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Tips and selections for Saturday March 23 at Rosehill

Sat, Mar 23, 11:07am by Kevin Pitstock

We take a look through the nine race program at Rosehill on Saturday, March 23

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Race 1: Listed Bacardi – World’s No.1 Rum Stakes (1100m)
The opening race of the day in what is a great day of racing at Rosehill sees No 2 Instinction on top. A new addition to the Paul Messara stable, the Exceed And Excel four-year-old does have some good first up form and with Craig Williams in the saddle he could be a good chance at odds. Putting in No 1 Hot Snitzel from second as the gelding does have three sin and a second from five first-up attempts, the only concern is that he has been asked to carrying 59kgs, but is on his home track. Going with No 7 Hidden Warrior big leaps last campaign going from a 900m maiden win at Newcastle to a Group Three victory two starts later at Moonee Valley. Rounding out the first four with No 5 Didntcostalot who was a good winner last time out.
Verdict: 2-1-7-5

Race 2: Group Two Moet & Chandon Stakes (1200m)
A great race, which should determine the Group One Golden Slipper favourite. On that basis, putting the Exceed And Excel filly No Overreach on top for trainer Gai Waterhouse. An almost six length winner last time out at listed level, the filly should prove the ne to beat with the only danger coming from No 1 Villa Verde, an unbeaten Not A Single Doubt filly from the Shaun Dwyer stable. No 3 Diva Dee is still a maiden, and is likely to stay that way after this race, but has put some nice performances together finishing second last time out at Group Three level.  No 4 Go Again was a good winner on debut and travels up from Melbourne to try and get a slipper birth.
Verdict: 2-1-3-4

Race 3: Listed McGrath Estate Agents Sky High Stakes (1900m)
One of a few races over a bit of a trip on the Rosehill program with the selection being  No 7 Hoylonny from the Chris Waller stable. A Lonhro four-year-old who should be ready for this trip third up after two very encouraging performances this time in. No 2 Alma’s Fury won the Group Two Apollo Stakes two starts back before finishing under two lengths from the winner Shoot Out last start in the Group One Chipping Norton Stakes – good enough to figure in the finish here! No 5 Single was a stayer on the rise a season back but then had some time out due to injury – has been ok since, but now up to a trip that he appreciates and as the winner of the race last year, is a great chance.  No 4 Le Roi from the Tony McEvoy yard is racing first up in this race, but as a Germany-bred stayer he will appreciate the trip and should be running on.
Verdict: 7-2-5-4

Race 4: Group Two Spotless Todman Stakes (1200m)
The second of the two races for the two-year-olds – this one for the colts, and is a little more open that the fillies race. Going with No 5 Charlie Boy from the Gerald Ryan stable who put in a very good effort first up this campaign where he finished third behind Sweet Idea and should be hard to beat here.  No 7 Sidestep from the Peter Snowden stable has always been spoken about highly and should run well here after a second last time out in the Black Opal.  No 6 Va Pensiero has the form around some good horses – defeating All The Talk two starts back and last start running second to Whittington and on that alone should be rated highly.  No 10 Havana is one of the most interesting runners in this race – some very good trial performances before a first up run where he missed the start slightly and then never really made any ground up along the rail. Luke Nolen rides here after riding Black Caviar last night to her 24th win, and should a great chance at odds, and one of the best rough chances of the day for mine.
Verdict: 5-7-6-10

Race 5: Group Two Spotless Pahr Lap Stakes (1500m)
Three-year-old over the 1500m here and putting the last start Bendigo Guineas runner-up  No 4 Ninth Legion on top. Trained by the Hawkes stable, they would not back him up after racing last Saturday unless they thought he would be a great chance.  No 5 Toydidni, is somewhat of an enigma!! During his first campaign he raced like he was going to be a top line galloper, but during the first part of his three-year-old campaign he disappointed. Returned with a good fifth, he steps up in trip here and should be hard to beat second up.  No 2 Ashokan was a last start second in the Listed Canberra Guineas and has form around some of the best of his generation!  No 1 Albrecht did not seem to fire in Melbourne and now back to Sydney, he looks capable of improving.
Verdict: 4-5-2-1

