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Week 7 Premier League Preview

Fri, Oct 4, 1:42pm by Clarinda Campbell

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EPL Week 7Last week will be best remembered for two shock Manchester loses. City went down to a rejuvenated Villa 3-2, while United crashed at home in a 2-1 loss to West Brom. United’s poor start to the season needs to turn around this week against cellar dwellers Sunderland, because if they fail in their task to beat Sunderland, David Moyes might just find himself out of a job.

We had some good success on the betting front last week, especially in our in-depth Arsenal-Swansea preview. Our successful suggested bets which produced some handy returns included Arsenal in the H2H market at $2.25, under 3.5 goals being scored for the match at $1.35, and Arsenal to win by one goal at $4.00. The match to be previewed in detail this week will be Hull v Aston Villa. Here is a detailed look at what Week 7 has in store for us.

Manchester City ($1.61) Draw ($4.00) Everton ($5.50)

9:45pm (AEST), Saturday 5 October 2013 at Etihad Stadium

Manchester City suffered a 3-2 away loss at the hands of Aston Villa last week. Everton held on for a 3-2 victory over Newcastle and loan player Romelu Lukaku nailed a brace. Everton manager Roberto Martinez praised his new striker and is relieved that parent club Chelsea are not able to end Lukaku’s season-long loan deal early.

Manchester City is occupying seventh spot on the ladder while Everton is sitting pretty in fourth. City has won its last three matches at home. Everton however, does hold the upper hand over City, having won four of the last six meetings between the two sides. A draw might be on the cards for this early game.

Even after last week’s loss, Manchester City is still favourite to become champions at $3.25. Everton is at $7.50 to finish in the top-four, which are very good odds might I add.

Hull City ($2.40) Draw ($3.25) Aston Villa ($3.00)

12:00am (AEST), Sunday 6 October 2013 at The KC Stadium

We’ll take a closer look at this match in a further detailed preview. Hull currently sits in eight spot on the ladder, just above Aston Villa who is ninth. Both sides have three wins apiece.

In futures markets, Hull is at $2.88 in relegation betting and Villa is at $2.10 to place in the top-10 after an impressive start to the season.

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Fulham ($2.37) Draw ($3.25) Stoke City ($3.10)

12:00am (AEST), Sunday 6 October 2013 at Craven Cottage

Fulham was defeated at home by newly promoted team Cardiff 2-1 in Week 6, a result which further compounded Fulham’s worst ever start to an EPL season. Stoke was thoroughly outplayed by Norwich last week, going down 1-0 at the Britannia Stadium.

Fulham and Stoke both remain in the lower regions of the table (18th and 15th respectively). It seems Stoke is still struggling to come to terms with the new tactical brand of football they are attempting to employ. The loss to the Canaries was certainly a setback. Meanwhile, Fulham has leaked nine goals this year and registered just the one win against last-placed Sunderland. Stoke will be keen to get its season back on track against an under-performing Fulham and I think they can come away with the vital three points.

Fulham is $3.75 to be relegated by the end of the season, and Stoke is $5.00 in the same market.

Liverpool ($1.22) Draw ($6.50) Crystal Palace ($13)

12:00am (AEST), Sunday 6 October 2013 at Anfield

Liverpool had a comfortable 3-1 win over Sunderland last week. Suarez, on his long-awaited return to the club, was brilliant, scoring two goals with a host of chances. The forward duo of Suarez and Sturridge looks set to be a lethal combination for Liverpool this year. Crystal Palace went down 2-0 to Southampton last week.

Liverpool is holding down second spot on the ladder for now while Palace sunk to 19th. Liverpool should win this match with a leg in the air with such strong power in attack. At least a 3-0 win to the home team is my prediction.

Liverpool is $10.00 to win the competition outright and $2.20 to finish in the top-four. Crystal Palace is favourite to be relegated at $1.12.

Cardiff City ($2.40) Draw ($3.25) Newcastle ($3.00)

12:00am (AEST), Sunday 6 October 2013 at Cardiff City Stadium

Cardiff scored an impressive 2-1 win over Fulham in Week 6 and climbed to 11th on the table after taking advantage of Fulham’s poor defensive structures. Newcastle conceded three goals to Everton in a poorer showing, with two late strikes to Yohan Cabaye and Loic Remy not enough to erode the already inflicted damage.

