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Round 8 AFL Betting Preview

Wed, May 15, 2:23pm by Clarinda Campbell

AFL Round 8 Betting PreviewBest AFL Betting Site:

The AFL season just keeps getting better in a weekend that saw grand final revenge, upsets and new club records.

Round 7 resulted in a new leader at the top of the competition table after the Cats knocked off the Bombers on Friday night in Melbourne. The round also provided a remarkable shellacking in Sydney on Sunday when the Crows flogged the Giants by 135 points. In other notable results, Port Adelaide was laid to rest by Richmond, the Hawks avenged their 2012 grand final defeat against the Swans and Fremantle pulled away in a thrilling final quarter to defeat a disappointing Collingwood.

If you decided to have a flutter on our suggested selections, you wouldn’t have to sing for your supper this week. In the Geelong game, the Geelong to win by 1-39 at $2.35 and Geelong to win the last quarter at $1.72 got up. In the Eagles game, the Eagles to win by 1-39 got up at $2.25 and finally, in the Suns game, the Suns to win at $1.77 and the Suns tri bet to win by more than 15.5 at $2.50 returned a win.

This week sees some close match ups that will inevitably see a shuffle in ladder positions, especially in relation to the Swans vs Dockers and Eagles vs Kangaroos matches. The round also sees some lopsided matchups (Bombers vs Lions and Hawks vs Giants) that will virtually be a lay down misere for the top rated teams. Let’s have a look at what each match has to offer this week:

West Coast Eagles vs North Melbourne Kangaroos

Friday 17 May 2013, 6:40pm (AWST) at Patersons Stadium

The Eagles were expected victors over the Lions on Saturday. The margin was 26 points and the 10th placed Eagles only got away with the game in the final quarter. It was such a close game that scores were locked at 63 each going into the final period of play. The Kangaroos also had a win; by 54 points against the hapless Bulldogs. The final two quarters were highlights for the Roos; they kicked a massive 9 goals in the final quarter. The match was also a memorable one for Kangaroos cult hero Majak Daw. The footballer, who was born in Sudan and arrived in Australia in 2003, snared 6 goals for the match.

The Eagles are a $14.00 chance to win the flag and a $5.00 chance to make the top 4 with IASbet.  The Roos currently sit in 12th place on the ladder and are $41.00 to win the flag and $21.00 chances to make the top 4 with IASbet.

The futures market for making the top 4 suggests bookies rate West Coast a good chance of culminating a few more wins this season. They have a home game before their notoriously vocal supporters and this is a match they must win in order to advance up the ladder.

Will the Eagles conquer the Roos at home or will the Roos squash the Eagles chance of advancing up the table?

Essendon Bombers vs Brisbane Lions

Saturday 18 May 2013, 1:45pm at Etihad Stadium

On the face of it, this match appears to be an uneven match-up, with the certain victors to be the 2nd placed Bombers. They take on the 15th placed Lions at Etihad Stadium.

Essendon lost their place at the top of the table in their loss to Geelong last Friday night. After the loss, Essendon moved from $10 chances to win the flag to $12 chances with IASbet. The Bombers stayed with Geelong for the first half of the match, having an 18 point lead in the middle of the second quarter. They eventually capitulated to lose by 28 points. It was a high pressure game that displayed a great skill level. Essendon would not have lost too much confidence from the match and they didn’t give up so there is no doubting they will be ready to put in a stellar performance against the Lions.

The Lions went down at their home ground to the Eagles. They went into the final quarter on even points but lost out by 26 points in the end. Co-captain Jonathan Brown had another quiet outing, only touching the ball 6 times. Former Lions hero Michael Voss is under intense pressure to retain his coaching position, with some fans calling for Brisbane’s ‘favourite son’ to be axed. Even though Brisbane fought hard, it didn’t earn them a much needed win and after 5 losses this year, they will be feeling the pinch.

Will this be a walkover for Essendon or will the Lions win a match they are expected to lose?

