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Premier Day at Caulfield – betting guide with free tips

Thu, Feb 6, 11:46am by Daryl Curnow

CaulfieldWhere: Caulfield, Melbourne


When: Saturday, February 8. First race has been brought forward two hours due to extreme temperatures. 11am start.


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Race 1 – BMW Melbourne Handicap (2000m)

Grand Slam Eagle looks to make it back-to-back victories after winning late last month. The Peter Moody-trained gelding is a three-time winner from eight starts but he faces a step rise in class from his latest rating 70 win. He is back to his pet distance and the $3.10 opening quote suggests he is in fine order.

Use The Lot has a great form line heading into this event after winning a rating 84 event at Caulfield January 25. The four-year-old Ustinov gelding ran a good fourth in the Ballarat Cup two starts back after winning his start prior at Moonee Valley. From three starts at Caulfield he has won twice with one placing and he looks set for another win here.

Beliveau is a lightweight chance with Craig Williams in the saddle. The Fastnet Rock gelding is trained on the track and has won and placed in his last two starts. First time over 2000 metres last time out at Morphettville he ran second behind a good type in Signoff and a repeat effort here wouldn’t surprise at $7.

Recommended bet: Use The Lot to win ($3.75) at Centrebet.com

Race 2 – Herald Sun Carlyon Cup (1600m)

Chase The Rainbow has any amount of ability and after three runs back from a lengthy spell due to injury the now five-year-old looks set for the win here. Trained by Rick Hore-Lacy on the track – where he has won and placed from five starts – the four time winner has been racing in the top grades and should find this much easier. He ran home strongly last time out and the $3.60 looks like decent money.

Pakal has opened the $2.30 favourite however after last campaign saw him win the Cranbourne Cup and also a fifth in the Group 1 Mackinnon Stakes. Fresh up here where the son of Lord Of England has won and placed from four starts, Pakal has good course form but we doubt he has the fitness to compete here despite his favouritism.

Star Rolling either wins or disappoints having won four of his right career starts. The Casino Prince gelding is unbeaten when racing second-up but he would prefer a dead track as both starts on a good track have yet to yield a win. With the temperatures in excess of 37 degrees, it’s unlikely he will get a track to suit.

Recommended bet: Chase The Rainbow to win ($3.60) at Centrebet.com

Race 3 – Hyland Race Colours Autumn Stakes (1400m)

Polanski returns to the track following his Victorian Derby win last November. His opening quote of $3 is too short however as he is a stayer and the 1400 metres will be too short for him. He hasn’t won or placed in two starts when fresh but you can’t deny his class. The Robbie Laing-trained colt has won at the distance but often when they step up over ground they find it hard to drop back. He’s in for a great autumn but you’d want more than $3 here.

Thunder Fantasy ran third in the Victorian Derby but he has form when fresh and has won at the distance. The Anthony Cummings-trained colt won over 1400 metres at Hawkesbury five starts back by two lengths so the distance is no worry. He’s an underrated type who won’t be far away.

Late Charge had an impressive last campaign where the three-year-old won twice and ran well enough in group races. His last run was a ninth in the Caulfield Guineas but he got well back during the run and ran home well. The Hard Spun colt has won his only start when fresh and at $6 a good run is expected.

Recommended bet: Thunder Fantasy to place ($2.20) at Centrebet.com

Race 4 – Kevin Hayes Stakes (1200m)

Bound For Earth has opened the $3.30 and the John O’Shea-trained filly looks set for a winning return. Fillies by Northern Meteor are flying at she has won both starts when in a fresh state. She has also won twice at the distance and Craig Williams will take over the reins from James McDonald. She won the Group 2 Furious Stakes last campaign and that form will see her take this out.

Shamalia arrives from Sydney with a perfect record but she will find this much tougher than her two wins to date. The Cummings-trained filly hasn’t put a foot wrong when winning on debut by 1.25 lengths, followed up with a 1.75-length win at Randwick. She is facing a steep rise in class and she has to contend with barrier 10 so the $4.40 on offer looks too short.

The Huntress hasn’t been seen since bleeding at her last start in October but expect a good effort here. The Michael Kent-trained filly hasn’t done much wrong in five career starts and she has won on the course and at the distance twice. She is an out and out sprinter and that’s where she can have an edge on the field.

