Tue, Aug 18, 2:12pm by Kevin Pitstock
This post is written by our in house English Premier League expert Bernie Pollock.
The first round of the EPL is now over so we can make some better calculations as to who is going to win upcoming matches. The reason I didn’t want to post before round 1 of the EPL 2009 season is because it is simply too hard to predict before a ball has been kicked. Now that I have watched all the games there is a much better chance we will back some winners.
As you might have expected there were some upsets in the first round of the EPL season as teams find their form and regain match fitness. The biggest upset of the round came in the last game. Liverpool lost away to Tottenham 2-1 to see them drop 3 points behind their main competitors in Chelsea, Man Utd and Arsenal after just one game. If you throw the big spending Man City team in there as well – you can see that they are on the back foot from the get go.
Here are the results from the 1st round of the English Premier League for 2009:
Manchester United beat Birmingham City 1-0
Tottenham Hotspur beat Liverpool 2-1
Wolverhampton Wanderers lost to West Ham United 0-2
Aston Villa lost to Wigan Athletic 0-2
Blackburn Rovers lost to Manchester City 0-2
Bolton Wanderers lost to Sunderland 0-1
Chelsea beat Hull 2-1
Everton lost to Arsenal 1-6
Portsmouth lost to Fulham 0-1
Stoke beat Burnley 2-0
As you can see there are some pretty surprising results in there. You may have also noticed that there was not one draw during this round. The betting on the future rounds of the EPL will get easier as the season progresses, but I have some hot tips for those that want to jump on now. I will be writing a betting report before every round so all you have to do is visit AustralianGambling.com.au to find the best betting tips for football around the world.
I tend to use a few different Australian bookmakers but when it comes to the EPL Sportsbet generally has me covered. For the remainder of the article to football odds that I mention are from the official TAB Sportsbet website.
My hot tip for the EPL winner this year is Chelsea. Even though I have been a fan since back in the Zola days, this is not a biased opinion. Last year I backed the Red Devils and this year I think the Blues have the goods. Man Utd will not perform well this year. They have lost Ronaldo along with Tevez. They have a heap of injuries in their defense at the moment and they simply don’t have the quality in their team to win this season. They are second favourites paying $3.25.
Liverpool have lost their midfield hard man in Xabi Alonso. This lad never got the praise he deserved and the Reds will sorely miss him. If you take a look at their team as a whole, they only have one solid player in each position. Aside from Carragher, Gerard and Torres the rest of the team is made up of minnows. They do not have the quality to win this season. They are already off to a bad start losing 2-1 to the Spurs. Betting on the EPL season winner has them at $5.00.
Arsenal won their first game against Everton convincingly. They hammered the Toffees 6-1 to inflict the worst opening round defeat on Everton in their history. Everyone had written them off at the beginning of the season but now everyone wants a piece of them. My prediction has not changed whatsoever. Arsenal have always been capable of pulling out a result like this but they simply don’t have the depth in their squad to keep it going all season. They will drop points when times are tough and won’t be able to keep up with the likes of Chelsea.
Man City is definitely my dark horse for the 2009/2010 EPL season. Everyone is talking about the possibility that they could break into the top 4. I think they will go better than that and will challenge for the title. I think they have a much better chance than Liverpool and Arsenal of winning this year. I don’t think they quite have what it takes to win this season, but they have the quality there to give it a good shake. Sportsbet have them at juicy odds of $13.00.
Chelsea are the ones that will take our the title this year. They haven’t lost any of their big name players like the rest of the top 4 have. They have a highly respected coach now Carlo Ancelotti. He took AC Milan to 3 Champions League titles and looks the goods. Finally a manager has come in and started to play the team with two strikers. With both Drogba and Anelka up front they will be causing havoc all season. They still have the likes of Lampard, Ballack, Deco and Cole in the midfield. That is to go along with Terry, Carvalho, Cole, Bosingwa and Cech as the back. They have a well rounded side and are deserved betting favourites to win this season. Sportsbet have them paying $2.85 to win. Get on it now.
Early Wednesday morning sees Chelsea away to Sunderland and Wigan at home to Wolverhampton. Chelsea struggled for fluency with their new formation against Hull City and will be looking to improve on that. Sunderland have improved their squad with the influx of new money by their owner. They have the likes of Marcus bent and Kenwynne Jones up front who will cause a lot of trouble. This is the type of game that Chesea will need to win if they want to be triumphant this year. I think it will be a real arm wrestle in which Chelsea will get up in. You can get on the Blues at $1.51. Perhaps you fancy Sunderland will snag a draw at home? That’s paying $3.75 with the win for Sunderland paying $7.50.
The second game that is on early Wednesday morning is between Wigan and the Wolves. Wigan opened up with an outstanding 2-0 win over Aston Villa. The Wolves lost to West Ham 2-0 and didn’t show much in their first home game. This game is actually my red hot tip of the round. I think it is a no brainer if we go on the form of the first round and the fact that Wigan are at home. The odds are suprisingly generous as well for Aussie sports bettors.
EPL Tip of the Round – Wigan Athletic at home to beat Wolverhampton Wanderers @ $1.72
Stay tuned because tomorrow I will be dishing out some more hot tips for the rest of the game in round 2 betting of the English Premier League. Those games are on Thursday morning Australian time. For those that are interested – Fox Sports will be playing the Chelsea vs Sunderland game at 4:45am. If you want to follow my hot tip of the round I suggest following it on Live Score
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