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Can Leicester take their revival into Europe?

Tue, Mar 14, 11:49am by Senior Writer

A 1-0 home win against Sevilla at the King Power Stadium on Wednesday morning (AEDT) would be enough to see Leicester City through to the quarter finals of the Champions League.

When you consider everything that has happened since Leicester qualified for this competition as the most extraordinary English champions in history, it’s remarkable to think that the Foxes are still in a position to earn a spot among the best eight sides in Europe.

The contentious removal of Claudio Ranieri after the first leg loss has resulted in a massive change of fortune for Leicester who have won two consecutive Premier League matches against Liverpool and Hull to pull clear of the relegation mire.

Should they record a third consecutive win for the first time since April last year, then surely, the players have to answer some questions over whether they were trying late in Ranieri’s tenure.

But the bookmakers don’t believe it will happen, with Sportsbet having Sevilla at $1.20 and Leicester at $4.25 to progress.

In terms of this match. Leicester are $3.20 outsiders, with Sevilla at $2.25 and the draw at $3.40.

It’s worth noting Sevilla’s away form in the Champions League isn’t strong, winning just one of their past nine road matches, a 1-0 win against Dinamo Zagreb last October. In contrast, Leicester won all three of their home matches in the group stage, beating Porto, Copenhagen and Club Brugge.

Of course, Leicester can win and still be eliminated should it be a one-goal margin and Sevilla score more than one goal (So 3-2, 4-3 etc).

The home side will be without Nampalys Mendy, who injured his knee in training.

The other tie has lost a little of its interest, with Juventus holding a 2-0 lead heading into their home leg at Turin against Porto. Juve are $1.01 to get through, with Porto at $13.

Juventus have lost just one game at home – and that was on penalties – since August 2015 and haven’t lost by two goals at home since 2013. They are $1.67 to win this match, with the draw at $3.75 and Porto at $5.50.

They are coming off a stirring stoppage time win over AC Milan, with Paulo Dybala scoring his third penalty is as many games. He is $5.50 to score first in this match, while Marko Pjaca ($9) and Dani Alves ($13), who scored in the first leg, are both nice prices to score first here.

Porto have been smashing lower league teams in recent weeks in the Portuguese league, with 7-0 and 4-0 wins in the past fortnight. Tiquinho scored three of those 11 goals, while Andre Silva netted a brace in the 7-0 win.  They are $8 each to score first here.

Porto will be looking at the 3-0 Champions League win in Italy earlier this season against Roma for confidence ahead of this match, but Juve are a much tougher ask.

Suggested Bet: Take Leicester City to qualify ($4.25) into Juventus to win ($1.67) at $7.09

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