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Morphettville Saturday May 12 – Preview, Odds and Best Bet

Thu, May 10, 5:08pm by Staff Writer

Saturday is day two of South Australia’s Festival of racing with the Group 1 SA Derby (2500m) the lone G1 for the meeting.

Darren Weir has won the SA Derby for the past two years and this year he saddles up four runners including race favourite Leicester ($3.80). A winner of three from eight, he was a last start winner in the lead-up to this – the G3 Chairman’s (2035m) – where he defeated High ‘N’ Dry ($5.50) and Amerock ($21) amongst a host of other runners also lining up here. Weir’s remaining runners aren’t too well fancied in the markets with Civil Disobedience ($14) favoured over Amerock and Savaheat ($31).

High ‘N’ Dry has drawn poorly in barrier 18 although he should be used to that by now having never drawn inside barrier ten from his six career starts of which he’s won one. Stable mate Into Rio ($21) has fared better in gate 7 with three wins coming from his 10 starts.

Runaway ($14) did just that when taking out the Listed St Leger (2800m) at Flemington on Anzac Day which gave him back-to-back wins, and his third career victory overall. He beat Rezealient ($18) on that occasion who was runner-up to stable mate Won Won Too ($41) before that. Won Won Too finished eighth to Runaway in the St Leger.

Tangled ($6) has only the two career wins – with a further five minors – from 16 starts but he’s the most credentialed horse in the race having been placed in three of six G1 runs plus he’s won a G2 and has a further two minors in G3 company. He’s another drawn wide in 15.

Main Stage ($12) is yet to really capture his spring form which saw him take out a Listed race over 1800m when beating Cliff’s Edge. Money Maher ($19) is over from WA with five wins from his 16 starts, two of those victories from his last three while Roger James sends over High Sherriff ($8.50) who’s the most inexperienced runner in the field with only the four career starts, two of which he’s won.

Peaceful State ($1.75) was ultra-impressive last start when flashing home to take out the Listed Nitschke Stakes (1400m) and it’s no surprise to see him installed as a short-price favourite for the Listed Adelaide Guineas (1600m). He’s comfortably the highest rated horse in the race and drawn ideally in barrier six. Over Exposure ($4.50) has won three from seven and two from his past three, and was fourth – beaten 1.3L – by Peaceful State last start. Sirconni ($12) has won two from 11 but one of his wins was a G2 Sires (1400m) at Flemington while Smooth Landing ($7.50) is racing well and drawn the inside marble.

Over at Caulfield and race 8 – a 2000m handicap for the three-year-olds – looks certain to have a bearing on the G1 QLD Derby in a few weeks time.

Furrion ($2.30) – who is the current pre-post favourite for the QLD Derby – is undefeated from his three career starts and will jump from barrier one while stable mate Lucky For All ($8.50) has won two from his three and will jump from nine. Mahamedeis ($7) carries top weight of 58.5kg and has only missed the place once from his seven career starts – winning three of those. Okotoks ($9.50) – a winner of one from six starts – is first emergency and given a chance according to the markets.

Suggested Bet: In a competitive enough race, going to side with Furrion ($2.30, Caulfield race 8, number 2) who can hopefully justify his QLD Derby favouritism and head north after a win here.


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