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UEFA Nations League Matchday 3: Preview and Best Bets

Thu, Oct 11, 12:05pm by Staff Writer

The UEFA Nations League continues after a successful debut last month, with teams playing across the next seven days.

Croatia versus England

Saturday, 13 October at 5:45am (AEDST) at Stadion Rujevica, Rijeka

Croatia and England both lost their opening UEFA Nations League games to Spain and will be desperate to register points on Saturday morning when they collide in Rijeka.

Croatia is a $2.60 favourite to win the match, with England priced at $2.80. The draw is paying $3.10.

This match will be played behind closed doors as part of a UEFA punishment against Croatia for racist behaviour in their UEFA Euro 2016 qualifying home match against Italy.

England lost to Spain 2-1 at Wembley in their opening game, while Croatia were hammering 6-0 by Spain in Elche.

A host of England players have been handed their first senior call-ups such as James Maddison, Mason Mount and Jadon Sancho.

Croatia has recalled experienced regulars Dejan Lovren and Ante Rebic into their side. They have scored in each of their last 20 home games, dating back to 2013. Despite there being no home crowd in this one, we expect them to be on target again and get a much needed win.

Best bet- Croatia to win at $2.60

Netherlands versus Germany

Sunday, 14 October 2018 at 5:45am (AEDST) at Johan Cruyff Arena, Amsterdam

The Netherlands has been paired with France and Germany in group 1, with a win against the German’s on Sunday morning essential to their hopes of avoiding relegation to League B.

The home side is a $3.50 underdog to win the match, with Germany the $2 favourites. The draw is paying $3.50.

The Netherlands lost to World Cup champions France last month in Paris by a 2-1 scoreline. There was no shame in that result for the Dutch, with the French team welcomed home after their World Cup triumph.

Germany held France to a 0-0 draw and is seeking its first win in the UEFA Nations League.

The Netherlands is in a transition period following the international retirements of Arjen Robben and Wesley Sneijder. New coach Ronald Koeman is under pressure to produce an immediate turnaround for his side, with squad selection highlighting that he is still trying to figure out his best team.

There are four new faces to the Dutch team, while Germany will be able to call upon a number of their young, exciting prospects such as City winger Leroy Sane.

Expect the German’s to be too clinical across the park and beat an unsettled Dutch side.

Best bet- Germany to win at $2

Poland versus Italy

Monday, 15 October 2018 at 5:45am (AEDST) at Stadio Slaski, Chorzow

Poland plays both of its home games in this international window, with a match against Portugal on Friday morning preceding this contest against Italy.

Poland is a $2.88 outsider to beat Italy, who is priced at $2.40. The draw is paying $3.20.

These two teams have already met in the UEFA Nations League this season, sharing the points in a 1-1 draw in Bologna.

Piotr Zielinski fired the visitors ahead just before the break, before a late Jorginho penalty tied the scores.

Italy then went on to lose to Portugal a few days later and is in third place in the group.

While goals have been the trend in a lot of matches in the UEFA Nations League, this match pits two of the staunchest defences up against one another.

Each team has only conceded four goals in its past three games against one another.

Both teams have scored a goal 55 per cent of the time, with the over 2.5 goals saluting on just over one in every three matches (35 per cent).

Italy’s recent away form is mixed, with five wins, one draw and four losses.

Poland’s home form is disappointing and features just three wins from their last 10 starts.

Italy’s last win in Poland was a 2-0 victory in 2011 and although this weekend’s squad is far different to the team that lined up on that night, they should get the job done at a nice price.

Best bet- Italy to win at $2.40

UEFA Nations League Matchday 3 Odds

Poland $2.80 Draw $3 Portugal $2.70

Belgium $1.40 Draw4.50 Switzerland $8

Croatia $2.60 Draw $3.10 England $2.80

Netherlands $3.50 Draw $3.50 Germany $2

Poland $2.88 Draw $3.20 Italy $2.40

Spain $1.72 Draw $3.60 England $4.33

Iceland $4.50 Draw $4 Switzerland $1.62

France $1.83 Draw $3.50 Germany $3.40

*See full betting markets here


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