Fri, Jan 17, 9:11pm by Daryl Curnow
Where: Randwick, Sydney
When: Saturday, January 18. First race starts at 12:50pm
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After two consecutive thirds, Breakfast In Bed has opened the $3.10 favourite to take out the opening event on the eight-race card. The four-year-old has a good overall record but hasn’t won for some time. She’s a four-race winner from 15 starts and she has looked above average in her past two efforts. The David Vandyke-trained mare was running on well in both starts so the extra distance will suit.
The Guy Walter-trained Pillow Talk ran a fair fifth at the Kensington track last time out after settling well back in the running and she looks a good chance here. The five-year-old is having her first run on this track and she has drawn wide in barrier 7 but the in-form Nathan Berry rides. Her three wins have all come on a good rated track and she will get conditions to suit.
Walter also lines up a mare for Sheikh Mohammed with Zauberflote. The daughter of Singspiel was only average last time out but she is a four-time race winner who won two starts back. She doesn’t have much turn of foot but in this field her chances excel.
Recommended bet: Breakfast In Bed to win ($3) at IASbet.com
Atmospherical opened the $2.50 favourite, got bet into $2.35 but has since drifted out to her opening quote. The David Pfieffer-trained filly is a perfect two from two after winning impressively on this track on New Year’s Day. The Northern Meteor filly also won easily on debut when being sent out a short $1.70 favourite. From a good draw, expect this promising filly to go close again.
The Gai Waterhouse-trained Woodbine has a big wrap on him and he won very easily on debut before running a close third last time out. The Hussonet colt out of the champion Miss Finland is royally bred and he has drawn the ace barrier for this. He has been spelled since September and a big run fresh up is expected with James McDonald in the saddle.
Ike’s Legacy won on debut at Warwick Farm but ran below expectations at Rosehill in a Group 3 event. The Redoute’s Choice colt finished 12th of 14 runners and he has since been in the spelling paddock. It’s unlucky he will threaten the two favoured runners but he is a good place chance.
Recommended bet: Atmospherical to win ($2.50) at IASbet.com
The Hawkes’ trained Mercir has won twice in his last three starts, including a win at Rosehill last time out. The son of Lonhro steps up to open grade for this and his form is good enough to take it out. James McDonald rides and if he doesn’t get too far back, he should be a good winning chance.
Red Excitement has opened the second favourite but the gelding makes a big leap in grade here. The four-year-olds last run was in a rating 75 grade where he finished third. His start prior when second to Emblems is a better guide and if he can replicate that effort he should be around the mark.
Skiptown is a consistent gelding for Tim Martin who has run second on three occasions in his last four starts. That consistency will be rewarded here as he strikes a very even field with no standout form horse. The five-year-old stepped up over more ground last time out and he ran on well, suggesting the 1400 metre distance isn’t out of his reach.
Recommended bet: Mercir to win ($3.10) at IASbet.com
The feature race of the day is for the two-year-olds that were purchased at the Inglis Yearling Sales. The unbeaten Vinnie Eagle arrives from New Zealand but he has received the visitor’s draw of 13. The Tony Pike-trained colt has won both starts across the Tasman and both came in impressive fashion. On debut he beat a horse that won his next start by over seven lengths in a quality race. He then won the Group 3 Eclipse Stakes and if he starts well from the outside alley, his chances appear bright.
Boomwaa has had a luckless start to his career but is the $2.30 favourite. The Robbie Laing-trained gelding started his career as a $31 shot at Flemington where he finished third after being galloped on. He then raced four-wide in the Inglis 2YO at Moonee Valley and held on stoutly for fourth. He then travelled back to Flemington and won a Group 3 event before missing the jump and running second last time out. With a clean run from barrier 2, he looks like the best winning chance.
Affirmation comes into this race fresh after a trial win and Not A Single Doubt’s are flying at the moment. The Tony McEvoy colt has drawn well and provides the field with an unknown quality.
Recommended bet: Boomwaa to win ($2.30) at IASbet.com
Laidback Larry is looking to make it four-straight wins as the Gai Waterhouse-trained gelding is going from strength to strength. The well-bred four-year-old has won with distinct ease lately and this field isn’t much harder. The only query is that he steps up in ground to 2000 metres but you get the feeling the further he goes, the bigger the mess.
Longshoreman is a threat to the favourite after running closely in behind some good types this season. He ran a close fourth to Terravista at Kensington before running third last time out at Rosehill. The five-year-old steps up in distance for this and that will suit.
Diamond Jim doesn’t win out of turn but the campaigner has been consistent of late. He hasn’t won on this track in eight starts, nor at the distance in nine but he has a chance of placing. He ran a good second last time out at Rosehill and if he repeats that effort, the $16 odds will seem attractive.
Recommended bet: Longshoreman to place ($1.50) at IASbet.com
Specific Choice has quickly become a horse punters hate to back, but yet he offers enough to open the $3.40 favourite. The Chris Waller-trained gelding only ran fair for sixth at Rosehill but he should find this field easier. He has a good draw and a good jockey so there shouldn’t be any excuses this time.
The Anthony Cummings-trained New Divide is shooting for three straight but steps up to Saturday class here. The four-year-old has been patiently handled and despite the wide alley, Kerrin McEvoy should be able to find a nice position in the field.
Misty Eyes returns from Morphettville after running a third and a fourth from two starts. This is his first run at Randwick for trainer Tony McEvoy and the five-time winner has a good place chance at nice odds. Blackfriars are renowned sprinters but his weight might be an issue here.
Recommended bet: Specific Choice to win ($3.40) at IASbet.com
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