The #1 Resource for aussie gambling!
  • Safe & Secure Sites
  • 100's of Free Games
  • Expert Casino Reviews

The #1 Resource for aussie gambling!

Cox Plate Day – Moonee Valley – Preview, Best Bets and Tips

Sat, Oct 22, 10:18am by Senior Writer

Over its 95 previous runnings, the Cox Plate has become one of the iconic races on the Australian racing calendar and the 2016 edition shapes as yet another classic, with champion mare Winx looking to become the first horse in six years to win the race back-to-back.

Note: Updated after Saturday scratchings

Phar Lap, Tulloch, Kingston Town and Makybe Diva are considered the elite of Australian racing history, and all of them have won this race, making it well and truly the weight-for-age championship of Australasia.

While other races, namely, the Queen Elizabeth in Sydney, have had their prizemoney boosted in a bid to challenge the Cox Plate’s status as the premier 2000m weight-for-age race, you can’t change the fact that this race has the honour roll and the legend which makes it stand above the pack.

This week we learned that Moonee Valley would change forever from 2020, with a massive development to change not only the outlook, but the orientation of the course.

The Valley may never be the same again, but this race is big enough to survive any changes.
WATCH: Our Preview of Cox Plate Day

Our challenge is to find you some winners on the 10-race card. Firstly, let me say I’m not a fan of the two-day meeting concept which sees the Manikato Stakes run the night before. Only because it diminishes the quality of races across the two days, which makes it less rewarding to find a winner.

It rained most of Friday night and Saturday morning, but the track is still a soft 5.  There is a chance that the track could be further chopped up by the time they run the Cox Plate at 5pm on Saturday. It will be the 17th race run on the track in the space of 24 hours.

Winx looks a clear standout in the Cox Plate. Not convinced that Hartnell handles the Valley and she beat him by a long way in this race last year. Sometimes we look a gift horse in the mouth and Winx at $1.80 may prove a gift horse.

While Hartnell has been impressive, I can’t help but feel he’ll be better suited at Flemington. If not in the Melbourne Cup, then certainly in the new Emirates Stakes, which is now over 2000m and run on the last day if the carnival.

His stablemate Hauraki looks terrific value at $19. He has got closer to Winx than most others earlier this campaign and his Epsom victory was stunning.

In terms of the rest of the card, Felines is our best bet of the day at around $5.50 in Race 2, while the best value is Kaniana, who goes around at about $15 in Race 5.

Our Full Preview of each race is below, while we’ve brought our preview of the Cox Plate up the top.

Race 9 – William Hill Cox Plate

Odds: (Sportsbet)

1st: 8. Winx ($1.80)

2nd: 3. Hartnell ($3.50)

3rd: 4. Hauraki ($19)

4th: 6. Vadamos ($17)

Betting: You could have got $2.25 about Winx on Monday but since the field and barriers were confirmed she has been solid at the $1.80 mark with big bets still coming. Hartnell has been $3.20 out to $3.50 as the punters look to have lost faith. Of the others, everything has pretty much drifted with the exception of Lucia Valentina, who has been $21 into $19.

Summary: This shapes as an epic Cox Plate and Winx has the chance to make her own history as a dual winner of this race. She’s too good to be true, having put together 12 straight wins over an 18-month period with only one of those coming by less than a length. It’s a pleasure to watch her continually beat her rivals with ease and she’ll repeat that here. Hartnell is in great nick and if this was at Flemington over 2000m, it’d be a different story. We may have to wait a couple of weeks for that clash, maybe. Hauraki is silly odds given his form this campaign. He got within 1.5 lengths on Winx three back and should be a clear third favourite. The French galloper Vadamos has the form and looks the part. He should prove to be competitive but is unlucky to be here in a year where there are two out and out stars.

Betting Confidence: You have to be confident in Winx, even at $1.8. She is such a powerful and impressive beast and it will be an honour to have a winning ticket with her name on it. Think Hauraki is great value and the one you should be playing quinellas and trifectas with.

Full Meeting:

Race 1 Inglis Banner – 1000m

Odds: (Sportsbet)

1st: 8. Luiza ($3.40)

2nd: 1. Feng Chu ($15)

3rd: 7. Red Zephyr ($11)

4th: 2. Azazel ($3.80)

Betting: Luiza has had support in this race, shortening from $3.70 into $3.40, but the big money has come for Azazel, who was $15 on Wednesday and is now $3.80. that big move has pretty much seen every other runner drift.

Summary: These two-year-old races are always tricky to assess. Luiza showed plenty of fight in her debut win at Randwick and may have beaten a good juvenile there.  Feng Chu will benefit from his first-up run, Red Zephyr is the first starter we think can step up, while the support for Azazel indicates plenty of stable faith in him.

