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Juventus will book final spot, but expect Monaco resistance

Tue, May 9, 12:11pm by Senior Writer

Juventus look all-but-certain to book a spot in the Champions League final for the ninth time when they host Monaco in Turin with a 2-0 lead thanks to their win last week.

Bookies have Juventus at $1.02 to progress to the final against either Atletico Madrid or Real Madrid, with Monaco at $12, which seems unders when you consider the enormity of the task they confront.

Juventus have not lost at home in any match since September 2015, and you have to go back to April 2013 for the last time they lost at home by a two-goal margin. Even a 2-0 defeat would only earn Monaco a shot at extra time.

Gonzalo Higuain was the hero of the first leg, scoring a brace, and he continued in that form when scoring a last-minute equaliser for Juve in the Turin derby over the weekend.

That Serie A match was bit of a scare from Juventus, who would have had their senses sharpened after building a seven-point league late in the Italian season.

Monaco may be the highest scoring team in Europe but have never won a Champions League match in Italy in seven attempts and no team has ever come from a 2-0 loss in a home leg to progress in a knockout tie.

But Monaco are no mugs. They lead the French League, scoring 98 goals in 35 matches and possess world class strikers in Rademel Falcao and teenage sensation Kylian Mbappe.

The Colombian is $7 to score the first goal in this match, while Mbappe, who has been linked with every major club in Europe in recent weeks, is $9. Between them, they have scored 10 of Monaco’s last 16 Champions League goals.

Higuain is $4 favourite to open the scoring, with Paulo Dybala $5 second pick despite limping off late in the game against Torino.

In terms of the result of this match, Juventus are $1.65 favourites to win it with Monaco at $5.50 and the draw at $3.80.

Betting a result in these types of matches is difficult as we found out backing Juve to win the second leg against Barcelona in the quarter finals. They were happy to hold out for a 0-0 draw.

With that in mind, happy to punt on the draw here at $3.80. Monaco will have a crack and Juve will be happy to just get through.

Suggested Bet: Monaco and Juventus to draw at $3.80

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