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Tips And Selections for Ballarat, March 1

Fri, Mar 1, 9:40am by Kevin Pitstock

We took a look through the eight race program at Ballarat on Friday, March 1

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Race 1: Porter Plant Plate (2300m)
The opening race on the eight race Ballarat card and we are greeted with a Slow Seven track, which should improve throughout the day. Leaning towards No 8 Hawkesinthesky who is the most inexperienced runner in the field, having only his fourth career start here, but has improved at each and every run and should be suited by the 2300m. No 9 King’s Cascade from the Anthony Freedman stable disappointed last time out, but his third placed effort the start prior indicates he is in with a chance. No 12 Our Recital comes from the stable of Pat Carey and he knows how to train stayers so on that along this mare must be included. To round out the top four, going with No 1 By His Design who finished third last time out, in the race that Hawkesinthesky finished second in.
Verdict: 8-9-12-1

Race 2: Tanya Daniels Plate (1200m)
A maiden over the 1200m for the three-year-olds and up with the James Winks-ridden No 11 Deus Invictus looking a good chance based on her two runs to date. Although a four-year-old mare her fourth and third placed efforts look a good form reference for this race. No 6 Arsenal Power from the Peter Moody stable is first up, and although he will start a dominant favourite, he goes in for second, while No 2 De Pony is third up from a spell and should also be included. Going right to left field to round out the first four with the unraced five-year-old No 4 Mr Satnav.
Verdict: 11-6-2-4

Race 3: Acute Health Plate (1600m)
A maiden for three-year-olds over the mile and there is a few chances here with the Colin and Cindy Alderson-trained  No 3 Duplicity Jones having finished second last time out when racing erratically, so if he can put it altogether, he may be able to score. No 5 He’snotthemessiah from the Mick Kent stable is sure to start favourite for two reasons – his debut run last campaign was a good effort and the trainer is in red hot form!  No 11 Glenaroua from the Matthew Ellerton and Simon Zahra stable has six placing’s from seven starts, so must be included, while No 4 Eiffelman from the Greg Eurell stable finished third last time out and with improvement will get into the money.
Verdict: 3-5-11-4

Race 4: City Of Ballarat Plate (1600m)
A race for the fillies and mares sees a very large field, which makes it somewhat tricky, but we lean towards  No 4 Quilltilla from the Jason Warren yard. Finishing a good fourth last time out the five-year-old mare should produce a good run.  No 6 Big Uma Bazooma from the Leon Corstens stable has been disappointing in her three starts to date, both with her race manners and he form – but hopefully she can turn it around here with a drop in grade.  No 15 Volume One  from the Mick Kent stable stuck interference last time out and was then spelled, but did race in Group Two company the start prior to that, so stable must have an opinion of her.  No 5 Suryama was a good second last time out and must be included.
Verdict: 4-6-15-5

Race 5: Ballarat City Mazda (1600m)
The fifth of the day is the smallest field by far with only eight runners accepted, and this is where we find the Best Bet Of The Day in  No 4 Baremin from the Darren Weir stable. A winner last time out, the four-year-old mare has some good form in the city and is clearly the one to beat. No 5 Cash Currency from the Robbie Griffiths yard is a consistent galloper and a her last start win puts her right in the picture here, while  No 6 Tully Costsa, like the top two rated runners is also a last start winner and should be thereabouts. Going in race book order, No 7 Vixen Hussler from the Greg Eurell stable rounds out the top four chances.
Verdict: 4-5-6-7

Race 6: Hygain Handicap (1200m)
The top weight and current race favourite  No 1 Graceland should prove the toughest to beat here over the 1200m. Having placed at all three runs back from a spell, the four-year-old mare should be winning, even with the 60kg.  No 7 Cross Examination has only had two starts to date and after an impressive win first time up, was spelled after a disappointing performance at her next. Resumes here and should be included. No 8 On A Given Day has been only fair at her last three starts, but prepared to give another go, while No 4 Kochamma can perform better than his recent form suggests.
Verdict: 1-7-8-4

Race 7: Sportsbet.com.au Showcase (1400m)
The second last of the day sees Darren Weir with a top chances of taking out the one-two, with  No 2 Edge Of War getting the nod over stale mate  No 1 Doing Our Best. Both have good form and both carry 60kg, so it may come down to luck in running and which jockey rides the best race – but we are leaning No 2 from No 1. No 6 Harpsund is second up here after a very good first up second and with natural improvement and with Chris Symons in the saddle, the six-year-old should run a good race. To fill the first four, No 3 Sleepin’ Pete goes into calculations with two ok runs at his past two.
Verdict: 2-1-6-3

Race 8: Hygain Showcase (1000m)
The final race of the day and although the top rated runner is a gelding, he gets the Best On Breeding tag. By Exceed And Excel out of a Group One-winning mare, No 15 Yellow Jersey from the Anthony Freedman stable is in great form. Having finished first and second at his last two starts, he should prove hard to run down here.  No 14 Tricky Glen has only had three starts to date with a win and two second placed efforts and if is ready first-up, he could trouble the top-rated runner. Five-year-old gelding observer was a disappointment last time out after a very good first-up win, but should be given another chance, while No 3 Redangelo has raced in better company than this and although resuming, could sprint well fresh.
Verdict: 15-14-7-3

Best Bet Of The Day: Race 5, No 4. Baremin 4yo m. (Barley A Moment x Vitamins, by Tierce), trainer Darren Weir

Best On Breeding: Race 8, No 15. Yellow Jersey 3yo g. (Exceed And Excel x Ellicorsam, by Fimiston), trained by Anthony Freedman. The sire needs no introduction, while the dam of this gelding was a Group One winner of the Robert Sangster Stakes in Adelaide as well as a further six stakes races in Melbourne and Perth.


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