Mon, Jul 3, 10:49am by Senior Writer
Richmond have tumbled in to $13 for the AFL premiership off the back of their upset win over Port Adelaide over the weekend.
The Tigers were $23 to claim their first flag in 37 years just last week, but after upsetting Port Adelaide by 13 points at the Adelaide Oval to vault into the top four, bookies have nearly halved their price.
A draw between two of their other key top four rivals, Greater Western Sydney and Geelong, also played into Richmond’s favour. The Cats, who are now in to $7, defied the absence of skipper Joel Selwood and the fact they fielded three debutants, to get a share of the points against the Giants, who remain $3.75 premiership favourites.
Adelaide were far from convincing beating Carlton by two goals and remain $4.25 second favourites, two points behind the Giants, two points clear of Geelong, while Richmond find themselves just six points off top spot.
They are also four points clear of a glut of teams on 32 points. That group includes Port, who drifted from $8 to $11, Melbourne, who slipped from $12 to $16, West Coast, who firmed from $18 to $15 and St Kilda, who stay at $34.
The premiership defence of the Western Bulldogs, who have slipped out of the eight, has faltered and they have drifted from $14 to $31 in the space of one week, while the form team of the competition, Sydney, have firmed from $14 to $9 after their impressive win over Melbourne on Friday night.
It has certainly been a crazy season for AFL betting and Round 15 was no exception with four of the nine matches won by the outsider, plus our first draw since Round 22, 2015.
Brisbane now hold the honour of the season’s biggest upset, beating Essendon as a massive $8 outsider. That results comes just a week after Hawthorn knocked off Adelaide at odds of $7.
Richmond, West Coast and Hawthorn were the other outsiders, while Geelong went within an errant Tom Hawkins kick of prevailing at the longest odds they have been in a game for a decade.
Cats star Patrick Dangerfield is now firmed into $2.25 to win the Brownlow Medal off a 45-possession effort against the Giants. Dangerfield was $3 a fortnight ago, while Dustin Martin has come in from $3.75 to $2.85 in what looks a two-horse race.
Round 16 looks a lot more straight forward for punters with just one game assessed as under the one goal line. Essendon go into their clash with Collingwood at the MCG on Sunday as $1.83 favourites despite their shock loss to Brisbane, with the Magpies at $1.98.
Sunday’s match between North Melbourne and Fremantle sees the Kangaroos as $1.66 favourites with the Dockers at $2.24, while Sunday afternoon’s top eight clash between West Coast and Port Adelaide sees the Eagles as $1.57 picks with the Power, who are yet to beat a top eight side this year, at $2.42.
AFL Round 16 Odds: (Sportsbet)
Adelaide $1.32 v Western Bulldogs $3.40 (Line: 24.5)
Hawthorn $2.90 v Greater Western Sydney $1.42 (Line: 17.5)
Collingwood $1.98 v Essendon $1.83 (Line: 1.5)
Sydney $1.13 v Gold Coast $6.05 (Line: 35.5)
Brisbane $5.50 v Geelong $1.15 (Line: 33.5)
St Kilda $2.52 v Richmond $1.53 (Line: 11.5)
North Melbourne $1.66 v Fremantle $2.24 (Line: 6.5)
Carlton $2.63 v Melbourne $1.49 (Line: 12.5)
West Coast $1.57 v Port Adelaide $2.42 (Line: 9.5)
AFL Premiership Markets: (Sportsbet)
Port Adelaide $11
West Coast $15
Western Bulldogs $31
St Kilda $34
Gold Coast $251
North Melbourne $251
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