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Rosehill Saturday March 31 – Preview, Odds and Best Bet

Thu, Mar 29, 1:04pm by Staff Writer

The third and final meeting of the Rosehill carnival is on this Saturday with the Group 1 Tancred Stakes (2400m) the main event. The rail is out four-metres and the track was a soft-5 at acceptances but with warm weather forecast it should creep into the good range come race day.

A field of ten will line up in the Tancred with Gailo Chop ($2.30) a solid favourite as he backs up after a dominant win in the G1 Ranvet Stakes (2000m) last week. He’s in a rich vein of form winning three from four this preparation, with his only defeat coming when runner-up in the G1 Australian Cup (2000m). If he wins here and comes through the race well, connections have suggested he could meet Winx in the Queen Elizabeth Stakes during The Championships.

Almandin ($3.70) makes his Sydney debut and he’s third-up into his campaign. He was an unlucky fourth in the Australian Cup last start after being defeated in a photo-finish when fresh and hopefully with a good run here, he too could line up in the ‘QE’.

No one could begrudge a win to Single Gaze ($7.50) with some gallant efforts over her past couple of campaigns including three seconds this time in. Harlem ($23) and Ventura Storm ($27) finished first and third in the Australian Cup and were sixth and seventh in the Ranvet. Auvray ($10) is enjoying a new lease of life under Richard Freedman and he comes into this off a last start win – and he’s had some early support for Saturday – while Chris Waller saddles up evergreen stayers Who Shot Thebarman ($34) and Libran ($18).

The Group 1 Vinery Stud Stakes (2000m) is the other ‘major’ for the day as the three-year-old fillies progress towards the G1 Oaks on April 14.

Unforgotten ($4.80) had put in a couple of below-par trials and then finished last in the G1 Surround (1400m) when fresh but she turned that around with a last-to-first win in the Group 2 Phar Lap Stakes (1500m) against the boys, and she’s been backed in early all-in markets for this event.

Luvaluva ($6.50) was good when winning the G3 Keith Nolan Classic (1600m) and she should get better the further the races become. Torvill ($17) has finished within a half-length of the winner at her three starts this prep, including the Surround with Rimraam ($18) third in that race after a strong win before that.

Alizee ($6.50) was sent out favourite in the Surround only to finish midfield, and that was after a strong win when first-up in the G2 Light Fingers (1400m). Most recently she finished back in the pack of the G1 Coolmore (1500m) but she should relish being back against her own age group here.

Aloisia ($6) is up from Melbourne and she’ll be at peak fitness third-up while All Too Soon ($18) won her first two starts this campaign and was a fast finishing second against the older horses last start in BM82 grade.

A field of 15 will line up in the G3 Doncaster Prelude (1500m) in a last-ditch effort to make it into next week’s big one. Chris Waller will saddle up four runners with Cellarman ($4.40) the favourite for the race while Godolphin take three into the Prelude with Interlocuter ($5.50) on the second line of betting. Radipole ($6) was an eye-catching third to Comin’ Through and Tom Melbourne last start, with Ecuador ($8.50) specked in early betting in what’s an open race with many chances.

Suggested Bet: Going with Osorno ($12, race 1, number 6) to hopefully build a kitty for the day of racing ahead. One of a handful of maidens in the race, he comes off a last start close second over 1400m and although there’s many chances in the race, the stable is confident of a good showing and at the very least, he’s worth an each-way bet.

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