Hawthorn Hawks vs GWS Giants

Saturday 18 May 2013, 2:10pm at Aurora Stadium

There is no doubt that Hawthorn will be “Giant killers” this week. The teams have had contrasting results coming into this match. The Crows mauled the Giants last week at Skoda Stadium, falling one point short of equalling the record for most points scored by a Crows team in an AFL match. They racked up 187 points over 4 quarters with Tom Lynch kicking a staggering 10 goals for the match. The Giants had no answers. They could not keep up with a fast moving Adelaide side and made basic errors and missed easy kicks before goal. Their effort was so poor that one Adelaide forward (Tom Lynch) scored more points on his own in the match then the Giants did as a team. This mere fact alone explains why the Giants are sitting at the bottom of the competition ladder.

The Hawks will be coming into this match after a booming win over the 2012 champions, the Swans. The Hawks came out of the blocks running and showed too much class to defeat the Swans by 37 points. The Hawks are sitting in third place on the ladder and are still the $3.25 favourites with IASbet to take out the 2013 premiership flag. There is no doubt their premiership chances won’t take a hit after this match.

Will the Giants cause a gargantuan boilover against the Hawks or will the Hawks dominate?

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Gold Coast Suns vs Western Bulldogs

Saturday 18 May 2013, 4:40pm at Metricon Stadium

This match sees a lower order clash betweem the 13th placed team (Suns) and the 16th placed team (Bulldogs). The Suns are coming off a 60 point victory against the lowly placed Demons. The Demons were kept scoreless in the first quarter and the Suns restricted them to scoring 54 points. The Suns were blistering in the first quarter, booting 5 goals. They were able to take control for the entire match and it was their first victory at the MCG. This would have the team brimming with joy. They take on the Bulldogs at home this week and they will be looking to put on a show for their local fans.

The Bulldogs are coming off a 54 point loss to the Kangaroos. It was their 6th loss of the season. The Bulldogs were up by three points midway through the third term against the Roos, but they blew it. The Dogs have only won one match this year and that was against the lowly ranked Lions. The Suns have defeated St Kilda, GWS and Melbourne coming into this match.

Both teams are rated non-existent chances to take out the premiership, with both at $1001 with IASbet. In the wooden spoon market, the Bulldogs are third ‘favourites’ paying $10.00 and the Gold Coast are at $21.00 with IASbet.

Will the Suns notch up their 4th win of the year or will the Bulldogs have a jubilant time on the Gold Coast?

Collingwood Magpies vs Geelong Cats

Saturday 18 May 2013, 7:40pm at MCG

The Magpies have the unenviable task of taking on the top placed Cats at the MCG. In their match against Fremantle, Collingwood were left disappointed after a diabolical start and an equally poor finish in their 27 point loss to Fremantle. Magpies fans watched in despair as the Dockers kicked 8 of the first 9 goals and then kicked the last 5 goals of the match. The only positive to be taken from the match is that the Pies did try to claw back a victory, hitting the front early in the final quarter. However, their inconsistency this season shone through and as coach Buckley lamented “Good teams play consistent football. They play their football for four quarters, and we’re not doing that at the moment”. The 8th placed Pies will need to be switched on for the full four quarters to be any chance of defeating the raging Cats.

The Cats dominated in their match against the Bombers, putting a stamp on the match in the final half to seal top spot on the ladder. It was a polished performance and one that the Magpies would be wary of coming into this match considering their inconsistent form.

After last week’s loss, Collingwood have blown from $8.00 to $11.00 in premiership betting with IASbet whilst the Cats have shortened from $4.50 to $3.75 with IASbet.

Will the Cats continue to shorten in the premiership market after this round or can the Pies finally find some consistency?

Sydney Swans vs Fremantle Dockers

Saturday 18 May 2013, 7:40pm at SCG

This match sees 5th take on 6th and is sure to be cracker. The Swans are coming off a sluggish performance against the Hawks whilst the Dockers are coming off a stirring victory against the Pies. The match will take place at the SCG and the red and white supporters will turn out in numbers to try and get their team’s season back on track.

Sydney were overwhelmed by the Hawks forwards in the first half of the match. The Swans were competitive throughout the rest of the match, reducing the margin to 25 points with 10 minutes to go, but the Hawks were able to see off the challenge to become 37 point victors. It was an out of character performance for the Swans early in the match and they will be looking to find some of their 2012 form in this match. The Swans have slipped in premiership betting from $7.00 to $9.00 with IASbet.

