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Rosehill Saturday August 25 – Preview, Odds and Best Bet

Thu, Aug 23, 12:08pm by Staff Writer

Sydney racing is at Rosehill Gardens on Saturday where the rail is out six-metres the entire circuit and while the track was a good-4 at acceptances, there is heavy rain forecast across NSW over the weekend.

The Group 3 San Domenico Stakes (1100m) is one of the feature races of the day with nine accepted to run, six of which resume from a break.

Performer ($3.70) is one of those resuming and both his career wins have come when first-up. He won the Listed Breeders’ Plate (1000m) on debut before coming back next prep and taking out the G3 Canonbury (1100m) when fresh. He then ‘threw the rider’ when favourite in the G2 Todman before starting well in the market in the G1 Slipper (1200m) where he finished fourteenth of 16. He’s always been a high-profile colt and trialled well leading into this.

Team Snowden won it last year with Pariah and this year they’ll saddle up two runners, Neutrality ($5) and Tchaikovsky ($8). Neutrality has won the one race from two career starts and he comes into this off two trial wins while Tchaikovsky has the one maiden win from four starts and he’s also off two trials, his most recent when third behind the stable mate. Over time it seems Neutrality will be better over the sprints while Tchaikovsky might be better over 1400m and beyond.

Kris Lees has been in good form of late and he lines up with the unbeaten Graff ($7). Jonker ($9) hasn’t been seen since almost going through the rails in a rough Magic Millions in January but he was a strong winner at his two previous starts and like Graf, he’s only had the one trial into this and in fact, they finished side by side in that trial. Pacquiri ($31) is also fresh and he broke his maiden at his last run before a break beating Legend of Condors and Lean Mean Machine in the G3 Kindergarten (1100m) during the Sydney autumn.

Of those who are already into a prep, Plague Stone ($4.50) broke his maiden status first-up over 1000m before not having the best of runs when third to Sandbar in the Listed Rosebud (1100m) only beaten 0.6L. Ringerdingding ($16) was fifth in that race and only 0.5L further back – with many thinking he should have finished closer – while Dio D’Doro ($13) is three runs into his campaign and all three have been wins.

The Group 3 Premier’s Cup (1900m) is one of the other features for the day with a capacity field of 13 plus four emergencies entered for the race although some are also accepted for Thursday’s Rowley Mile.

Avilius ($1.85) made his Australian debut for Godolphin last start with an emphatic win in BM91 grade and off that run he shot into favouritism for the G1 Metropolitan (2400m) later in the spring.

Emperor’s Way ($7) was a close second last start and that run should top him off for this.

I Am Serious ($9) – who is near the top of betting in the Rowley Mile – caught the eye when resuming behind Flow and she’s two from three when second-up. Auvray ($21) resumes from a spell and he’ll have to lump top weight of 60kg and if the rain were to arrive it certainly wouldn’t harm the chances of Destiny’s Kiss ($51).

Suggested Bet: It looks a tricky day especially with the potential of rain on the horizon but in a competitive Ming Dynasty, happy to go with the David Payne-trained Toulouse ($9, race 6, number 2). He’s won both his runs this prep – since being gelded – and both have been over this track and distance, and while that might be ‘winter form’ he’s beat some handy types in those races and worth a bet at the odds.


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