Tue, Aug 7, 11:11am by Staff Writer
One of the leading contenders for the 2018 AFL Brownlow Medal, Andrew Gaff, has been sent to the tribunal for an off the ball hit on Dockers youngster Andrew Brayshaw.
With the decent unanimous that Gaff will be suspended, potentially for the remainder of the season, the Brownlow market has swung heavily in favour of Hawthorn’s Tom Mitchell.
The Hawks midfielder is $1.40 to win his first Brownlow medal, the shortest-price he has been all season at Sportsbet.
His round 20 performance against the Bombers where he amassed 43 touches in another best on ground performance certainly did not do Mitchell’s chances any harm.
The 25-year-old is averaging over 36 disposals per game this season and has tallied over 40 in his past four matches, three of which the Hawks won.
Carlton’s Patrick Cripps is the next best in the market at $9, with the future captain a rare bright spot in another dismal season for the Blues.
With Carlton only managing two wins this season, it is difficult to imagine many of Cripps’ teammates taking votes off him on Brownlow night, but how much attention the 23-year-old midfielder has managed to steal from his victorious opponents remains to be seen.
He has averaged 34 disposals in the past four matches he has played, as well as four goals. Cripps has reached over 30 disposals 10 times this season, with three rounds to play.
Melbourne’s Max Gawn is the fan’s favourite to win the Brownlow and is priced at $12.
Gawn has had an up-and-down season in terms of his odds fluctuation, starting the season in triple-figures, before dipping to as low as $7 weeks ago.
He is the premier ruckman in the AFL and just a fortnight ago dominated the experienced Sam Jacobs in Adelaide.
Ruckmen have a history of struggling to poll votes in the Brownlow, but Gawn’s character and charisma by go a long way to him becoming the first Demons player since Shane Woewodin in 2000 to win the award.
Teammate Clayton Oliver has seen his price come in to $15 on the back of an impressive month’s football.
The midfielder has had five games in a row with 30 or more disposals. With the Dees in pursuit of a top four spot, he is sure to feature in their remaining three matches in a big way.
2017 Brownlow medalist Dustin Martin had a slow start to 2018, which will inevitably cost him votes.
Martin is $18 to win consecutive Brownlow’s, with the Tigers midfield-turned-forward proving a difficult match-up for opposition defences once again this season.
The Tigers are on top of the AFL ladder and spoilt for choice when it comes to midfielders and forwards, in what is a very even squad.
Steele Sidebottom ($21), Dayne Beams ($23), Shaun Higgins ($34) and Jackson Macrae ($34) should all win their club best and fairest awards this season, but are long-shots to win the Brownlow, after missing time this season through injury at some stage.
Former Brownlow winners Patrick Dangerfield ($34), Gary Ablett ($51) and Joel Selwood ($51) are sure to be in the votes come Brownlow night, but the Cats so-so season will hinder the star trio.
Brownlow Medal Odds – Sportsbet
Tom Mitchell $1.40
Patrick Cripps $9
Max Gawn $12
Clayton Oliver $15
Dustin Martin $18
Steele Sidebottom $21
Dayne Beams $23
Shaun Higgins $34
Jackson Macrae $34
Patrick Dangerfield $34
Gary Ablett $51
Joel Selwood $51
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