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Betting first sees two 0-5 teams go in favourites in Round Six

Mon, Apr 24, 1:13pm by Staff Writer

Looking at the AFL ladder, you’d be forgiven for thinking there had been a mistake made, and the ladder was upside down, given that three finalists from last season – the Swans, Hawks and Kangaroos – make up three of the bottom four positions.

Well, punters certainly think that the ladder doesn’t give you a fair indication of what’s transpired over the first five weeks, so much so that for the first time, both of the teams that are yet to salute this season – Sydney and North Melbourne – are set to go in as favourites in Round Six.

Despite losing by 42 points to their cross-town rivals on Saturday night, Sydney are $1.10 to finally get a win on the board when they face the Blues at the MCG on Saturday afternoon.

North Melbourne are also favoured ($1.55) to register their first four points of a campaign that’s been a heartbreaking one so far with losses of one point (Geelong in Round Two), three points (Western Bulldogs in Round Four) and five points (Fremantle in Round Five).

In the past ten years, there have been 14 teams that have been 0-5 and only one – North Melbourne in 2011 – has entered the following round as favourites. The Kangaroos were $1.45 to beat Port Adelaide, which they did, to the tune of 60 points – could this be an omen for North this week?

Interestingly, there is only one other club that has won in round six after losing their opening five games of the season, the Brisbane Lions. They did it in 2014 against St Kilda, and in 2015 against Carlton. They were underdogs on both occasions at $3.15 and $4 respectively.

At the other end of the table, if Richmond beat Melbourne on Monday night, they will be just the second side in the past decade to be undefeated after round five and enter round six as the underdog, when they meet the also undefeated Crows at the Adelaide Oval on Sunday.

The early market in the potential top of the table showdown has Adelaide at $1.18 with Richmond way out at $4.95 – this will obviously change depending on Monday night’s result.

Sportsbet Market

Round Six
Carlton $7 v Sydney $1.10

North Melbourne $1.57 v Gold Coast $2.42

Adelaide $1.18 v Richmond $4.95

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