Tue, Jun 19, 6:21pm by Staff Writer
New South Wales enter State of Origin game two at Sydney’s ANZ Stadium as overwhelming favourites to beat Queensland for only the second time in 12 years.
The Blues are $1.37 favourites at Sportsbet, with Queensland a huge $3.20 outsiders.
Both squads have been troubled with injuries in the past round of NRL action.
For New South Wales, forward Reagan Campbell Gillard has suffered a broken jaw, James Maloney has a sciatic nerve complaint and Latrell Mitchell was stretched off against the Panthers with a neck injury.
Campbell Gillard is a certain non-starter, with outlets reporting that Maloney and Mitchell will be good to go.
Coach Brad Fittler has drafted in Gold Coast forward Ryan James and Cronulla’s Matt Prior as potential replacements for Campbell Gillard. Luke Keary has come into the squad on standby for Maloney.
Queensland are facing similar injury issues, with game one fullback Michael Morgan having surgery for a torn bicep on Monday. He will miss the remainder of the season.
The biggest question heading into Origin two will be regarding the status of Billy Slater. He missed game one with a hamstring injury and has not played for the Melbourne Storm in three weeks.
If Slater cannot play, Newcastle’s Kayln Ponga is set to get his first start in Origin.
The 20-year-old has been a revelation this season, and is in Kevin Walters’ squad and may play a bench utility role if he does not start.
Anthony Milford has been dropped from the side that took the field in game one. Dylan Napa suffered an ankle syndesmosis injury against the Panthers, with Melbourne’s Tim Glasby included to sure up the team’s middle third defence.
The Blues were in a similar series-winning position last season and crumbled in the second half, with much of the pre-match news surrounding whether or not Johnathan Thurston would play.
The Blues are 8.5-point favourites after a 10-point victory in game one, when they were a similar opening line to win.
The Blues are favoured to win by 13+ in the margin market at $2.50. A win by 1-12 points is paying $2.80.
If Queensland are to win, it is by 1-12 points at $4.50. An unlikely 13+ win is paying $11.
Josh Addo-Carr scored on his debut for New South Wales and is $8.50 in the first tryscorer market on Sunday.
Manly’s Tom Trbojevic scored a wonderful try in the second half of game one and is $9 in the first tryscorer market.
Valentine Holmes is Queensland’s shortest price option at $13, after his runaway intercept try in Melbourne.
In the series winner market, New South Wales are priced at $1.13, needing a win in game two or three to clinch the series. Queensland are $6.50.
The New South Wales series sweep is paying $2.40, with a 2-1 series win the shortest price offered at $2.
State of Origin Odds – Sportsbet
New South Wales $1.37 Queensland $3.20
New South Wales 1-12 $2.80, 13+ $2.50
Queensland 1-12 $4.50, 13+ $11
Line: New South Wales -8.5 $1.91
Total match points: Over/under 34.5 $1.90
New South Wales $1.13 Queensland $6.50
New South Wales 3-0 $2.40
New South Wales 2-1 $2
Queensland 2-1 $6.50
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