Wed, Sep 12, 10:11pm by Kevin Pitstock
After the dramatic pause from the International break for World Cup Qualifiers, the English Premier League gets back into session with a full fixture of matches. Through three match weeks and 29 top-flight matches, we have seen 85 goals scored and a lone hat trick. Five players have been shown the red; whilst 73 yellow cards have been shown. One team remains perfect, whilst a total of seven teams have yet to experience defeat – one of which has not conceded a goal. Will the International break affect the bigger clubs? Will the break help the smaller sides come together?
Before we get into the fixtures, it is worth noting that there is plenty of money to be made when betting live. Whilst one cannot bet live online once the matches start, those who have betting accounts at the sports books we recommend may telephone their bets in.
When I state there is money to be made, let me give you just a few examples of some obvious winners from last match week that were obvious and profitable live in running telephone bets:
In the 20th minute, Manchester United dropped to 1-0. The odds of United booking a win jumped to 2.20 at CentreBet. One – nil against Southampton with 70 minutes to go seemed like a prudent bet, so I jumped on it. When Southampton scored their second, the odds of a United come from behind win jumped to 4.25 at IASBet.com. Again, a prudent bet, as United still had time on their side. In the 89th minute, their odds of winning jumped to 6.95. Additionally, Robin Van Persie to score the next goal just looked like a winner at 4.5 in the 57th minute. Live in play betting is a great way to maximize your winnings, as there are opportunities to exploit the market on a match you are watching and punting on anyway. At the end of the preview, I will list the telephone numbers for the bookies we suggest so that you can bet the matches online and make additional wagers in play.
West Ham looked impressive last week in dismantling a Fulham side, as the Hammers welcomed Andy Carrol to their squad. Carrol held up play nicely and added an extra dimension to their aerial attack. Unfortunately for West Ham, Carrol will not feature in this fixture, as a hamstring injury has him facing four weeks on the sidelines. Midfielders Kevin Nolan and Matt Jarvis should have little problem making life difficult for Norwich despite playing on the road. Norwich managed a draw on the road against an under-performing Tottenham side, although the Spurs gave them the draw as opposed to Norwich working to earn the single point.
I like West Ham walking out of Carrow Road with at least a point and Kevin Nolan finding the back of the net. Nolan looks quite the boss in this fixture and West Ham will prove to outmuscle Norwich in their own house.
Arsenal have yet to concede a goal through three matches. Despite their stingy defence, they have managed only one win, which came last week in Liverpool. Liverpool never looked like they had a chance, as Arsenal bossed them on both sides of the pitch. Santi Cazorla looks to be a suitable replacement for Cesc Fabregas, albeit one season later. Southampton really “brought it” to Manchester United last week. Was it not for an inspirational Robin Van Persie hat trick, Southampton would have walked with three points.
Despite their heart breaking loss, Southampton looks very much like a top-flight side. I believe they will get it together, but it will not be this week. Arsenal is historically a stingy side at home. With all plays running through Cazorla, it will be nearly impossible for Southampton to leave the Emirates with a point.
I like Arsenal to win at home and will risk three units to win 1. Bet 3 Units on Arsenal to win getting 1.33 odds at IASBet.com.
This is another match where I prefer the visiting side. Swansea is off to an amazing start and their last road trip produced five goals and a win against struggling and winless Liverpool. Whilst I do not see Swansea qualifying for Europe, they will finish in the top ten and I believe their away fixture at Villa Park will allow the Swans to continue their winning ways. The winless Villains look uninspired and they seem quite content with relegation if their play thus far is an indicator. Darren Bent has yet to find his form and their defence has found ways for Villa to drop points. Combine the absence of attack and confusion in the back and the expected result is Swansea marches out of Villa Park with a full three points.
Bet 1 Unit on Swansea to win getting 3.00 odds at IASBet.com.
I also like Michu to score anytime in this match. He has scored in each of Swansea’s first three matches and looks virtually unstoppable. He is getting 3.50 odds at IASBet as an anytime goal scorer, and I am comfortable punting a full unit on him scoring.
Fulham v West Bromwich Albion (15.00 – Craven Cottage, London) – Referee: R East
Fulham looked impressive in their first two fixtures. However, allowing Mousa Dembele to transfer to the Spurs on deadline day caused them to lack possession. He was the focal point of their attack, as he is strong on the ball and was more than capable of holding and distributing. Fulham are just not deep enough in the centre of the pitch to overcome his loss, in my opinion. Dimitar Berbatov should feature for a full 90 minutes for Fulham and could help them secure a point.
West Brom is a puzzling side to me, as they are unbeaten three matches in. They have yet to concede at home. In this away fixture, they need to score in order to win. They are the more likely of the two sides to score, but they lack my confidence to score enough to win on the road. Fulham, on the other hand, does not provide value in the line to justify a bet here. I believe West Brom will leave London with at least a point, but I will not punt on this match.
Wigan have already won on the road and they come into Old Trafford off a 2-2 draw against an improved Stoke side. United ride momentum of the “Fergie Time” victory on the back of a Robin Van Persie hat trick. In the past, betting against Wigan when playing one of the big 4 has scared me. However, I think United will dominate this fixture. Van Persie is expected to feature up top. Kagawa has looked sharp thus far and he, Scholes, and Carrick should help United possess and win.
Bet 1.2 Units to win 1 on the Wincast, punting that Robin Van Persie scores and United win. You can get 1.67 odds on this bet at IASBet.com
Unbeaten Chelsea travel across town to Loftus Road to take on QPR. Chelsea has been perfect in their first three matches and Fernando Torres is well rested after the International break, save the flight back to the UK. QPR was stomped 5-0 in their home opening fixture by Swansea, thus proving there is not much of a home field advantage against a superior side. Torres, Eden Hazard, and Juan Mata are all likely goal scorers in this fixture and the betting line for a Chelsea road victory looks relatively sweet as well. Look for Chelsea to dominate possession and the score line.
