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Wimbledon 2013 – Men’s Singles Title Betting Odds & Tips

Sat, Jun 22, 11:44am by Rob Sheeley

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It is the tennis tournament that everyone wants to win, the Holy Grail of the sport, it is Wimbledon. The tournament most steeped in tradition of any tennis tournament in the world. Where the players wear only white, where the surface is grass, and where the crowd eats strawberries and cream. It is the spiritual home of the game, a tournament simply known as The Championships.

But we don’t care about all that fluffy stuff. We just want to bet.

Since 2003, the men’s tournament has been dominated by just a few players at the All England Club. In fact, only three different players have won at Wimbledon in the last ten years. So that would indicate we can probably concentrate on a select few.

There are many options for betting on individual tennis matches. One angle I’d look at with the selections below is not only backing these fancied players to win the tournament outright, but also backing them head to head and linking them together in multis, particularly early on in the tournament.

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Wimbledon Men’s Singles Title 2013

Armed with the knowledge that only three different men have won this tournament since 2003, we need to look at some key factors. Firstly, how is the form of those players heading into this tournament, and secondly, whether or not there is anyone who can win outside of those players.

So let’s look at the main three contenders and a couple of others who may step up and challenge for this year’s men’s singles title.

The Big Three

Novak Djokovic$2.25 with
World Ranking – 1
Wimbledon Titles – 1 (2011)
2012 Result – Semi Finalist

The Joker, as he is affectionately known, is Mr. Consistent. He has won three titles this year including the Australian Open. He recently lost a tough semi-final to Rafael Nadal in the French Open – a tournament where Nadal is always favoured.

Djokovic is all but a certainty to at least make the semi final at Wimbledon. From there, he’s in some luck because Federer, Nadal, and Murray are on the other side of the draw. This is a huge opportunity for him to make the finals. With grass not being his best surface, he will undoubtedly benefit by the draw. Since the draw was announced on Friday, Djokovic has come down from $2.63 to $2.25 to win the men’s singles title.

Roger Federer$10.00 with
World Ranking – 3
Wimbledon Titles – 7 (2003, 2004, 2005, 2006, 2007, 2009, 2012)
2012 Result – Champion

Roger Federer is simply the king of Wimbledon. He plays better at this venue than anyone else, and it will take one hell of a performance to beat him. Many had written Federer off as a serious contender well before last year’s event, but he proved them wrong, taking down his 7th Wimbledon title.

Federer has only won one title this year (Halle, Gerry Weber Open, on grass) but he can never be discounted. He still has plenty of game and his aura is imposing. Roger is also a player I would expect to see deep into the second week, and very possibly in the final. What’s more, Federer’s price is more than attractive. It is hard to resist $10.00 for a seven time and defending champion. The concern is that he’s on the same side of the draw as Nadal and Murray. Federer was $7.00 to win the men’s singles title before the draw was announced.

Rafael Nadal$5.00 with
World Ranking – 5
Wimbledon Titles – 2 (2008, 2010)
2012 Result – Second Round

Nadal returns to Wimbledon in 2013 on unfinished business. Nadal had looked a good thing to go deep into the tournament last year before he suffered an upset Round 2 defeat in a five set thriller. That was to be Nadal’s last match of 2012, the Spaniard missed seven months of tennis in an effort to fix nagging knee problems that had plagued him for a couple of years; the ominous thing is that it appears to have done wonders.

Nadal has been on fire in 2013 and has won no less than seven titles; this would indicate that he is back bigger and better than ever. I’m prepared to go out on a limb and say that Nadal will be in the final again this year and hungry for a third title.

Nadal opened at $4.25, and is now $5.00 as a result of the draw.

The Best Of The Rest

Andy Murray – $4.50

Murray will carry the hopes of Great Britain in the fine tradition that haunted Tim Henman for years. Murray won the Olympic gold on this very court by defeating Roger Federer, which may have instilled some major confidence in him. He made the final here in 2012 and has won three titles in 2013. He looks the logical danger outside the main three and is priced accordingly. If he can carry the pressure, then it is more than possible that he can win this title.

David Ferrer – $51

This has to be the value bet of the tournament. Ferrer made the semi finals in 2012 and looks an improved player since that time. He is ranked number four in the world and has two titles to his name in 2013. Ferrer appears to like grass (34-14 career record) as much as he likes clay, and if one or two of the top seeds bow out he will be the next best choice. Ferrer recently made the final of the French Open and there’s no reason he can’t repeat that performance.

Before the draw, Ferrer was $81. Since it was announced that he was on Djokovic’s side of the draw (meaning no Fed, Nadal, or Murray), he’s come down to $51.

Others who may warrant small consideration would be Jo-Wilfred Tsonga ($26), Tomas Berdych ($41) and Juan Martin del Potro ($41). But realistically I would concentrate on the five aforementioned players.

Men’s Singles Prediction

I would be surprised if the Champion wasn’t one of the first four players I mentioned. I’m going to go with Rafael Nadal this year. I think he is reasonable value at $5.00, and playing as well as ever. If I was to have any other bets I would probably look at small savers on Federer and Ferrer with their attractive odds.

What do you think about our prediction?

Rafael Nadal - 2013 Wimbledon Champion?
Thanks Rafa!

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