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England v West Indies ICC World Cup Betting Preview – Thursday 17th March, 2011

Thu, Mar 17, 9:01am by Kevin Pitstock

36th Match: Group B, Friday 11/3 – 8.00pm (AEDST) at MA Chidambaram Stadium, Chennai
England’s Recent Form:

LWLTW
West Indies’ Recent Form:

WWWLL
Key Players:

For some reason, Jonathon Trott hasn’t received the accolades he deserves in this World Cup campaign. The 29-year-old has continued his superb one-day form from England’s tour of Australia, with 289 runs at an average of 57.8 with four half centuries from five innings. Trott has clearly been the most consistent batsman of the tournament to date. But it seems his ‘slow’ strike rate of 78.31 and emphasis on accumulation rather than aggression doesn’t appeal to the neutral cricket lover. Despite this, Trott is invaluable to the team and will play a major part in deciding whether England progresses through to the quarter-finals or not.

Kieron Pollard has shown how potentially damaging he can be with the bat during this World Cup. The 23-year-old smashed 60 off 27 balls in the Windies’ first match against the Dutch. He then shared an outstanding 88-run partnership with Devon Smith on his way to a spectacular innings of 94 – his highest ODI score – off 55 balls against Ireland. However, Pollard’s big score’s came against minnow countries. The time has come for the big hitting right-hander to make an impact against a quality team in a crucial situation. Pollard has the perfect opportunity against England as the Windies vie for a quarter-final spot.
Weather:

Sunny and clear – maximum temperature of 33 degrees
Pitch:

Recent talk has suggested the Chennai pitch will be a slow turner. Therefore Graeme Swann, Nikita Miller and Sulieman Benn will be crucial to their respective teams’ success.
Likely England Team:

  1. Andrew Strauss (C)
  2. Matt Prior (WK)
  3. Jonathon Trott
  4. Ian Bell
  5. Eoin Morgan
  6. Ravi Bopara
  7. Tim Bresnan
  8. Paul Collingwood
  9. Graeme Swann
  10. Ajmal Shahzad/Jimmy Anderson
  11. Chris Tremlett

Likely West Indies Team:

  1. Chris Gayle
  2. Devon Smith
  3. Darren Bravo
  4. Ramnaresh Sarwan
  5. Shivnarine Chanderpaul
  6. Kieron Pollard
  7. Devon Thomas (WK)
  8. Darren Sammy (C)
  9. Nikita Miller
  10. Sulieman Benn
  11. Kemar Roach

Who Wins?

This is about as sudden death as it gets. The loser of this match can basically kiss its World Cup aspirations goodbye – especially England.

The Poms have endured one very strange World Cup campaign. All their games have been close – they only just defeated Netherlands, then lost to minnows Bangladesh and Ireland, bounced back with a thrilling upset victory over South Africa and then tied with tournament favourites India. Try and read into that form.

England’s inconsistency is probably due to the comings and goings in the team’s personnel. Kevin Pieterson and Stuart Broad, arguably the Poms’ most important players in the squad, have returned home due to injury. However Eoin Morgan and Chris Tremlett are more than able replacements.

A West Indies victory here would cap off an outstanding group stage campaign. With plenty of question marks hanging over their head before the start of the tournament, the Windies have beaten everyone they should have – and by a good margin too.

Their bowling attack has stepped up when needed. Benn and Kemar Roach have announced themselves as world-class bowlers, claiming 12 and 11 wickets respectively for the tournament so far. Even captain Darren Sammy has chipped in with seven wickets from his four matches.

A common view of England is the bowling attack has slipped into an autopilot mindset. It’s had enough. And with the current form the Windies are in, the Poms will struggle to be competitive with that attitude.

If Benn and Nikita Miller can restrict the England batting line-up to a total of 275 or less, the Poms might be flying home a little earlier than originally expected.
Best Head-To-Head Bet:

West Indies ($2.20 – Sportsbet)
Other Suggested Bets:

West Indies Most Wickets – Sulieman Benn ($3.50 – Sportingbet)

England High Bat – Jonathon Trott ($4.50 – Sportingbet)


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