Fri, May 16, 5:28pm by Rob Sheeley
Match: Parramatta Eels vs. St George Illawarra Dragons – NRL Round 10
When/Where: 3:00pm, Saturday 17th May at Pirtek Stadium
AUD $100 Free Bet: www.IASbet.com
An out-of-sorts St George Illawarra head west to Pirtek Stadium on Saturday afternoon as a club very much under the pump.
The team in the red V were handed a lesson in rugby league by competition leaders, the Bulldogs, last week in a 38-6 spanking.
Their opposition, the Eels, sit just one win outside the top-eight heading into the match on 10 competition points. That may only be one win more than the Dragons, but recent form has the Eels as $1.67 favourites for the match.
So we look to the probability of a 40/20 being kicked in the match. The market would indicate that the chances look slim with best price available for the “No” option being $1.27 with IASbet.
AustralianGambling took an in-depth look at how and why there may or may not be a 40/20 kicked in this encounter.
Yes – $3.75
No – $1.27
Last weekend it was the Dragons who found themselves camped deep in their own territory for the bulk of the match. They take on a side who may not be as defensively dominant as the Bulldogs, but still look the team who is to be more likely to need to find a way out of their own half. So, who are the men who will be looking to kick a 40/20?
Chris Sandow (Eels) – He is the Eels’ main kicker in general play. In seven matches he has kicked the ball on 61 occasions. Just two of those have resulted in 40/20’s. He would be the most likely to pull off the feat in this match, but may not need to.
Sam Williams (Dragons) – Williams is seemingly in and out of the first grade side every second week. He has played four matches this season and kicked just one 40/20 from 39 kicks.
Corey Norman (Eels) – Norman is the Eels second option when it comes to kicking and has kicked 46 times in his 10 appearances. He is yet to kick a 40/20.
Gareth Widdop (Dragons) – Widdop has taken a heavy role in the red and white’s kicking duties in 2014. The English five-eighth has kicked on 79 occasions and not one of them has been a 40/20.
Outside of those four, players like Nathan Peats and Jarryd Hayne for the Eels, along with Josh Dugan and Mitch Rein for the Dragons, have all kicked on 10 or more occasions this year without registering a 40/20.
Outside of Chris Sandow, the game appears to lack a player with the genuine ability to kick a 40/20 with any sort of consistency.
The fact that the Eels are unlikely to have many cracks at kicking one makes the “No” option look like the obvious bet.
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