Recommended bet: Bound For Earth to win ($3.30) at Centrebet.com

Race 5 – Tabcorp Blue Diamond Prelude Fillies (1100m)

Earthquake is set to shake the ground following a slick debut win at Randwick. The 2.5-length win over quality horse Sheer Style was enough to make her the $1.75 favourite for this. Trained by Peter Snowden, this Exceed And Excel filly looks set for bigger things and people have been jumping out of the ground to back her. Snowden has a great record in two-year-old events and he’s odds on to win another.

Eloping is the second favourite at $7.50 after opening at $7 and the Choisir filly probably doesn’t deserve to be at such a high price. She is unbeaten in two starts including a listed Blue Diamond event on this track last time out. She beat a good field that day as the $3.20 favourite and she looks very professional in her action. If Earthquake finds trouble, expect Eloping to be the sole benefactor.

Top Dolly ran second at her only start which came in behind Oakleigh Girl who ran second in the Magic Millions. She has drawn barrier 11 which is an obvious concern but she finished off well on debut which suggests she has no problems weaving through traffic and is a good place chance here.

Recommended bet: Earthquake to win ($1.75) at Centrebet.com

Race 6 – Tabcorp Blue Diamond Prelude Colts and Geldings (1100m)

The boys go at it here with the highly talented Rubick opening at the short price of $1.80. The Gerald Ryan-trained colt from Sydney won well at his only start at Randwick when beating a solid field by 2.75 lengths. He was a $1.30 shot that day and the only worry is that the field only contained five runners, as opposed to the maximum field he faces here. The Encosta De Lago colt is well bred and he will be under a watchful eye from many punters.

Chivalry will have to work extra hard from barrier 16 but his win last start has been franked by Bugatty’s run last time out. The Street Cry colt would have been better supported than his $10 quote had he not drawn so wide but if he can find the lead early his chances excel. If he doesn’t sit wide throughout then the $2.90 place money is great.

Jabali was solid when second behind Risen From Doubt in a listed event at Flemington. The Mick Price-trained colt looks to have any amount of ability and even though he has drawn wide in barrier 10, the $16 on offer looks rather generous and he is a good place chance.

Recommended bet: Jabali to place ($4.20) at Centrebet.com

Race 7 – Schweppes Rubiton Stakes (1100m)

Lankan Rupee had a stellar last campaign which included three wins from four starts. The much improved gelding by Redoute’s Choice has won twice in a fresh state and also twice at Caulfield. He opened at $3.50 and has been bet into $3.40 but with the way he finished his last campaign off you wouldn’t doubt his chances in this.

Lion Of Belfort is at $3 following his last start third in the Group 1 Coolmore Stud Stakes behind Zoustar. Mick Price saddles up a very impressive team today and this three-year-old looks to have a big future. He put three together last campaign and was flying home in the group one event. This is a very tough little field but his chances appear bright.

Better Than Ready arrives from Queensland with an impressive eight win from 15 start record and he’s at $4.50 for this event. The More Than Ready horse has had to carry big weights at his last two races in which he won both and a top run is expected here. He is also unbeaten at the distance having won twice.

Recommended bet: Lankan Rupee to win ($3.40) at Centrebet.com

Race 8 – Tabcorp C.F. Orr Stakes (1400m)

Moment Of Change gets a great chance to return to the winners enclosure here following a tidy fresh up run when second behind Richie’s Vibe at Moonee Valley last time out. The Peter Moody-trained runner has won both starts at Caulfield and this isn’t the strongest $400,000+ race you’ll see. He has drawn a touch wide but he should get a good run in transit with Luke Nolen aboard.

Shamus Award enters this event having won only one start and you wouldn’t give him a chance had it not been the Group 1 Cox Plate! The three-year-old caused a massive upset last spring and even though he is at $3.30 here, the 1400 metres will likely be a touch short. We see him getting back in the field and running on strongly but for this run we’ll put him aside.

Eurozone has been running well in Sydney and he won the Group 2 Stan Fox Stakes at his last run. He beat a good field that day and earlier in his campaign he defeated Bull Point who has since won at Caulfield. Damien Oliver rides and he’s a good lightweight chance.

Recommended bet: Moment Of Change to win ($2.50) at Centrebet.com


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