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Swansea vs Arsenal Week 6 Odds

Fri, Sep 27, 2:36pm by Clarinda Campbell

Match: Swansea City ($3.25) vs Arsenal ($2.25) – EPL Week 6
When/Where: 2:30am (AEST), Sunday 29th September 2013 at Liberty Stadium
Bet on Swansea vs Arsenal:

Swansea vs ArsenalArsenal now find themselves at the top of the competition ladder after securing their fourth win of the EPL season last week. Swansea are in ninth position with two wins, one draw and a loss.

This game should be the most exciting of the weekend. Both teams play an attacking style of football that is quite attractive.

Arsenal has opened as favourites for this match, but they aren’t resounding short priced favourites.

  • In the last six games played, Swansea has won two, Arsenal has won three, and there has been one draw.
  • Arsenal has scored eleven goals this year and allowed six.
  • Swansea has scored seven goals and let in seven so far.
  • Arsenal has kept one clean sheet this season (1-0 win over Tottenham).
  • Swansea has kept two clean sheets (over West Brom and Crystal Palace).
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Swansea vs Arsenal Prediction

Mesut Ozil continues to impress for Arsenal and will be expected to star in this game. Olivier Giroud will also heavily feature. The Arsenal striker has scored seven times for Arsenal this year, with four from his last three matches.

Swansea lost their first two EPL matches but have bounced back to be in a respectable position on the competition ladder. They may be without their club captain Ashley Williams due to an ankle injury and there is also doubt over midfielder Pablo Hernandez who is struggling with a hamstring.

Swansea has performed well in previous Premier Leagues against Arsenal, winning two of their four meetings. Swansea move the ball with speed and accuracy. Swansea need to defeat Arsenal to show they are ready to take the next step. The problem for Swansea this year has been their conversions. They have had heaps of possession but haven’t converted it to goals.

If Arsenal win here they will equal their best run of Premier League away wins (eight). Interestingly, both Premier League games between Swansea and Arsenal last season ended as 2-0 away wins.

I am tipping Arsenal to win 2-1. They are on a winning streak with great attack up front. Swansea are doing well but will struggle to beat a top team like Arsenal.

H2H Odds & Free Tips

Swansea Head to Head: $3.25
Arsenal Head to Head: $2.25 with
Draw: $3.30

Arsenal has opened as the favourites in H2H betting but they are still better than even money. They are attractive odds given Arsenal’s current standing in the competition and the fact they have won their last four.

Handicap Betting

Swansea (+1): $1.57
Handicap Draw (+1): $4.00
Arsenal (-1):$4.20

A bet in this market should be based around your score prediction. I have tipped Arsenal to win by 1 goal so the handicap draw comes into play as Swansea get a +1 advantage.


Under 0.5 Goals: $10.80
Over 0.5 Goals: $1.03

Under 1.5 Goals: $3.80
Over 1.5 Goals: $1.25

Under 2.5 Goals: $1.96
Over 2.5 Goals: $1.78

Under 3.5 Goals: $1.35
Over 3.5 Goals: $3.03

Under 4.5 Goals: $1.13
Over 4.5 Goals: $5.40

Again, this market is based around your score prediction. I have predicted a total of three goals to be scored in the match so my suggested bet is on “Under 3.5 Goals”.

Winning Margin

Swansea to Win By:

Exactly 1 goal: $4.50
Exactly 2 goals: $9.50
Exactly 3 goals: $23.00
4 or more goals: $67.00


0-0 Draw: $10.00
Score Draw: $4.20

Arsenal to Win By:

Exactly 1 goal: $4.00 with
Exactly 2 goals: $6.50
Exactly 3 goals: $13.00
4 or more goals: $26.00

I have predicted Arsenal to win by one goal, which is currently paying $4.00 in this winning margin market. I really like the value here.

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