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Sydney FC vs. Wellington Phoenix – A-League betting preview

Sun, Apr 6, 10:11am by Rob Sheeley

A-LeagueMatch: Sydney FC vs. Wellington Phoenix – A-League Round 26
When/Where: 7:45pm AET, Sunday 6th April at Allianz Stadium
AUD $100 Free Bet: www.IASbet.com

WHILE many would say that Wellington’s chances of making the top six are about as realistic as a sighting of the mythical bird with which they share a moniker. They will travel to Sydney this Sunday hoping to rise from the ashes that was their late-season slump, a la said fabled avian creature.

Winning their last two games would see the Phoenix finish the season on 34 competition points. They currently sit in eighth with the Newcastle Jets (32) and Sydney FC (33) in front of them. While it might be an unlikely double leap-frog with the Phoenix relying on so many results going their way, it is not impossible.

Sydney FC on the other hand, will be feeling the weight of expectation from their Harbour City fans heavier than a ton of bricks as they try to cling on to sixth place like the last fading leaf on a deciduous tree mid-autumn.

Punters are leaning heavily to Sydney FC probably more due to the home-ground advantage rather than their less-than-flattering form (although it is better than the Phoesnix’s form).

Sydney is currently $1.77 with Sportingbet.com.au while Wellington is $4.50. Wellington defeated Sydney 1-0 last time they met, albeit of the other side of the Tasman Sea, while Sydney won the last home clash between the two teams 2-1.

Neither side has recent form to get excited about with the two sides sharing just one win between them from their last ten combined matches. That win was Sydney FC’s 3-1 win over the Western Sydney Wanderers a month ago.

Last week, Sydney managed a draw with an in-form Melbourne Victory outfit, so while they may not be high-flying, FC do still appear to be traveling ok.

For Phoenix fans, their recent form is uglier than a passport photo with their last win coming some six-weeks ago. They are currently staring down the barrel of three straight losses after a 1-0 defeat at the hands of Adelaide United last week and a 5-0 flogging from the Newcastle Jets a week earlier.

Historically, the two teams are as even as it comes with just one win separating them. The Phoenix have not had a lot of success at the Sydney venue and they are one win apiece this season.

  • These two teams have met 22 times, Sydney FC have won 12, the Phoenix have won 10 and there has been one draw.
  • The last time they met the result was a 1-0 win to the Phoenix at Westpac Stadium.
  • Sydney FC have won 53 from 111 at Allianz Stadium with a winning percentage 47.75%.
  • The Phoenix have won just three matches from 11 appearances at Allianz Stadium.

Keys to victory

Despite the fact that both teams have scored 34 goals apiece this season, the Phoenix will be close to asking for government aid, such is the proportions of their goal-scoring drought.

They have not scored in their last two matches and have only managed four goals in their last five outings. That may not sound too drastic, but it is when you consider they have had 14 goals scored against them in that time.

They will need to rekindle their scoring firepower or they might as well start booking their end-of-season trip for two weeks time. The role will rest largely on the feet of Stein Huysegems, who has scored ten goals this season but missed a golden opportunity last week. Carlos Hernandez is another who will need to chime in for the Phoenix in their attacking endeavours.

Sydney FC will be able to take solace in the fact that they grow a leg when playing at home. They have won seven from 12 at Allianz Stadium this season and look a different team in front of the fans in sky blue.

Alessandro Del Piero is, without a doubt, the key man for Sydney FC. The wily old fox is capable of unleashing magic that makes a David Copperfield extravaganza look more like the Magic Mumford show. His set piece wizardry and genuine class make him the obvious game-breaker.

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Sydney FC vs. Wellington Phoenix – Round 26 prediction

For as much as the desperate equation says that the Phoenix have every reason to win this game, their woeful form says the opposite.

If results fall their way, a Sydney FC win here will secure their playoffs berth. That incentive, along with their parochial fans in The Cove should see the men in sky blue winning well in this one.

Prediction – Sydney FC by two goals.

Sydney FC vs. Wellington Phoenix head-to-head betting

Sydney – $1.77 with Sportingbet.com.au and Centrebet
Wellington – $4.50
Draw – $3.60

Sydney FC look to be a very good price in this match. They have it all to play for and an impeccable record at Allianz Stadium. This is the best bet of the match.

Handicap betting odds & tips

Sydney (-1)- $3.20 with IASbet.com
Draw (-1) – $3.69
Wellington (+1) – $1.91

The desperation to score that we will likely see from the Phoenix should they get behind will open them up to conceding more goals. Sydney FC should win by at least two goals and offer huge value in this market.

Over/Under 2.5 goals betting

Under 2.5 Goals- $2.18
Over 2.5 Goals – $1.65 with Sportingbet.com.au

This could end up a very high-scoring affair and punters seem to agree. The over 2.5 goals looks the only way to go here.

Exotic and other bets

Both Teams to score at $1.57 appears to be a pretty good bet in this game

Alessandro Del Piero is a man who rises to the big occasions like this one and he is overdue to find the back of the net. Del Piero is currently $4.20 to score first, $1.72 to score at anytime and $2.88 to score first for Sydney FC.


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