Wed, May 7, 7:32am by Daryl Curnow
When: Wednesday, May 7. First race starts at 1:08pm.
Open an account with Centrebet for $150 in free bets to place on any race throughout the week.
This week’s edition of mid-week racing comes from one of Sydney’s premier tracks in Warwick Farm. We preview the quality seven-race card with all the form, odds and our best bets to ensure you have some more punting money for the weekend ahead.
Race 1 – Longma – $2.30
Race 5 – Mamwaazel – $3.20
Each way – Race 4 – Nightingales – $5
We see Longma as a good bet to start the day at $2.30. The Gai Waterhouse-trained colt has a record of one win and two placings from six starts and his third placing last time out on this track was good, but it’s his form out of the Group Two Danehill Stakes that will make him tough to beat in a mid-week field. The son of Sebring finished sixth on that occasion, only 1.75 lengths from the winner, and that form in this grade is very good. He will have to carry 59kg but on paper he has too much class for this field.
Madame Ginoux was only fair first up on this track but the three-year-old filly won fresh up last preparation and she has been well supported in the betting. The Anthony Cummings-trained filly is currently sitting at $4.60 but that price looks a touch short considering she has finished ninth and sixth at her last two starts. There is upside about her chances however as James McDonald rides with only 55.5kg to carry.
Wow Factor is an improving gelding who has been a touch unlucky at his last two starts. The Husson gelding was a winner at Gosford three starts back but he does rise in distance here and that is a cause for concern. The Gerald Ryan-trained runner looks better suited to the shorter trips but this field, barring a couple, is thin on quality and he could run a place.
Best bet: Longma to win ($2.30) at Centrebet.com
Festivity’s form line might not suggest that she’s a leading chance in this but the Gai Waterhouse-trained filly has been trialing well. The two-year-old daughter of Nicconi finished 11th in the Gimcrack last October where she was a $17 shot but her trial form has been excellent leading into this and there is good tote support. She is currently at $6.50 and her good weight and draw make her a nice value bet in this.
Cramant has shown plenty of potential in two career starts which have included a win and a placing. The Paul Perry-trained gelding won on debut at Newcastle before stepping up in distance at Canterbury and running a close second. He will be dropping back in distance but that should suit as he likes to sit on the pace and he will likely go forward from his outside barrier draw of 14. He ran as a $9.50 shot last time out but the punters haven’t missed him this time – currently at $4 even.
Next Level is a promising type who will be better suited to this grade. The Gary Portelli-trained gelding has finished seventh and last in two starts but those races were won by Time For War and Law, two very good horses who would win this race by many lengths. He has solid trial form leading into this and his breeding suggests a win won’t be far away.
Best bet: Festivity to win ($6.50) at Sportsbet.com.au
We have tipped Murphy’s Delight on many an occasion and the four-year-old has let us down but he should be included into multiples here. The Chris Waller-trained import won his first race in Australia but has since failed to win which included a last start third when starting as a $1.85 favourite. It appears as though he needs a good track to show his best and if he gets that here he’s a chance to redeem himself.
Stablemate Saghann is the polar opposite for trainer Chris Waller. The gelding needs a wet track as he showed on this track two starts ago when winning by 0.75 of a length in the heavy going. The five-year-old import is a two-time winner from 11 starts including one on this track and he will appreciate the rise in distance. He is currently at $4.60 which is a touch short considering there doesn’t look to be any rain around.
Space has done all his racing in Victoria for Michael Moroney but he travels to Sydney for this and he must be respected following his last start second at Caulfield. The two-time winner from 12 starts is a promising stayer in a good stable who deserves to get a breakthrough win. His odds of $8 suggests he won’t win but he is a nice place chance.
Amazon has looked better than average at her last two starts, winning both very easily with margins of 3.25 and 1.25 lengths. The Les Bridge-trained filly proved far too good last time out and the step up in grade won’t be too much of an issue. This will be her first start on this track and she does go up significantly in weight but winning form is good form.
Nightingales finished 3.6 lengths behind Amazon at Canterbury but the Darley runner – now trained by John O’Shea – needed that run and she will be fitter for this. Street Cry’s are running very well in all states and on a good track she is very rarely out of the equation. She is currently at $5 which is great value in a very even field.
Raunchy Rocker was well supported at Canterbury last time out when finishing second and she looks to have very solid form for this. The Gai Waterhouse-trained filly by Fastnet Rock won five starts back and has since placed twice. Her run at Canterbury was good but she carried only 54kg, as opposed to the 59kg she will carry here. That will make it tough on her but she is above average and is worth a chance.
Best bet: Nightingales to win ($5) at IASbet.com
Mamwaazel was a touch unlucky at Warwick Farm last start as the apprentice jockey didn’t give him a great chance to win. Now with Jim Cassidy in the saddle his chances soar and the filly has won two and placed once from three starts on this track. Trained by Chris Waller, the Exceed And Excel filly finished third behind Scratchy Bottom who has since run second in the South Australian Derby. That form should stack up well for this and the $3.20 available looks like a nice multi-bet inclusion.
Nisroc hasn’t done much wrong in her career with three wins and one placing from four starts. The Darren Smith-trained daughter of Northern Meteor won her first two starts impressively before running a solid third on this track. She then carried 59kg to win last time out at Randwick and there is no reason as to why she can’t continue with her good form in this.
Killcareless is a Bjorn Baker-trained filly who won on this track five starts back. The More Than Ready filly then finished fifth in the Group Two Silver Shadow but she has yet to regain her form in three runs since. She is second up here where she is yet to win or place in two starts but Nash Rawiller sticks with her so that instills a good amount of confidence.
Best bet: Mamwaazel to win ($3.20) at Sportingbet.com.au
Absolutelyanything is a five-year-old mare who has won three from 13 starts. The Joseph Pride-trained mare finished seventh last time out at Randwick but she finished only 1.7 lengths from the winner. She has a fair amount of class about her and after two runs this campaign she should be in fit order and is due for another win here.
Moorluv looks like a good value bet at $5.50 after opening at $6. The Hawkes’-trained runner drops right back in grade after last running ninth in the Group Three Adrian Knox at Randwick. Her previous form was good with a win coming four starts back and the 1600 metre distance looks like it will suit her best. She has drawn wide in barrier 13 but James McDonald rides and he makes a big difference.
Sir Bigglesworth is fresh up for Gai Waterhouse after having only one run in Australia. The One Cool Cat gelding raced in New Zealand where her form was solid, but it was racing in the South Island and that’s a big step down compared to this class. She is however in an astute stable and she did trial well leading into this, therefore it might pay to follow market moves.
Best bet: Moorluv to win ($5.50) at IASbet.com
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