NRL Rd 7: South Sydney vs. Canterbury – punting lines, value bets

Match: South Sydney Rabbitohs vs. Canterbury Bulldogs – NRL Round 7
When/Where: 4:00pm, Friday, April 18 at ANZ Stadium
AUD $100 Free Bet: www.IASbet.com

WHILE the AFL argues over whether or not they should play on Good Friday, the NRL has a smorgasbord of action for fans and punters, starting with this clash between the Rabbitohs and Bulldogs.

Canterbury is going well this year and is second on the ladder. The Souths are in seventh after suffering some slight hiccups in the early rounds. However, the side that dons the red and green look to be back on track with a couple of good wins in recent weeks.

The last time these sides met, the Bulldogs lost 28-20.

• Historically, the sides have met 160 times. Souths have won 72, Canterbury has won 82.
• Each side has had two wins each from the last four encounters.
• South Sydney has one loss and one win at the venue this season.
• Canterbury has one loss and one win at the venue this season.

South Sydney Rabbitohs team & form – LLLWW

Luke Burgess moves into the starting side for the suspended George Burgess. Chris McQueen starts for Ben Te’o who is also serving a suspension.

1. Greg Inglis
2. Nathan Merritt
3. Dylan Walker
4. Kirisome Auva’a
5. Bryson Goodwin
6. Josh Sutton
7. Adam Reynolds
8. Dave Tyrell
9. Apisai Koroisau
10. Luke Burgess
11. Kyle Turner
12. Chris McQueen
13. Sam Burgess

Interchange

14. Cameron McInnes
15. Ben Lowe
16. Jason Clark
17. Joe Picker
18. Joel Reddy
19. Alex Johnston

The Souths’ season is back on track after two impressive wins on the trot. Last week, it was a 16-point win in the wet against Penrith.

Canterbury Bulldogs team & form – WLWWW

Pat O’Hanlon has been named as Frank Pritchard’s replacement.

1. Sam Perrett
2. Corey Thompson
3. Josh Morris
4. Tim Lafai
5. Mitch Brown
6. Josh Reynolds
7. Trent Hodkinson
8. Aiden Tolman
9. Michael Ennis (c)
10. James Graham
11. Josh Jackson
12. Tony Williams
13. Dale Finucane

Interchange

14. Greg Eastwood
15. Pat O’Hanlon
16. Tim Browne
17. David Klemmer
19. Moses Mbye

Canterbury is placed second on the ladder after a good start to the 2014 season. It has won four of its six matches so far and in recent weeks has beaten the Cronulla Sharks, Melbourne Storm, Sydney Roosters and New Zealand Warriors. The Bulldogs’ last two matches have been tight one-pointers.

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Rabbitohs vs. Bulldogs Round 7 prediction

Canterbury looked gone last week against the Warriors and only slotted the winning point with two minutes of the game remaining. The victory was testament to the Bulldogs’ grit, but they can’t afford to let the Rabbitohs get away in the early stages of this match. The Bulldogs made plenty of metres last week, but missed 22 tackles.

South Sydney dominated up front against the Panthers, especially in the second-half. The tight defence meant that Penrith failed to score a try. The Souths only missed eight tackles during the match, while the attack made three line breaks.

Canterbury faces a very real test against a Rabbitohs side that has found form. The Rabbitohs should prove too good.

Prediction – Rabbitohs by 10.

South Sydney vs Canterbury head-to-head betting

Rabbitohs – $1.85 with IASbet.com and Sportsbet
Bulldogs – $2.00

The Rabbitohs have slightly edged out the Bulldogs as favourites in head-to-head betting.

Margin betting odds & tips

Rabbitohs 1-12 – $3.20 with IASbet.com and Sportsbet
Rabbitohs 13+ – $3.85
Draw: $23.00
Bulldogs 1-12 – $3.50
Bulldogs 13+ – $4.00

The predicted margin is 10 points. IASbet and Sportsbet offer the best odds for the Rabbitohs to win by a margin of 1-12.

Line Betting odds & value tips

Rabbitohs -1.5 – $1.92 with Sportsbet.com.au and IASbet
Bulldogs +1.5 $1.92

The line is tiny, less than a penalty goal. Souths are worth a bet in this market as the predicted spread is 10 points.

Try-scorer and other markets

For the Rabbitohs, Greg Inglis is $2.20 with IASbet and Sportsbet to score a try at any time during the game. The Bulldogs Josh Morris is $2.00 with all bookmakers to score a try at any time.

The Rabbitohs will be looking to get off to a flying start. In the “first to 10 points” market, Sportingbet and Centrebet offer $1.90 for Souths to be the first team to 10 points ($1.84 with IASbet and Sportsbet).

Souths half-back Adam Reynolds is $1.88 with IASbet.com to score more points then the Bulldogs’ half-back Trent Hodkinson. Reynolds is a top goal-kicker which gives him a slight advantage in this market.