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What to bet on in the 2014 Brazil World Cup Final

Sat, Jul 12, 2:35pm by Rob Sheeley

Match: Germany vs. Argentina – 2014 World Cup Final
When/Where: 5:00am, Monday 14th July at Estadio Do Maracanã
AUD $100 Free Bet:

Who Will Win the 2014 World Cup Final in Brasil?THEN there were two.

The pinnacle of world football takes place in the early hours of Monday morning when two powerhouses of the sport clash in what promises to be a gem of a game.

In the red corner it is Germany, undefeated throughout the tournament and coming off one of the most dominant victories in World Cup history.

In the blue corner awaits Argentina, the “local” team who have won every game they have played in this World Cup. They are seen to ride on the coat tails of superstar striker Lionel Messi, but you can not achieve the outstanding results that they have simply because you have a wizard at finding the back of the net on your team.

History shows that both teams have sensational records at World Cups. The two sides have made a combined 11 World Cup finals and won five. They have met each other twice in the big decider and won one each.

  • Germany will play in their eighth World Cup final in this match, more than any other nation, they have won three.
  • Germany has won just one of their past four World Cup finals (1990).
  • Argentina will play their fifth World Cup final in this match, they have won two.
  • The two teams have clashed in two World Cup finals (1986,1990) and won one each.
  • The two teams met on July 3rd where Germany ran out convincing 4-0 winners.

Keys to victory in the World Cup Final

While scoring would not appear a problem for the Germans after a 7-1 rout of Brazil in the semi-final, they may face a tougher test in this one.

Argentina have not conceded a single goal in the knockout stages of the competition, despite being required to play extra time in two of its three matches. That poses a big obstacle for Germany.

Scoring first could be everything in this encounter. Argentina has not trailed in any of its matches to date, so if Germany can find the back of the net early, it may send the Argentinians into panic mode.

The Germans trailed in just one of their matches so far and even then it was only for eight minutes against Ghana.

If the game goes to a penalty shoot out, both teams have terrific records at the World Cup. Argentina had won four of its five while Germany has a 100 per cent strike rate in four attempts.

Argentina’s goal-scoring freak Lionel Messi has not only scored more than any other player for Argentina (5 goals) but he has also been the most creative player in the entire competition. Messi has crafted no less than 21 goal-scoring opportunities for his team mates at Brazil in 2014.

Lionel Messi is overdue to find the back of the net. He has not scored so far in the knockout stage of the tournament. He offers value as an anytime scorer at $2.50.

Germany will look to Mesut Ozil for its creativity. He has provided 15 opportunities for his teammates so far at the tournament and is a master of creativity.

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Germany vs. Argentina – World Cup Final Prediction

What a superb match-up this looks to be on paper.

Argentina will be buoyed by the bulk of the local support and has a flawless record at the tournament so far.

Germany proved that it can put a top quality team to the sword in its convincing semi-final win. The Germans look to have more options across the park than their opposition and look the likely winners.

Prediction – Germany by two goals.

Germany vs. Argentina in head-to-head betting

Germany – $2.35 head-to-head with Sportingbet (better than $2.30 with IASbet)
Argentina – $3.25
Draw – $3.20

The market reflects how close the match may be, but punters are leaning towards Germany. They are still very backable at $2.35. This looks the best bet of the game.

Handicap betting odds & tips

Germany (-1)- $4.75 with Centrebet (better than $4.70 with Sportsbet)
Draw (-1) – $3.75
Argentina (+1) – $1.57

This could be where the value lies. If Germany open the scoring early enough, they may put two or more goals on the Argentines in the twinkling of an eye. It is well worth taking the $4.75 on offer.

Over/Under 2.5 Goals betting

Under 2.5 Goals- $1.49 with
Over 2.5 Goals – $2.50

This is probably the market I would be most likely to avoid. If the match develops in to a tit-for-tat type affair it could blow out to anything. While the under 2.5 goals looks the preferred option, I would tread wearily around this market.

Exotic and other bets

Germany in the “Draw No Bet” Market look good at $1.52.

If you think Lionel Messi can score, he is at the attractive odds of $2.50 to score anytime during the match.

If you like a flutter on the correct score I would look at either Germany 2-0 @ $10 or Germany 3-1 @ $20.

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