Sat, Jul 5, 11:46am by Brad McGrath
When: 6am, Sunday, July 6, AEST
LOGIC can be a punter’s best friend, but it can also be his downfall.
A prime example of this is defending World Cup champion Spain who everyone just assumed would cruise through to the knockout stage of the tournament.
But La Roja were eliminated after being touched up 5-1 by the Netherlands and being soundly beaten by Chile, in the same pool that featured Australia.
Logically it should be Spain and not Costa Rica, a country of less than five million, who are playing on soccer’s biggest stage in Brazil.
But this time logic has taken a back seat, it has been taken over by what must be the football Gods version of a fairy tale.
In the left corner we have Goliath, or the Netherlands, the well-drilled finalist from 2010, who remain undefeated at the 2014 World Cup.
In the right corner we have David, or Costa Rica as they are really known, the defensive-minded nation that qualified from the Group of Champions and defeated Greece in the round of 16.
While we certainly believe in fairy tales at AustralianGambling, we’ll stick with logic this time as we simply cannot see any way for Costa Rica to defeat the Netherlands.
The Oranje simply have too much firepower up front with Arjen Robben and Robin van Persie in the form of their lives.
Costa Rica has also suffered a massive blow with defender Oscar Duarteis to miss the match after getting his second successive yellow card against Greece.
The Dutch will be without defensive midfielder Nigel deJong but their greater depth should see them still come out ahead.
AustralianGambling takes a look at the best multi bet options and explains how to improve your odds when betting on who will score during the quarter final clash between the Netherlands and Costa Rica.
Win/Draw/Win: Holland ($1.50); Draw ($4.10); Costa Rica ($7)
Over/Under: Over 3.5 goals combined ($3.50); Under 3.5 goals combined ($1.28)
There are plenty of multi bet legs that we consider to be relatively safe in this big quarter final clash.
We like the Netherlands to win and the teams to score more than 2.5 goals combined. The Dutch won’t want to tempt fate a second time after only narrowly beating Mexico in their round of 16 match and we expect them to try and score early in this one. Then we expect the Netherland’s greater spread of talent to run away with it in the second half,
Sportingbet is offering $2.35 for this market which is a good option for your multis.
Another option to consider is the second half to be the highest scoring. It has been a common theme throughout the entire World Cup, whether it’s the heat sapping the energy out of players or just coincidence I don’t know.
But Sportingbet is offering $1.85 for this market which should come home for your multis.
When betting on who will top the goal scorers the for the Netherlands it invariably leads us to the same conclusion, Robin van Persie and Arjen Robben are the two most likely to find the back of the net.
These two stars of the round ball game have won us a pretty packet throughout the World Cup and we’re going to stick with them (despite the pair letting me down against Mexico).
Both Robben and van Persie have scored three times at the World Cup with their strong form reflected in their prices at Sportingbet. Robben is paying $2.50 to score at anytime in the clash with van Persie slightly tighter at $1.83.
While it’s obvious these two players are the focal points in the Dutch team’s attack, we can’t separate them in this market. You might be best to spread your money around and take a couple of players.
It’s worth considering Sportingbet’s Wincast market which will allow you to back either player and a Dutch win, giving you slightly better odds.
In fact you would be mad not to put on a Wincast bet if you want to bet on a Dutch player to score, with the Oranje raging favourites for this contest.
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