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AFL Grand Final 2017: Adelaide v Richmond: Best Bets

Wed, Sep 27, 7:55am by Head Editor

Preview: AFL Grand Final

Adelaide Crows v Richmond Tigers

Date and Time: Saturday September 30, 2:30pm AEST

Venue: MCG

TV: Channel 7, Fox Footy

After 191 days and 206 matches, it all comes down to 120 minutes in the hunt for the holy grail. Preliminary Final weekend, just as we’ve seen in seven of the eight finals so far, produced two comfortable wins.

The Tigers were made to work for a half before they put the foot down and ran out six-goal winners over the Giants on Saturday, while Friday night’s Preliminary Final in Adelaide was all one-way traffic, with the Crows beating the Cats by 61 points.

Adelaide’s win has impressed punters, which has seen them installed as $1.72 favourites to take out their third Premiership, and their first since 1998, while the Tigers are out at $2.15 to break the fourth-longest current Premiership drought in the league, which sits at 37 years.

Dustin Martin in favoured to cap off an amazing week by adding the Norm Smith Medal to the Brownlow Medal he won on Monday night, at $4.75. The best backed Crow is Matt Crouch at $8.

The Minor Premier Adelaide side will rightly go in as favourites, but they finished just half a game clear of the third-placed Richmond outfit, who have the distinct advantage of being on their home ground for this one.

The Tigers have won 11 of 13 games at the home of football this season, including two finals, while the Crows have played at the colosseum of Australian sport just three times in 2017, for two wins and a draw.

That draw came against the Magpies in Round 19, and was the only time this season that they’ve not tasted success when they’ve scored over 100 points. They posted triple figures on 14 other occasions, which all resulted in victories.

These sides haven’t met at the MCG since way back in Round 12, 2013, when the Tigers claimed a 38-point win, but it was the Crows who were triumphant by a whopping 76 points in the only fixture this year, in Round Six. That loss was Richmond’s biggest of the season.

We are set for a brilliant decider, with the league’s best attack – Adelaide – who average 110 points per game, taking on the league’s third best defence, who conceded an average of 76 points per game, and have allowed a score of over 100 just twice, which is the least of any club.

The venue is set to be a big factor for this one, just as it has been in five of the last six Grand Finals involving a Victorian side against an interstate club, when the locals have come out on top.

Suggested Bet: Richmond to win: $2.15 

Sportsbet Markets

Head to Head

Adelaide $1.72

Richmond $2.15

Big Win Little Win

Adelaide 1-39 $2.30

Richmond 1-39 $2.70

Adelaide 40+ $5.00

Richmond 40+ $8.50

Draw $41.00


Adelaide (-5.5) $1.92

Richmond (+5.5) $1.92

Total Game Points – Over/Under

Over (172.5) $1.90

Under (172.5) $1.90

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