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Rugby Championship Week 3: Preview and Best Bets

Wed, Sep 5, 11:18am by Staff Writer

The Rugby Championship moves into its third week, with Australia welcoming South Africa to Suncorp Stadium in Brisbane. In the other fixture, the All Blacks will play their first test match in Nelson, when they host the Pumas.

New Zealand versus Argentina

Saturday, 8 September 2018 at 5:35pm AEST at Trafalgar Park, Nelson

The South Island town of Nelson sees its first taste of international rugby union when its hosts the All Blacks clash against Argentina in the third match of the Rugby Championship.

The All Blacks are $1.02 favourites to win the match, with the Pumas $15 outsiders.

Nelson is one of the newest provinces in the New Zealand provincial rugby competition; with their side the Tasman Mako lead the premiership after three rounds of the Mitre 10 cup competition.

New Zealand is undefeated after two games in the Rugby Championship after big wins against Australia in Sydney and Auckland.

Argentina lost by 13 points to South Africa in game one, before bouncing back with a 13-point win of their own a fortnight ago.

New Zealand holds an imposing record against the Pumas, who like many teams in world rugby, have found wins in New Zealand impossible to come by.

They start as 28.5-point underdogs for this match at $1.90 at Sportsbet.

New Zealand to win by a 13+ margin is the shortest priced option in margin betting at $1.17. A 1-12 New Zealand win is paying $5, while an unlikely Argentinian win by 1-12 points is $18.

The last time Argentina was in New Zealand, it lost by 17 points in New Plymouth by a 39-22 scoreline.

The visitors actually led that match early in the second half, before three tries to the hosts in the second part of the second half ensured their victory.

Argentina’s Super Rugby team the Jaguares enjoyed success in New Zealand earlier this year when it defeated the Chiefs and Blues as part of a seven game winning streak during Super Rugby.

Many of their players in that side will feature in this Test squad and that is sure to bring them confidence as they embark on the toughest road trip in world rugby.

It is impossible to bet against the All Blacks and even at such a huge points start, they have shown ruthlessness in the 2018 Rugby Championship that cannot be denied.

Best bet- New Zealand to cover 28.5-point handicap at $1.90 

Australia versus South Africa

Saturday, 8 September 2018 at 8pm AEST at Suncorp Stadium, Brisbane

The Wallabies will be hoping to get off the mark in the 2018 Rugby Championship when they host South Africa on Saturday night.

The Wallabies are $1.55 at Sportsbet to win the match, with the travelling Springboks priced at $2.45.

Australia is winless after two matches in the Rugby Championship 25 and 28-point losses to the All Blacks in Sydney and Auckland respectively.

South Africa has had one win and one loss, with their lone win coming at home against Argentina by 13 points.

The Wallabies will enter the match as 5.5-point favourites at $1.90.

In margin betting, an Australian win by 1-12 points is the shortest priced option at $2.63, with a win by 13+ paying $3.40.

South Africa to win by 1-12 points is paying $3.50.

The past two matches between these sides have been drawn, with the Wallabies’ 18-all draw in Perth last season matched by a 27-all draw at Toyota Stadium in the fifth round of the Rugby Championship in 2017.

The last time these sides met at Suncorp Stadium was in 2017 and the Wallabies were six-point winners.

The hosts trailed 14-3 but rallied back in the second half to hold off the Springboks.

Full back Israel Folau is a 50-50 proposition to take the field in this match and his presence would be sure to lift a dispirited Wallabies side.

South Africa is set to make a number of changes to the side that was embarrassed in Argentina, with poor ball handling and defence displayed in that result.

Matches between these two teams have historically been very close, which makes giving away more than a single try start to the Wallabies hard to fathom in this one.

South Africa has the ability to even win this match, which would be a rare win for them on Australian soil.

If the Wallabies to win, it will be by a small margin. Back them in the 1-12 margin betting or take South Africa at the line.

Best bet- South Africa to cover 5.5-point handicap at $1.90

Rugby Championship Week 3 Odds – Sportsbet

New Zealand $1.02 v Argentina $15

Australia $1.55 v South Africa $2.45

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