Fri, Aug 29, 4:48pm by Rob Sheeley
A SIMPLE scenario faces both the Brisbane Broncos and St. George Illawarra Dragons on Friday night; win and you’re still alive in 2014, lose and your season is over.
Both sides are still only mathematical chances of reaching the top eight, but without winning they are not even that.
The Broncos currently hold down ninth place on 26 competition points which is just one win outside of the top eight. The Dragons are also on 26 points but sit in 11th on points-difference.
The Broncos had been struggling before two wins in their last three matches has allowed them to haul themselves of the premiership canvas for one last crack Rocky Balboa style.
The Dragons were looking horrible before a mid-season coaching change and signing of the prodigal son, Benji Marshall allowed them to turn their fortunes around somewhat.
The Broncos have won the last four clashes between the two teams which includes a 36-20 victory back in Round Four of this season.
With both sides possessing some slick finishers who know their way across the stripe, AustralianGambling will look at the try-scoring markets for this match.
Here is a look at a few of the major players;
Dale Copley (Broncos) – This versatile 23-year-old back has had a season to remember in 2014. In his 22 outings, Copley has scored 16 tries so far this season and is proving a menace to opposition defensive lines. Copley is $9.00 to score first in this match with all bookmakers and $1.72 to score at any time with Sportsbet.
Jason Nightingale (Dragons) – Possibly the most famous Nightingale since Florence herself, international winger Jason has been a model of consistency in 2014. The unorthodox yet methodical winger has fashioned 15 tries from just 20 appearances this season and is always a solid option to open the scoring. He looks great value with Sportsbet at $12 to score first which is much better than the $9 on offer at Sportingbet and Centrebet. He is also $2.10 to score at any time.
Brett Morris (Dragons) – ”B-Moz” as he is affectionately known is a proven try-scoring machine. He has scored 111 tires in his 167 game NRL career which includes 13 this season from just 16 appearances. His acrobatics around the corner post have become a highlight in his game in the last couple of seasons and he is capable of anything. He is currently $11 to score first with Sportsbet and $2.00 to score at any time.
Jack Reed (Broncos) – The elusive Englishman with the blazing red hair is never too far away when the Broncos are firing. The 26-year-old outside back has scored 10 tries from 21 matches in 2014 and is a reliable finisher. He is $14 with Sportsbet to score first which is better than $11 with Sportingbet and Centrebet. He is also $2.50 to score at any time.
Josh Dugan (Dragons) – The former Raiders bad boy has turned a corner at the Dragons and has also looked to mature as a footballer. He has scored on nine occasions in his 16 matches for 2014 and looks harder to get hold of than a wet bar of soap at times. This week he will be playing in the centres but his recent appearances in that position have not stopped him from scoring tries. Sportsbet has the best price about Dugan scoring first which is $12. They also have him at $2.20 to score at any time.
Ben Hunt (Broncos) – The Broncos halfback has had a sensational season and has managed to score his own share of four-pointers in the process. The 24-year old has produced 10 tries from 22 appearances but is more likely to score later in the game than first. He is $18 to score first with Sportsbet and $3.10 to score at any time.
Matt Gillett (Broncos) – Many would think of Matt Gillett as a hard-running tackling machine before they considered his try-scoring prowess. Yet the tireless back-rower has snuck in eight tries for 2014 from just 18 games. At $18 he is probably priced about right and is also the type who is more likely to score later on in the match. He is $2.50 to score at any time with Centrebet.
Gerard Beale (Dragons) – The former Bronco returns to his old headquarters for this match. He has been a bit of a quiet achiever in 2014 and may represent value in this encounter. He has scored 10 tries in 22 appearances for the season and is likely to be keen to put his best foot forward against his old club. Sportsbet have Beale at $20 to score first which is way better than the $11 being offered by Centrebet and Sportingbet. At those odds he might be worth a sneaky little investment especially at $3.40 to score at any time with Sportsbet.
Value: Gerard Beale To score at any time at $3.40 with Sportsbet (He is also worth backing to score first at $20).
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