Thu, Nov 21, 1:05pm by Rob Sheeley
Match: Brisbane Roar vs Western Sydney Wanderers – A-League Round 7
When/Where: 8:00pm AET, Friday 22nd November at Suncorp Stadium
Bet with: www.IASbet.com and get a $100 free bet
The undefeated competition leaders, the Western Sydney Wanderers ($2.87), travel to Queensland to take on the team who sit just two competition points behind them, the Brisbane Roar ($2.30).
Both sides have four wins this season, with the Wanderers managing two draws, whereas the Roar have had two losses in between its victories.
The Roar were left shellshocked last Sunday when, after leading 1-0 midway through the second half, they were defeated by the Newcastle Jets 2-1. It was the first real blemish from the Queenslanders, who’s only other loss cam at the hands of a top four team, the Melbourne Victory. Coach Mike Mulvey would have been disappointed in the result and I’d expect the Roar to be firing on all cylinders this Friday night.
The Wanderers made it four wins in a row last weekend when they put the Melbourne Victory to the sword 1-0 in Melbourne. In those past four matches, the Wanderers have scored six goals and only conceded one. They are shaping up as the standout team of the competition after half a dozen weeks of football. The fact that punters have continued to back them for the title at $3.75 is indicative of how imperious their recent form has been.
History weighs heavily in the favour of the Wanderers when it comes to matches between these two sides. In their short history, the Wanderers have never been beaten by the Roar in their four clashes. They are also undefeated at Suncorp Stadium, so there’s plenty to like about the red and blacks.
Injury-wise, the Roar will be missing Besart Berisha and Shane Stefanutto with hamstring problems as well as Liam Miller with a calf injury. The Wanderers’ Youssouf Hersi has a foot ailment while Tomi Juric is set to miss up to four weeks with a a knee complaint.
The Roar have had little problem scoring goals this season, but have struggled in the defensive department. Luke Brattan was exemplary with his attacking prowess last weekend and will need to be again this week. The Roar will also rely on the silky finishing skills of Thomas Broich to help them get on the board against the Wanderers.
In the defensive department, the Roar will look to their skipper Matthew Smith to provide the brains at the back and sure up their plans to thwart the Wanderers’ attacking raids.
The man they need to stop will be the Wanderers’ Japanese mastermind Shinji Ono. If the Roar afford him room to move, he is almost certain to make them pay. His efforts, in combination with the likes of Mark Bridge and Aaron Mooy, will test the Roar defence to its limits.
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This match has teams coming from polar opposites form wise. The home team, coming off an upset loss with a point to prove against the high flying, competition leaders who have won four in a row.
While the Wanderers look the class team, I think the Roar have plenty to play for and will be buoyed by home town support. On that basis, the Roar look good enough to hang in there with the Wanderers and come away with a point.
Prediction – Draw.
Roar – $2.30
Wanderers – $2.87
Draw – $3.30 with IASbet.com
Given how close this match promises to be, the draw looks enormous value at $3.30. I’m more than happy to be taking these odds in such a tight affair.
Roar (-1)- $5.00
Draw (-1) – $3.75
Wanderers (+1) – $1.53 with IASbet.com
The Wanderers are simply to good to refuse with a one goal head start. Punters clearly agree with their price, indicating that most think that they are good things. This is the safest bet of the match.
Under 2.5 Goals- $1.67 with IASbet.com
Over 2.5 Goals – $2.12
The defensive prowess of these top two teams indicates that there will be less than three goals scored in this match. In the twelve games they have played this season, they have only conceded a combined total of seven goals. They are the two best defensive teams in the A-League so this is another bet that we can have with conviction.
The double chance bet option of Western Sydney Wanderers and the draw looks like a solid investment at $1.57.
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