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Rosehill Saturday June 30 – Preview, Odds and Best Bet

Thu, Jun 28, 1:42pm by Staff Writer

Sydney racing is at Rosehill on Saturday where the rail is out three metres and with scattered showers throughout the week, the track was a soft-6 at acceptances.

The Listed Civic Stakes (1350m) is one of two black type races for the day with a capacity field of 14 (plus three emergencies) accepted for the race.

Dreamforce ($6) is building an impressive record with four wins from his last five starts and seven from 16 overall. He was good in winning when fresh – beating subsequent winner I Thought So – and while he’s two from four when second up, he doesn’t have much wet credentials to go by. (His only start on a heavy was when fifth of eight over a year ago).

Flow ($4.60) returned from a spell as a winner when winning in BM95 grade a fortnight ago over 1400m here at Rosehill. He’s won from two from four when second-up – last campaign being the only time he’s missed a place when second-up (finishing fourth and beaten less a length).

Invinzabeel ($6) and New Universe ($12) finished in the placings behind Flow last start and are two of five runners for Chris Waller. Invinzabeel is third-up and finished less than half a length from the winner at his past two runs while New Universe has finished alongside his stable mate at those two runs but he’s finding it hard to win. Mister Sea Wolf ($11) is in a similar bracket and although he’s yet to win in Australia, he’s contested much harder races than this. Sir Bacchus ($16) did win two starts back but that was his first victory since November 2016 while Liapari’s ($51) last win was 12 starts back.

Jungle Edge ($8) is on the quick back-up after his second to I Thought So last start in the Winter Dash, with regular rider Kevin Forrester back on board. Faraway Town ($8.50) was third in that race and she’s second-up here while Red Excitement ($14) is racing well in similar grade but another who’s not graced the winners circle for some time. Trainer Gerald Ryan is hoping for a drier surface for him and similar could be said for first emergency Manolo Blahniq ($13), who was a well-supported winner last start although more suited on top of the ground.

A small but competitive field line up in the other feature of the day, the Listed Winter Cup (2400m) with eight to go around.

Destiny’s Kiss ($10) – who ran third in this race last year and won it in 2013 – was a Listed McKell Cup (2400m) winner two starts back and any give in the ground will suit the gallant nine-year-old.

Plymouth Road ($6) is the only last start winner in the race and down on the limit, he’s on the back up after a strong win at Randwick last week over 2400m on a heavy-9. In fact, all of the field are on the 53kg limit except Destiny’s Kiss (61kg) and Sayed ($2.90) who’s only 0.5kg above it. He was good when second to Black On Gold last start and set to peak here while stable mate Araaja ($9) is having her fourth start in Oz, with two thirds and a fifth to her name.

Nurse Kitchen ($6) – also accepted for QLD – has been well supported at her last two runs but let her backers down on both occasions although on her day, she’s more than handy. Harper’s Choice ($5.50) has also been in the market of late but with only two wins from 20 starts, he’s starting to wear thin on punters. Doukhan ($6) drops back from the 3200m of the Stayers Cup when second in a photo, and he’s another who enjoys a wet surface while Hand It In ($41) has won four of his past seven but all those were out of metro grade and he’s the rank outsider in the field.

Suggested Bet: It’s a competitive day of racing at Rosehill and the Winter Cup is certainly no exception but keen to stick with Plymouth Road ($6, race 6, number 7) on the quick back-up after a dominant win last start. Granted, he was aided by a great ride but he’ll control the pace here and hopefully can do the same this week. Sayed will be stalking him the whole way but at the odds – and if it stays a field of eight for each-way punters, he’s money back for a top 3 finish – going to side with Plymouth Road.

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