Bet 1.15 Units on Chelsea to win (pays 1 unit) at 1.73 odds via IASBet.com
Bet .25 Units each on Frank Lampard (3.20 odds), Fernando Torres (2.20 odds), Eden Hazard (3.20 odds), and Juan Mata (3.40 odds) as anytime goal scorers. These bets can also be placed at IASBet.com.
Manchester City could see a return of Sergio Aguero, as he has resumed training with the first team after his opening day scare of a knee injury. Stoke City have earned draws in each of their three matches and hope to save a point in their fourth against the defending champions.
Jack Rodwell has not shown he is ready to feature for a full 90 minutes. However, City have additional options they are prepared to feature in the midfield – thanks to business done in the transfer market late in the period. Javi Garcia, and Maicon, as well as Scott Sinclair are all prepared to feature and bolster City’s already deep midfield. City should have little problem dismantling Stoke City and Carlos Tevez looks like a safe bet to score.
Liverpool and Sunderland play in the evening match on Saturday at the Stadium of Light. Neither side have managed a win at this early point in the season. Sunderland have fitness concerns over Adam Johnson, as he missed a date for the England – Ukraine match on Tuesday night due to injury. Steven Fletcher provides a finishing option to complement Larsson and Sessegnon, who are all expected to feature at home against Liverpool. With their bolstered side, Sunderland squeaked a point out of their away fixture against Swansea, as they rode the back of a Steven Fletcher brace.
Liverpool continue in search to find themselves. Joe Allen looked extremely comfortable in their midfield, but he seems to be the only constant in terms of performance. Steven Gerrard returns from International duty that saw him accumulate a soft red in the closing minutes of the match.
Prediction: I think Sunderland has the edge in this match – mostly due to playing at home. I really do not like either side to win, as Sunderland are hot and cold, whilst Liverpool have not shown the desire to win. This match could end 4-4 as easily as it could end nil-nil. I am not willing to punt on this match. However, if my hand were forced, I would bet the score line draw getting 3.25 odds at Centrebet.com
The Spurs travel to Reading in the only Sunday match of this fixture. Tottenham noticed a spark in their step when newly signed midfielder Mousa Dembele took to the pitch. I expect Dembele to start. I also expect that Jermaine Defoe will come off the bench in this match, as he had a significant workload in the International fixtures. Look for Adebayor to start in his place. The more pressing question, however, is will the Spurs perform for Andre Villas-Boas. His side has yet to find a win and two of their three matches resulted in handing two points back in the closing minutes. Late goals and lack of discipline has haunted his side this season, just as it did last season before he was sacked at Chelsea.
Despite management concerns, I think the Spurs book the win on the road. Beyond Pavel Pogrebnyak, who has not looked all that impressive, and Danny Guthrie – Reading lacks the depth to compete over 90 minutes with even a morale-poor Tottenham side. Look for an easy win for the Spurs that they will not give back on this given day. Clint Dempsey could feature this week for the Spurs, but I would not expect him to start.
Bet 1 Unit at 2.00 odds on Tottenham to defeat Reading at IASBet.com.
Bet .5 units each on Adebayor (2.63 odds) and Dembele (4.5 odds) as “anytime goal scorers” at IASBet.com
Everton and Newcastle close the fixture at Goodison Park. Newcastle may find it difficult to crack the code of the Everton defence without the help of Demba Ba and Papiss Cissé. Cissé has yet to open his account this campaign, whilst Demba Ba has scored one so far this season. Newcastle manager Alan Pardew begins serving his first of two matches in suspension for shoving an official. They are also without defender Danny Simpson and Fabricio Coloccini picked up a knock to his leg whilst on International duty.
Everton enter this fixture with a home win against Manchester United and most recently a 2-0 loss on the road to West Brom. Marouane Fellaini came out this week and expressed his desire to leave Everton in January, which begs the question on whether this will serve as a distraction for Everton or will Fellaini, Steven Pienaar, and Nikica Jelavic prove to frustrate Newcastle.
The real battle will come down to which midfielder does a better job in possession – Fellaini or Newcastle’s Hatem Ben Arfa. Ben Arfa can prove to be more than a handful with his slippery movement, just as Fellaini and his physical presence can be troublesome for his opposition. Look for this match to be quite a battle. Win or lose, the match will be very close, in my opinion. This match is too close to call, but I cannot call for a draw either.
Thus, I avoid betting this match – but if feeling up to speculating, Newcastle at 4.33 odds looks like the better bet, especially in terms of potential payout. I would be more inclined to bet this match live and in-play based on which players look the most lively and likely to find the back of the net. If you follow my line of thinking, you will keep an eye on Ben Arfa, Ba, and Cisse’s form in the match for Newcastle, as well as Fellaini, Pienaar, and Jelavic for Everton. Be certain to set up and fund an online betting account BEFORE calling in your play.
We suggest you use the following sites for live in play bets:
You can bet live at IASBet.com by phoning them at 1800 898 008 to bet live. IASBet has the quickest lines, so that you can get a bet in straight away.
CentreBet provides the most reactionary lines, meaning this site is most likely to give you the biggest knee-jerk reaction to any play you might make. For example, if Everton go up 1-0, but Newcastle appear likely to equalize, CentreBet will probably give you the best odds for a Newcastle goal. You can phone CentreBet to place a live bet by dialling 1800 132 946.
SportsBet.com.au provides live in-play betting by dialling 1800 138 238. Their lines are not quite as quick to update as those at IASBet are. Thus, if the line has moved at IASBet before you had the opportunity to catch it; Sports Bet is surely worth the punt to get your line.
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