Fri, Mar 23, 1:43pm by Staff Writer
Round six of Super Rugby begins on Friday night with the Crusaders hosting the Bulls in Christchurch.
Despite back-to-back losses to the Hurricanes and Highlanders, the Crusaders are $1.06 to beat the Bulls who are $9.
The Bulls had a terrific first half against the Chiefs last Friday night, before losing the possession battle in the second half, falling by 13 points.
The starting line is 20.5 and if it creeps up to 21.5, a play on the Bulls would be the best value in this match.
The Melbourne Rebels suffered their first loss of the season, when the Brumbies dominated the second half and they fell 51-27 on Sunday afternoon.
Despite a strong start, the Rebels capitulated in the second half, something which we hadn’t seen from them all season.
They now face a Sharks team that lost a close match to the Brumbies 24-17 in Canberra, despite being favourites.
The Rebels are $1.50 favourites on Friday night, with the Sharks at $2.60.
Backing the Rebels in the Big Win Little Win 1-12 market at $2.88 is the play in this mach.
The Sunwolves return from South Africa without a win, but produced their best performance of the season in a narrow loss to the Lions 40-38 on Sunday morning.
They now host a Chiefs side still without a host of first choice players, but who have won two consecutive matches.
The Sunwolves are priced at $11 for this match, and did beat the Blues the last time they faced a New Zealand opponent in Japan last season.
The Chiefs are the shortest price of the round at $1.04 and are 24.5-point favourites.
We are again backing the Sunwolves to cover the 24.5-point line at $1.90, with their travel fatigue hopefully not counting against them in the second half.
Fans are in for another New Zealand derby on Saturday night, as the Hurricanes host the Highlanders.
The Canes are coming off a bye, but defeated the Crusaders a fortnight ago, while the Highlanders had a hard fought 25-17 win over Canterbury last weekend.
The Hurricanes enter this match as $1.53 favourites, with the Highlanders at $2.50.
The Hurricanes have won four of their last six home matches against the Highlanders and should cover the 5.5-point handicap.
Back the Hurricanes -5.5 at $1.90.
The Stormers host a resurgent Reds team on Sunday night, with the Reds aiming for their fourth consecutive victory.
After wins against the Brumbies and Bulls, the Reds stunned the Jaguares as big underdogs on Sunday morning.
They are even bigger outsiders this week at $3.75 as they face the Stormers, who are $1.27 favourites at Newlands.
The Stormers had a disappointing tour of Australia and New Zealand, but thumped the Blues 37-20 as home underdogs last weekend.
We like the Stormers to get the job done and cover the 10.5-point handicap start at $1.90 against the Reds, who should be fatigued after a physical match in Argentina.
The final match of the round has the Lions visiting Buenos Aires to take on the Jaguares.
Both teams have been disappointing this season, despite the Lions 4-1 record.
They have not been as clinical as they were in 2017 and with tough fixtures against the Crusaders and Stormers, followed by a four match tour of Australia and New Zealand to follow, the Lions will be desperate to find form.
Luckily they face an out of sorts Jaguares team who only have one win against the Waratahs from five starts.
They are $3.75 underdogs to beat the Lions, something they did last season against a Lions reserves team in round three.
The Lions are $1.27 favourites and have already beaten the Jaguares by 20 points this season in round two.
There is little to like about the Jaguares this season, and if the Lions are serious contenders, they should win this by double digits.
Take the Lions in the Big Win Little Win market 13+ at $2.
Super Rugby Round 6 Odds – Sportsbet
Crusaders $1.06 Bulls $9
Rebels $1.50 Sharks $2.60
Sunwolves $11 Chiefs $1.04
Hurricanes $1.53 Highlanders $2.50
Stormers $1.27 Reds $3.75
Jaguares $3.75 Lions $1.27
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