Race 6: Group One Ranvet Stakes (2000m)
The first of the Group One races for the day with  No 13 Fiveandahalfstar the top selection. After winning the Derby at his last run last campaign he has resumed for three second places at Group Two level twice and then a Group One runner up in the Australian Cup last time out. Gets a good weight relief from the older horses at the WFA scale and should be hard to beat.  No 12 Silent Achiever is a high class four-year-old mare who is a Group Two winner and a Group One runner up and should get a good run here after a fourth I the Group One Chipping Norton last time out.  No 1 Manighar won this race last year and while he is not going nearly as good as last season, he could be a sneaky chance now up in trip.  No 2 Sangster has won two Group Ones and a Group Two at his last three starts, only concern is dropping back from the 3200m to the 2000m – is capable though!
Verdict: 13-12-1-2

Race 7: Group One Coolmore Classic (1500m)
The Group One Coolmore Classic for the fillies and mares is a great race, probably the best of the day and we are leaning towards the Guy Walter-trained No 5 Appearance. A winner of the Group One Myer Classic third up last campaign, as she is here, the Darley-owned mare has been if good form this time in with a second and a fourth. No 13 Bennetta is a filly on the up and the General Nediym filly destroyed her rivals two starts back at Group Two level before being unlucky last time out and could be the ones at the weights. No 1 Streama is a dual Group One winner and has produced two good efforts this time in, finishing second at both starts.  No 9 Star Of Giselle is a Melbourne visitor who has been aimed at this race since her Spring campaign ended and should be a good chance – could have easily missed the winner here in such an open race!
Verdict: 5-13-1-9

Race 8: Group One Celebrations Canterbury Stakes (1300m)
The final of the Group One races for the day sees the Gai Waterhouse pair of No 10 Pierro and No 7 More Joyous battle it out for favouritism! Leaning slightly to the Lonhro colt Pierro to remain unbeaten in Sydney and unbeaten second up.  More Joyous is such a glamour mare and racing first up she should be ready to run a great race.  No 6 Aeronautical almost caused a boil over last time out when finish a head third in the Group One Newmarket at the odds of 80/1 – a rough chance here.  No 3 Moment Of Change finished second in the race Aeronautical finished second in and should be there when the whips are cracking.
Verdict: 10-7-6-3

Race 9: APN Outdoor Handicap (1200m)
The final of the day – and the only non-stakes race, but the quality with  No 13 Senta De Noche looking to remain unbeaten after winning his first three starts.  No 11 Segue has won her past two efforts, and as a four-year-old mare, when in form, they normal keep going.  No 6 Raceway has been disappointing at his last two starts on heavy going and looks to improve here at odds.  No 5 Australian Star was a narrow second last time out and looks ready to win his fifth race here.
Verdict: 13-11-6-5

Best On Breeding: Race 2, No 2 Overreach 2yo f. (Exceed And Excel x Bahia, by Snippets), trainer Gai Waterhouse. By the King of the kids in Exceed And Excel, Bahia is a half-sister to Group One winner Reward For effort (Exceed And Excel) as well as the multiple Stakes winner Consular.

Best On Breeding Again: Race 5, No 5 Toydini 3yo g. (Bernardini x Johan’s Toy, by Johan Cruyff), trainer Guy Walter. By Bernardini, who sired his first Australian Group One winner two weekends back with Ruud Awakening, this gelding is out of the dual Listed-winning, multiple Group One placed Johan’s Toy, a half-sister to Group Two winner Extra Zero and the G3 winner Operetta Lass.

Best Bet Of The Day: – It would be easy to say Pierro or Overreach, but leaning to one at a bit of odds. Race 7, No 5 Appearance 4yo m. (Commands x Disguise, by Grand Lodge), trainer Guy Walter. A winner of the Group One Myer Classic third up last campaign and the mare is going better this time in that last campaign when success at the elite level.


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