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UFC heads back to Brazil for Fight Night 106

Thu, Mar 9, 4:08pm by Head Editor

Brazil’s Centro de Formacao Olimpica stadium will be rocking on Sunday (AEDT) when the UFC comes to town. The main event will be the middleweight contest between Vitor Belfort and Kelvin Gastelum.

These two fighters are at the opposite ends of their career, with the 25-year-old Gastelum winning 13 of his 15 fights taking on the 39-year-old Vitor Belfort, who’s won 25 of his 38 fights and will have the always patriotic Brazilian crowd on his side.

Both men are currently in the top 15, so they know that they are in need of a big win here to get their name in the mix for the title.

Gastelum is looking like he’s heading toward his peak, while Belfort may be in decline. The younger American may have too many tricks for the Brazilian but the $1.24 for him to win is way too short.

I’m going to take the over (1.5) in the total rounds which is priced at $2.25. The Brazilian veteran won’t be a pushover by any stretch of the imagination, a win for him is priced at $4.10.

Also on the card is the bout between Mauricio Rua ($1.67) and Gian Villante $2.22, which has all the ingredients to be an exciting affair, and may even contend for fight of the night.

35-year-old Rua also hails from Brazil so will have the huge crowd behind him. The veteran of 34 fights (24 wins) will be hoping to bring his superior brawling skills to the fore.

Villante, a former line-backer for Hofstra University, has the speed advantage and is the more athletic of the two, so the longer the fight goes, the better for the American.

Muay Thai specialist Edson Barboza ($1.54) meets another Brazilian in Beneil Dariush ($2.48) in the co-main event, which also looks like a brilliant fight on paper.

A kick-boxing bout will definitely favour Barboza, who certainly has the advantage on the feet. Dariush can hold his own in that category though, and has the clear advantage on the ground, with his superior wrestling skills.

Suggested Bet: Take the over (1.5) in the total rounds market for Belfort v Gastelum: $2.25.

Sportsbet Market

Gareth McLellan $3.05 v Paulo Borrachinha $1.39
Rony Jason $1.95 v Jeremy Kennedy $1.86
Michel Prazeres $1.39 v Joshua Burkman $3.02
Rani Yahya $1.58 v Joe Soto $2.39
Sergio Moraes $1.50 v Davi Ramos $2.62
Francisco Trinaldo $2.21 v Kevin Lee $1.67
Alex Oliveria $2.90 v Tim Means $1.40
Bethe Correia $2 v Marion Reneau $1.81
Jussier Formiga $1.78 v Ray Borg $2.05
Edson Barboza $1.54 v Beneil Dariush $2.48
Mauricio Rua $1.67 v Gian Villante 2.22
Vitor Belfort $4.10 v Kelvin Gastelum $1.24


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