Betting Confidence: Hard to have massive confidence in this and the money for Azazel is certainly spectacular, but given Luiza has shortened and looked good first up. Confident that she is the one to beat.

Race 2 City Jeep Handicap – 955m

Odds: (Sportsbet)

1st: 1. Felines ($5.50)

2nd: 7. Gun Case ($5)

3rd: 2. General Truce ($34)

4th: 3. Diamond Oasis ($8.50)

Betting: Tarco has had plenty of love this week, shortening from $11 into $8, Diamond Oasis has been $9.50 into $8.50, while O’Malley is solid favourite at $3.10.

Summary: Good sprint race and feel Felines might be too speedy for them in this. Draws well and her form around this distance is outstanding as is her fresh form. Gun Case loves the Valley short-course and will be in the finish, with the wide draw the only negative. Think General Truce can show up at odds. Loves these types of races. Diamond Oasis is also an excellent he $5.50 is very attractive.

Race 3 William Crockett stakes – 1200m

Odds: (Sportsbet)

1st: 6. Prompt Response ($7.50)

2nd:  8. Gretna ($14)

3rd: 17. Angharad ($9)

4th: 11. Alluvion ($14)

Betting: Blowing Kisses has been quite popular this week, moving from $13 into $10, while Angharad has been $10 into $8 since it become clear she’d get a run in this race

Summary: Going with Prompt Response at nice odds here. She didn’t enjoy much luck at there last run at Caulfield  and should improve third-up. Gretna finished alongside a few of these two back and was good last time. Seems to be well over the odds. Angharad was a complete forget run first-up and is a filly heading places, while Alluvion has been winning by good margins at her past two.

Betting Confidence: Medium confidence in My Country with the main concern that the wide barrier could prove her undoing. Very confident that Gretna is twice the odds she should be.

Race 4 Telstra Phoneworks Stakes – 1200m

Odds: (Sportsbet)

1st: 2. Archives ($2.70)

2nd: 1. Ken’s Dream ($2.70)

3rd: 5. Dam Ready ($6.50)

4th: 6. Palladian ($7)

Betting: This has boiled down to a battle of two. Archives has been $3.50 into $2.7, while Ken’s Dream has similarly been $3.20 into $2.70. Palladian has been $9 into $7.

Summary: Looms as the second best match race of the day. Archives is highly talented and drops back to the 1200m here and takes on Ken’s Dream, who was unlucky when knocked over and then beaten by Flying Artie last start. Gone for Archives because his form is slightly stronger, but Ken’s Dream can rebound as well. Not much between them. Dam Ready runs his best races on this track, while Palladian is the one who can improve into this off a good last start win.

Betting Confidence: Highly confident Archives will have a little too much class for these.

Race 5 Merlin Garage Door Openers Stakes – 1600m

Odds: (Sportsbet)

1st: 1. Lady Le Fey ($2.40)

2nd: 8. Kaniana ($15)

3rd: 7. Antelucan ($9)

4th: 2. Rocket Commander ($9.50)

Betting: Lady Le Fay is a clear top pick having been backed from $2.60 to $2.40. Coronation Shallan, a Valley specialist, was $21 and is now $17, while Alaskan Rose has tightened from $9.50 into $9.

Summary: Lady Le Fay looks the one to beat on her good last run and her form last campaign, which included a sixth, beaten less than three lengths in the G1 Doomben Cup. The slight query is the 1600m as he best distance in 2000m and Flemington might be her destination. That’s why Kaniana appeals. She faded slightly off an aggressive ride last time but gets back to the Valley where she seems best suited. Was excellent in a Stocks Stakes over this track and distance two back. Antelucan is in good nick and has a win coming soon, while Rocket Commander beat both Antelucan and Kaniana home last time

Betting Confidence: Lady Le Fey could prove too classy for these, but very confident that the $15 available around Kaniana will give you a great run for your money.

Race 6 PW Glass Fillies Classic – 1600m

Odds: (Sportsbet)

1st: 1. I am a Star ($2.50)

2nd: 2. La Luna Rossa ($9)

3rd: 3. Sezanne ($3.50)

4th: 6. Stop Making Sense ($15)

Betting: Punters snapped up the $3.50 about I Am A Star quickly and she shortened into $2.50. As a result there hasn’t been a great deal of additional movement, except Nurse Kitchen, who has been $26 into $19.

Summary: I Am A Star was terrific in the Thousand Guineas and should she take that form here, she will be winning this. La Luna Rossa was some five lengths behind her there, but should improve with another run under her belt. Sezanne‘s form in the Flight and the Tea Rose holds up well and she is the one who may take that next step here. She’s the danger horse. Ignore Stop Making Sense’s last run and on her run here too back, she looks a good each-way chance.

