Fri, Apr 26, 7:12pm by Kevin Pitstock
We take a look through the eight race program at Royal Randwick for the final day of the carnival, April 27
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Race 1: Group Three Johnnie Walker Frank Packer Plate (2000m)
The opening race of the final day of the 2013 Sydney Autumn Carnival and we have gone with No 1 Toydini, arguably the best bet of the day. The Guy Walter-trained three-year-old Bernardini gelding has won emphatically at his past two starts and the step up to the 2000m here will give everyone a guide to his Group One Queensland Derby chances. The hardest to beat could be the lone filly in the race, No 9 Cameo from the Peter Snowden Stable, a winner two starts back in the Group Three Keith Nolan Classic, where she defeated last week’s 10 length Group One ATC Oaks winner Royal Descent. No 8 Usainity is from the powerful New Zealand stable of Murray Baker and the Zed gelding finished second last time out over 2000m at Group Three level. Rounding out the top four was the Group One ATC Australian Derby third placegetter No 3 Kingdoms from the John O’Shea yard.
Race 2: Listed Sharp James B Carr Stakes (1400m)
Three-year-old fillies contest the second race over the 1400m, with the Peter Snowden-trained No 3 Meidung looking the one to beat here. A winner at Listed level last campaign over the 1400m, the Bernardini filly does need everything to go her way, but this looks likely to happen on the wide open spaces of the Randwick course. The hardest to beat should come from the Gai Waterhouse-trained No 1 Driefontein who is dropping back considerably in both class and distance, with last start Listed winner No 2 Catkins from the Chris Waller stable also capable of running a big race here at her first attempt at the track and trip. Putting in No 6 Gullible, a stable mate to Catkins for fourth. Slight disappointing first up, the Shamardal filly will appreciate the 1400m.
Race 3: Group Two M.J. Bale Emancipation Stakes (1600m)
A value Group Two contest for the three-year-old and upwards fillies and mares with the inform No 3 Skyerush from the Guy Walter stable. A winner of this race last year, the seven-year-old mare has won stakes races at two of her past three starts. No 5 Shannara, a full-sister to Champion sire Lonhro could be the one at odds in this race as the mare was slightly unlucky last start and also finished second to Skyerush in this race last year. No 4 Raspberries, a stable mate to Shannara has had four runs in so far this prep and has just been off the place getters each time, with an ounce of luck she should play her part in the finish, as should No 2 Xanadu, a last start Group One winner in New Zealand over the trip.
Race 4: Group One Santos Coffee Queen Elizabeth Stakes (2000m)
The first of the Group One races for the day and it is near impossible to go past No 9 It’s A Dundeel, the winner of the three-year-old triple crown, culminating in a six length victory in the Group One ATC Australian Derby. No 7 Secret Admirer deserves a change of luck, and the five-year-old mare should run a bold race, having finished third in the race last year. No 2 Reliable Man from the Chris Waller stable is having his second run in Australia and with a one-and-a-half length sixth to Pierro last time out; he should be right in the finish here. Improving third up where he finished fourth behind Pierro at 150/1 in the Group One George Ryder, the Peter Moody-trained No 1 Manighar could be back on track and rates a chance.
Race 5: Group One Moet & Chandon 150th Champagne Stakes (1600m)
The final leg of the two-year-old Triple Crown, with the top selection being No 11 Guelph, the winner of the Group One Sires’ Produce Stakes last time out where she defeated No 12 Scandiva. I think the fillies can run the one-two again here and although there are is “new blood” in the race; they both raced extremely well last time and no reason to sway away from them. No 2 Criterion who missed the start in the Group One Golden Slipper and came home late to finish sixth, has not started since that run, and while he is a class colt, that is the only query – it could be a blessing? No 7 Havana raced a little flat in the Sires’ two weeks back, but does appear to be a colt with class, and while he is likely to show his best next time in, they wouldn’t be running the valuable colt here if they didn’t think he could race very well for his connections.
Race 6: Group One Schweppes Sydney Cup (3200m)
One of only a handful of Group One races over 3200m in Australia and we have leaned towards the top weight No 1 Mourayan, who has had four starts at the track for a win and two seconds and has also had two starts at the trip for a third and a very good seventh in the Group One Melbourne Cup. No 4 Kelinni is bound to start favourite after his excellent win last start over 2000m and there is no issues in him backing up within the week, and last campaign he backed up after a few days to run fourth in the Melbourne Cup at this trip – rates highly. Until his last start failure, the Gai Waterhouse-trained No 3 Julienas was all the rag for the race as the pre-post favourite. He has since won a trial leading into this, and if all is right, there is no reason why he can’t be in hte finish. No 9 Aliyana Tilde, the only mare in the field was third last time out behind Tremec and if the Snitzel mare can handle the 3200m she could give it a shake at odds.
Race 7: Group One Yarraman Park All Aged Stakes (1400m)
The final of the Group One races for the carnival and what a race!! Last start runner up to Black Caviar in the Group One TJ Smith Stakes, No 8 Epaulette is the one here. Second up in the past he has a win and a second from two attempts, including victory in the Group One Golden Rose last campaign. No 6 More Joyous was unluckily beaten second up when she had nowhere to go in the Group One Queen Of The Turf Stakes behind Appearance and is capable of putting her hand up as the best mare in the country (now that Black Caviar is retired…). No 2 Fiorente from the Gai Waterhouse stable is one that may be able to sprint well fresh. Having his first start since finishing second in the Group One Melbourne Cup, he has performed well in some recent barrier trials. Glamour colt No 7 All Too Hard could come into this race and blow everyone away – but just a little weary after he has been off the scene for some weeks after winning the Group One Futurity nine weeks ago – it is his last Australian run, so would be nice to see him go out with a top effort.
Race 8: Listed Celebrations Hall Mark Stakes (1200m)
The final race of the day and we have gone with the Peter Snowden-trained No 10 Rarefied who ran an excellent fourth first up this time in. Has had four second up runs in the past with a first, second and a third recorded, so that sees him with a top chance, plus Kerrin McEvoy has taken this mount of the stable mate. No 4 Decision Time has had three runs in this time and has performed well at each of them – is a Group One Golden Slipper runner up so has a level of class. Heading into this race for new trainer Gai Waterhouse, No 13 Somepin Anypin has won a trial leading into his beating som ehandy gallopers and from the indside gate should get a good run in transit. To round out the top four, No 14 Instinction from the Paul Messara stable has been scratched a few time in search of a dry track, which he finally gets and while he has an awkward gate, Brenton Avdulla can overcome this and he may be one at good odds to add some value to the first four.
Best On Breeding: Race 5, No 11 Guelph 2yo f (Exceed And Excel x Camarilla, by Elusive Quality), trained by Peter Snowden. A winner last time out of the Group One ATC Sires’ Produce Stakes (a race her dam won), the filly is out of a Group One winner, who in turn is out of another Group One winner, in the Queensland Derby-winning Danehill mare Camarena. Exceed And Excel is the nation’s leading sire after his daughters Overreach (Group One Golden Slipper) and Guelph had tasted juvenile Group one success over the past month.
Best Bet Of The Day: Race 7, No 8 Epaulette 3yo c (Commands x Accessories, by Singspiel), trained by Peter Snowden. This colt could have also been the Best On Breeding as he is a half-brother to triple Group One winner Helmet, who won on this day two years back, taking out the Group One Champagne Stakes.
Best Roughie: Race 8, No 10 Rarefied 6yo g. (Commands x Subtle, by Night Shift), trained by Peter Snowden
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