The Bluebirds have surprised this year with two wins, two draws and two loses, exceeded many people’s expectations, and with Newcastle struggling to put together 90 minutes of consistent football and languishing in 16th spot, it would be no surprise to see Cardiff pull off an important home win here.

In future betting, Cardiff has slipped out to $3.40 in the relegation market while Newcastle is at $6.50 to not be involved in England’s top-flight competition next season.

Sunderland ($5.50) Draw ($4.00) Manchester United ($1.61)

3:30am (AEST), Sunday 6 October 2013 at The Stadium of Light

Manchester United suffered its third loss in four games last week, going down 2-1 to West Brom at Old Trafford. Calls for David Moyes to be sacked are getting louder. Sunderland’s 3-1 loss to Liverpool was its fifth of the campaign and the Black Cats are anchored to the foot of the table.

United is sitting in 12th after suffering its worst start to a season in 24 years. A Manchester United victory used to be pretty run of the mill, but recent form and results under Moyes are of concern. Coming up against Sunderland, the Red Devils must claim all three points to win back some credibility. And they should.

Sunderland is priced at $1.83 to be relegated. Manchester United has slipped out to $8.00 to win the competition outright after last week’s loss, and are $1.45 to finish in the top-four.

Norwich City ($5.50) Draw ($4.00) Chelsea ($1.61)

11:30pm (AEST), Sunday 6 October 2013 at Carrow Road

Chelsea played out a compelling 1-1 draw with Tottenham last week while Norwich tasted victory for just the second time this season, defeating Stoke 1-0. Norwich was extremely tenacious throughout the game and applied solid pressure.

Norwich sits in 14th position on the table and Chelsea, strong contenders this year, sits in fifth. Norwich would have gained plenty of confidence from its away victory over Stoke but face a much tougher challenge this week. Chelsea shouldn’t be taking the Canaries lightly because they will throw everything they have at their opposition, but the Blues should be able to do enough for victory.

Norwich is paying $3.75 to be relegated and Chelsea is at $4.00 to win the league outright.

Southampton ($2.10) Draw ($3.30) Swansea City ($3.60)

11:30pm (AEST), Sunday 6 October 2013 at St Mary’s Stadium

Southampton produced another solid win last week, beating Crystal Palace 2-0. Swansea went down swinging 2-1 to the in-form team of the competition; Arsenal.

Southampton is flying under the radar in sixth spot, having lost just the one match so far. It’s defence has been extremely proficient, allowing in just the two goals. The 13th-placed Swans have had a slower start to the season than they would have hoped for, but they have faced some tough competition. At $3.30 with, the draw looks like a great value bet here.

Southampton and Swansea are paying $1.67 and $2.10 respectively to place in the top-10 by season’s end.

West Bromwich ($4.50) Draw ($3.60) Arsenal ($1.80)

2:00am (AEST), Monday 7 October 2013 at The Hawthorns

West Bromwich Albion stunned Manchester United at Old Trafford 2-1 last week in a major upset. Arsenal continued on its winning ways with a hard-fought 2-1 victory over Swansea, producing some more beautifully skilled football.

West Brom has an even results ledger with two wins, two draws and two loses and currently sits 10th. The Gunners are the competition leaders with five wins for the season and their only loss came against Villa back in Week 1. Don’t expect West Brom to roll over in this game; they’ll be brimming with confidence after consecutive victories. A share of the points would be a great result for the Baggies and it is certainly not beyond them, but with Arsenal claiming 15 points from a possible 18 on offer so far, another win to the top team is a strong possibility.

The Baggies are at $3.30 to finish in the top 10 and Arsenal is at $5.00 to win the title (not bad odds at all).

Tottenham ($1.44) Draw ($4.33) West Ham ($7.50)

2:00am (AEST), Monday 7 October 2013 at White Hart Lane

Tottenham played out a 1-1 draw with Chelsea last week, while West Ham lost 1-0 to Hull after Robert Brady scored the wining penalty.

Tottenham remains third on the ladder and should notch its fifth win of the season this week to stay very much in touch with Liverpool and Arsenal. West Ham has fallen to 17th and is on a two-match losing streak which looks set to become three at the conclusion of Week 7. A clean sheet and at least a couple of goals beckons for Tottenham.

The Spurs are paying $8.50 to win the league title and $1.91 to finish in the top-four. The Hammers are still at long odds to be relegated at $6.50 although currently sitting just outside the bottom three.

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