Fremantle were impressive in the final quarter against Collingwood. The club has been hit by injuries this season, but they keep finding a way to win despite missing key players. They still do not have the likes of Matthew Pavlich, Aaron Sandilands, Stephen Hill, Nat Fyfe and Zac Clarke, although Hill and Fyfe are expected to return for this match. After their victory, the Dockers came in from $17.00 to $14.00 to win the flag with IASbet. Given the impending return of key players, expect more wins from Fremantle and keep an eye on the $3.25 on offer with IASbet for the Dockers to make the Top 4.

Can the Dockers hit the Swans where it hurts or will the Swans emerge victorious?

Carlton Blues vs Port Adelaide Power

Sunday 19 May 2013, 1:10pm at Etihad Stadium

Carlton were beaten favourites in Monday night football against St Kilda and they have been demoted from the top 8 to now sit in 11th spot on the ladder. They have ballooned in premiership markets, moving from $12 chances to $17 chances with IASbet. Port Adelaide dropped to 4th place on the ladder after their loss against Richmond and they have also moved in premiership betting, going from $51 chances to $81 chances with IASbet.

To make their loss worse, Carlton also came out of the match with injuries to David Ellard and Chris Yarran. Despite the loss, coach Mick Malthouse believed the Blues players should have been applauded for the fighting spirit they showed throughout the loss. They lost their two running players (Ellard and Yarran) in the first 10 minutes of the game and were trailing by as many as 46 points to get within 4 points in the last quarter.

Port Adelaide also suffered a loss at the hands of the Tigers. It was a disappointing effort from the Power, who lost by 41 points. They suffered from a very slow start to the game and the poor first quarters being played by the Power are of real concern. If they keep starting matches slowly, they will be no match for decent opposition come the business end of the season.

Can Port finally get away to a flyer or will the Blues fight hard for a win?

Richmond Tigers vs Melbourne Demons

Sunday 19 May 2013, 3:20pm at MCG

The Tigers finally showed some of their early season form to come away with a resounding victory against Port Adelaide last round. The win means they now occupy a spot in the top 8 and their chances to win the premiership have come into $31.00 with IASbet. There is no doubting that Richmond have a quality line-up and they will get a chance to dazzle this week against a lacklustre Demons side who sit in 17th spot on the ladder and are zero chance of making a finals appearance. Punters are better off backing them for the wooden spoon at $2.75 with IASbet.

The Demons put in an embarrassing performance against the Suns and they will be looking to save face against the Tigers on the MCG stage. The Demons couldn’t score a goal in the first quarter and were eventually defeated by 54 points.

Will the Demons be ripped apart by the Tigers or will they play as a team and save face?

Adelaide Crows vs St Kilda Saints

Sunday 19 May 2013, 4:10pm (ACST) at AAMI Stadium

In a win that would have made Warnie a happy man, the Saints upset Carlton in a hard fought match on Monday night. They survived a Blues fight back in the final quarter to win by 9 points. Midfielder Jack Steven was a star along with the two Nicks (Riewoldt and Dal Santo). It was only St Kilda’s second win of the season and the 14th placed side will travel to South Australia to take on a Crows outfit coming off an absolutely resounding victory against the Giants.

The Crows racked up 187 points over 4 quarters with Tom Lynch kicking a staggering 10 goals for the match against the Giants. Many thought (including myself) that Adelaide could not rack up an extravagant amount of points without their key forward, Taylor Walker. Lynch proved that conclusion wrong in stunning fashion and the Crows coach will be pleased that he has a forward who can stand up in the absence of Walker and the loss of Kurt Tippett to the Swans. GWS coach Kevin Sheedy wasn’t so confident that Adelaide could place all their hopes on Lynch, suggesting in post match comments that the goals were handed to Lynch on a plate. It was an all round effort by the 9th placed Adelaide team who are $41.00 chances with IASbet to hoist the flag at season’s end. St Kilda are unwanted $151.00 chances with IASbet for the title.

Will Adelaide get a chance to slip into the top 8 or will St Kilda come away with a gutsy win?

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