers some cut out of the track. If rain comes he’s a winning chance but if not then a place chance looks more his go.

Majadale won four starts back at Flemington and if he can repeat that form he will be tough to beat. Another trained by Paul Jones, the six-year-old hasn’t done much in two runs this campaign but he needed those runs to find his feet and he could make himself prominent here. All of his eight career wins have come on a good to dead track so he will need conditions to suit.

Tip: Tooleybuc Kid to win ($2.35) at (better than the $2.25 at Sportingbet)

Race 3 – Sportscover Insures Vafa Plate (1440m)

We labeled River Delta as our bet of the day last week at Caulfield and the filly just lasted by a nose. The three-year-old looked to be out on her feet nearing the later stages of the race but Peter Moody obviously believes she is still fit and ready to go. The daughter of Al Maher is unbeaten in three starts and her price of $2.60 is better than her previous three winning tote prices. In that basis we think she is good value and this field isn’t any harder than those she has faced already this season.

Jessy Belle is the second favourite at $4.60 following a strong second placing on this track. The locally trained filly won her previous three from four but she has yet to win at Caulfield. She does however race well over more ground and the extra 240 metres will really help her. Jye McNeil takes her weight to a very nice 54.5kg and she is a good chance on that.

Griante pushed River Delta close last time out and you’d expect the extra distance to be in her favour. The three-year-old has had five starts for one win and three placings with the win coming at Ballarat by two lengths. She was a touch green in the straight at Caulfield and if manners are in good order she is a good chance at upsetting the favourite.

Tip: River Delta to win ($2.60) at

Race 4 – Sky High Mt Dandenong Stakes (1200m)

Pressing won well on debut at good odds of $12 but the Mick Price-trained colt has been set as the early $3 favourite for this. The son of Sebring was able to come up the inside on a slow track and charge through to beat the second favourite Petrology. Based on that effort he will likely go well again but two-year-old’s are often hard to assess so treat him with caution.

The David Hayes-trained Petrology was a good winner on debut at Mornington before being run down last time out. The Fastnet Rock colt didn’t have all favours due to the deteriorating track conditions and he was pressured throughout the race. He drops in weight to 56kg after carrying 59kg and 58kg in his previous two races so his form looks strong for this and his opening quote of $4.50 has been bet slightly into $4.40.

Inkulu looked all over the winner last time out at Caulfield but the Anthony Freedman-trained colt ran about and cost himself the race. He was unlucky on debut when finishing second behind Bullpit who has since won again, and he really should have cruised past his opposition last time.

Tip: Petrology to win ($4.40) at

Race 5 – Ferntree Gully Handicap (1600m)

Crucial has had a consistent campaign featuring a win and three placings, most recently a close up third at Caulfield. The Anthony Freedman-trained mare does have a worrying stat in which she has never won in eight attempts on this track but her recent form is good enough to warrant inclusion into multiples.

Bec Said No Credit is now with Darren Weir and she ran on very well over a shorter distance last time out on this track. The four-year-old has now had three runs this campaign and she is nearing peak fitness for this. Her track stats are good with one win and three placings from five starts and with a nice run in transit she should be able to make her presence felt.

High Aims has come into $6.50 after opening at $8.50 and the four-year-old is coming off a last start win. This is a decent rise in class but she gets the services of senior jockey Dwayne Dunn and she has won twice with Dunn in the saddle, most notably a 5.25-length win five starts back at Sandown.

Tip: Bec Said No Credit to win ($7.50) at

Race 6 – Thoroughbred Club Anniversary Vase (1440m)

Danny The Fox for trainer Mick Price is the current $3.30 favourite after opening as low as $3. The seven race winner is coming off a last start fifth at Flemington which was a touch disappointing considering he won by 1.5 lengths at Sandown two starts back. The five-year-old has yet to win on this track but he is clearly the class horse of the field and that will take him a long way.

Reparations is another seven win gelding who finished off well for sixth in the Group Three Newcastle Newmarket. The Exceed And Excel gelding also finished second behind Messene at Canberra and that form would see him winning this. He has won and placed on the track and he finished only five lengths away from Sistine Demon who is winning very easily in Melbourne. He opened at $4.40 and hasn’t budged from that quote.

Coronation Shallan found the opposition too tough in the Group Two Sunline Vase at Moonee Valley but she will appreciate the drop in class. The Brett Scott-trained mare finished third in a listed event at Flemington at her start prior and she has shown good form in mares only races. This will be her first start at Caulfield and she is a genuine place chance.

Tip: Danny The Fox to win ($3.30) at

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