Betting Confidence: Medium confidence that I am A Star will have too much on these, but Sezanne is the query runner, given her good runs against the likes of Global Glamour in Sydney

Race 7 Schweppes Crystla Miles – 1600m

Odds: (Sportsbet)

1st: 1. The United States ($2.80)

2nd: 5. Royal Rapture ($5)

3rd: 7. Federal ($5)

4th: 2. He or She ($4.00)

Betting: The favourite The United States has been backed from $3.40 into $2.80, He Or She has been in from $4.60 to $4.00, while Federal has been $6.50 to $5.

Summary: Small but select field and this is a race which offers plenty on intrigue. The United States, who won the 2500m Cup on this day last year, may pack too much class. He has had 6-7 weeks between runs but that shouldn’t bother him and he gets off well at level weights. Royal Rapture has been in great form and while his picket-fence run ended in the Toorak, he didn’t have a great deal of luck there. Federal was very good at Flemington, while He or She looks better suited at this distance and in this class.

Betting Confidence: Highly confident that if The United States brings his A-game, he wins this. Royal Rapture does look good value given how good he has been this time in.

Race 8 Moonee Valley Gold Cup – 2500m

Odds: (Sportsbet)

1st: 1. Gallante ($3.80)

2nd: 6. Master Zephyr ($10)

3rd: 3. Who Shot Thebarman ($3.80)

4th: 4. Excess Knowledge ($4)

Betting: Gallante has been $4 into $3.8- to join Who Shot Thebarman as equal favourite. Second Wave has been $6 into $5.

Summary: Very even Moonee Valley Gold Cup. This race gave us the Melbourne Cup winner last year! Gallante’s form looks superior here. He won the Sydney Cup, then went for a spell before running second to Jameka, who as we know went on to win the Caulfield Cup. That’s super form and his stable have won three of the past ten editions of this race. Master Zephyr is ready to step up to this distance, where he has two wins over at this track. Who Shot Thebarman gets to a good race for him and his best is up to winning this. Excess Knowledge has been building to this race as well, but may be a run away, with the Melbourne Cup his ultimate aim.

Betting Confidence: The presence of the import Second Wave provides a slight concern, but have a strong confidence in Gallante in this. Very confident Master Zephyr is over the odds.

Race 9 – William Hill Cox Plate

Odds: (Sportsbet)

1st: 8. Winx ($1.80)

2nd: 3. Hartnell ($3.50)

3rd: 4. Hauraki ($19)

4th: 6. Vadamos ($17)

Betting: You could have got $2.25 about Winx on Monday but since the field and barriers were confirmed she has been solid at the $1.80 mark with big bets still coming. Hartnell has been $3.20 out to $3.50 as the punters look to have lost faith. Of the others, everything has pretty much drifted with the exception of Lucia Valentina, who has been $21 into $19.

Summary: This shapes as an epic Cox Plate and Winx has the chance to make her own history as a dual winner of this race. She’s too good to be true, having put together 12 straight wins over an 18-month period with only one of those coming by less than a length. It’s a pleasure to watch her continually beat her rivals with ease and she’ll repeat that here. Hartnell is in great nick and if this was at Flemington over 2000m, it’d be a different story. We may have to wait a couple of weeks for that clash, maybe. Hauraki is silly odds given his form this campaign. He got within 1.5 lengths on Winx three back and should be a clear third favourite. The French galloper Vadamos has the form and looks the part. He should prove to be competitive but is unlucky to be here in a year where there are two out and out stars.

Betting Confidence: You have to be confident in Winx, even at $1.8. She is such a powerful and impressive beast and it will be an honour to have a winning ticket with her name on it. Think Hauraki is great value and the one you should be playing quinellas and trifectas with.

Race 10 Lucrf Super Vase (2040m)

Odds: (Sportsbet)

1st: 2. Sacred Elixir ($5.50)

2nd: 10 Whispering Brook ($6)

3rd: 1. Prized Icon ($4.80)

4th: 7. Retaliation ($21)

Betting: Punters are yet to make a move in this race. Prized Icon has been steady at $4.80, and is slight favourite over Harlow Gold ($5), with Sacred Elixir ($5.50) and Whispering Brook ($6) a chance to challenge for favouritism on raceday.

Summary: Feels strange to finish off the day with this race, which has become a key lead-up race for the Derby in seven days’ time. Sacred Elixir looked one paced in the Guineas and the 2040m should suit him. He finished alongside Good Standing who won last week. Whispering Brook was very game in the Thousand Guineas and while this step up to distance doesn’t seem to suit, she could settle on the pace and give them something to chase. Prized icon looks every bit the stayer and will be coming home late, while similarly Retaliation looks a derby type and is great value.

Betting Confidence: Not the easiest ‘get out stakes’ there ‘s ever been but Sacred Elixir should stay the trip and is clear top pick. If you are looking for a last blast out, back Retaliation at around $21.


More News

See All News