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State League Grand Final Previews and Best Bets

Fri, Sep 21, 9:53am by Staff Writer

State Leagues in Victoria, South Australia and Western Australia all play their Grand Finals this weekend, with plenty at stake for the six competing clubs.

VFL Grand Final

Casey Demons versus Box Hill Hawks

Sunday, 23 September 2018 at 3:20pm, Marvel Stadium

The 2018 VFL Grand Final takes place on Sunday between Casey and Box Hill.

The Demons are an affiliate of the Melbourne Football Club, while Box Hill is aligned with Hawthorn.

Casey is a narrow favourite at $1.88, with Box Hill priced at $1.92.

The Demons finished the home and away season in second spot, with 14 wins and four losses this season. Their campaign included a 12-match winning streak.

The Hawks finished in sixth spot with 12 wins and six losses in and up-and-down season for the 2013 premiers.

The two sides clashed twice during the season, sharing the spoils. It was Box Hill that won the most recent encounter between the two sides, thumping Casey in miserable conditions by 45 points.

The Casey side may be riding high if Melbourne wins its preliminary final on Saturday afternoon, with plenty of fans set to flock to Marvel Stadium should the first-team prevail.

There is not much separating these two sides, but we are opting for a more experienced Box Hill team to get the job done in a nail biter.

Best bet- Box Hill to win at $1.92

SANFL Grand Final

Norwood Redlegs versus North Adelaide Roosters

Sunday, 23 September 2018 at 3:30pm, Adelaide Oval

The biggest day in South Australian football takes place on Sunday after a week of off-field controversy.

North Adelaide’s five-point win against Woodville-West Torrens was overshadowed by the Roosters playing part of the final quarter with an extra man.

They trailed by nearly eight goals in the third quarter and by 20 points at three-quarter time before a stunning comeback saw them prevail by five points.

There was an appeal lodged on Monday night, with North Adelaide fined $10,000 and surrendering four competition points to begin the 2019 SANFL season.

Norwood has been out of the spotlight this week and enters as $1.37 favourites to win the Grand Final.

North Adelaide is priced at $3.10 and is a 17.5-point underdog on the handicap at $1.90.

The Redlegs have won 30 SANFL premierships, including a treble between 2012-14.

They finished the home and away season on top of the SANFL ladder, winning 14 games and losing four. It was a far tougher season for their opponents, who won 11 games and lost seven to sneak into the finals in fifth position.

North Adelaide got the better of Norwood by 44 ponts in round 4 and booted 21 goals in a dominating performance.

When they played in round 18, it was the Redlegs who prevailed by 15 points.

It is difficult to see how North Adelaide put a week of controversy behind them to win this one.

Norwood will be too strong and raise the premiership cup once more.

Best bet- Norwood to cover 17.5-point handicap at $1.90

WAFL Grand Final

Subiaco Lions versus West Perth Falcons

Sunday, 23 September at 4:40pm, Optus Stadium

Subiaco looks to complete an undefeated season when it plays West Perth in the WAFL Grand Final on Sunday.

The Lions are $1.13 favourites to win the match, with West Perth big outsiders at $6.

Subiaco finished the home and away season with 18 wins from 18 matches and a huge percentage of 221.5.

They conceded only 926 points this season. South Fremantle conceded the second least number of points in the WAFL this season at 1251.

West Perth finished in third spot on the ladder with 11 wins and seven losses.

The Falcons had a 53-point win against Claremont in the semi finals, after losing to South Fremantle in the first week of the finals.

They got their revenge in last weekend’s preliminary final though, surprising the wayward Bulldogs, who kicked 9.17 and lose by 26 points.

This will be the first WAFL Grand Final played at Optus Stadium since it opened last year.

Subiaco is a 36.5-point favourite in handicap betting and they shouldn’t lose this one.

Best bet- Subiaco to cover 36.5-point handicap at $1.90

State League Grand Final Odds

VFL

Casey $1.88 v Box Hill $1.92

SANFL

Norwood $1.37 v North Adelaide $3.10

WAFL

Subiaco $1.13 v West Perth $6

*See full betting markets here


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