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Sandown – Zipping Classic Day – Preview, Tips and Best Bets

Fri, Nov 11, 3:29pm by Senior Writer

Saturday’s Sandown meeting, featuring the Zipping Classic, is traditionally the end of the metropolitan Spring Carnival, with next week’s Ballarat Cup meeting officially rounding off festivities.

While it lacks the glamour, or the Group 1 racing, of the previous six weeks, it is traditionally a day where punters are rewarded for their patience with a few winners.

The reason is simple. The majority of horses have exposed form over the carnival which makes it a lot easier to assess form.

This year we have ten races for some reason – but we punters can just take that as an extra opportunity to back a winner.

The Zipping Classic, named after the legend who won the then Sandown Classic on four occasions, features a small field but plenty of interest with five of the eight runners coming back from the Melbourne Cup.

Who Shot Thebarman, Almoonqith, Secret Number, Beautiful Romance and Big Orange all line up with Who Shot Thebarman the ruling favourite.

WATCH: Our Preview of Zipping Classic Day

Our best of the day is actually Big Orange in this. We feel the step back to the 2400m at Sandown will be ideal for this guy, who has sat on pace in the past two Melbourne Cups.

Our Best Value comes up in Race 9, the Eclipse Stakes, where Jacquinot Bay is a $10 shot despite being competitive in Group 1 company earlier this campaign.

Here’s our preview for Sandown’s big day.

Race 1 Merson Cooper Stakes – 1000m

Tips: (Odds: Sportsbet)

1st: 1. Mikuni ($9)

2nd: 10. Arctic Angel ($12)

3rd: 4. Vinland ($6)

4th: 8. Malzoom ($6.50)

Betting: Money has come for the first starter Vinland, who has been $9 into $6 and the first starter Kedleston who has been $8.50 to $5.50.

Summary: Only four of the 14 acceptors have had a start, so makes it a difficult race to read. Mikuni comes into this off a good second at Morphettville having done plenty wrong. Should improve greatly into this. Arctic Angel ran fourth to a couple of smart ones on Cup day and will be winning a race soon. Vinland has been well backed and is from a very much in-form yarn. It’s a similar story for Malzoom.

Betting Confidence: Not a lot of confidence here. Will watch the market, but both Mikuni and Arctic Angel look good value.

Race 2 Sandown Stakes – 1500m

Tips: (Odds: Sportsbet)

1st: 2. Royal Rapture ($5.50)

2nd: 1. Stratum Star ($5.50)

3rd: 4. Redkirk Warrior ($2.40)

4th: 5 Sovereign Nation ($3.80)

Betting: Not a great deal of change in the early market in a small field. Redkirk Warrior remains $2.40 favourite, while all his major rivals seem to be drifting.

Summary: A good little race this, with six of the seven horses a chance to win. Royal Rapture has been good to us this campaign. The last run was a bit disappointing, but drops back in class and looks well suited. It’s a similar story for Stratum Star, who at his best would demolish these, but hasn’t won in over 12 months. Should improve again fourth-up. Redkirk Warrior’s first run in Australia was excellent, although this looks tougher, while Sovereign Nation has been in good form without winning.

Betting Confidence: Royal Rapture looks nice odds again and has made a habit of winning. Should be in the finish again.

Race 3 – Sandown Cup – 3200m

Tips: (Odds: Sportsbet)

1st: 1. Qewy ($2)

2nd: 3. De Little Engine ($4.20)

3rd: 4. Swacadelic ($9)

4th: 8. Four Carat ($13)

Betting: Qewy has had plenty of love, being backed from $2.15 into $2. The rest of the market is largely unchanged.

Summary: This isn’t much of a race and Qewy, who won the Geelong Cup, and was fourth in Melbourne Cup, should only have to show up to win this. He is classes above. De Little Engine is a clear second pick on his two good runs at the Flemington carnival. Swacadelic was very unlucky over 2800m on Cup day and looks to be on the improve, while Four Carat was also very good in the same race.

Betting Confidence: The even money about Qewy looks good on pure form alone. The only concern is whether he backs up from his excellent Cup run.

Race 4 Doveton Stakes – 1000m

Tips: (Odds: Sportsbet)

1st: 6. O’Malley ($3.60)

2nd: 8. Jungle Edge ($9)

3rd: 7. Bullpit ($7)

4th: 11. Brockhoff ($5.50)

Betting: O’Malley has been $4 into $3.60, Brockhoff $6.50 into $5.50 and Bullpit $15 into $7.

Summary: Even little sprint race but fancy O’Malley is back to his best off a big Valley win. He is a Sandown winner and has a class edge on most of these. Jungle Edge is a great front runner and is there any finer sight than The Gauch out in front? Expect him to be tough to run down. Bullpit comes back in class and does like Sandown, while Brockhoff should improve second-up.

Betting Confidence: High confidence in O’Malley here. Should have too much of a powerful finish for these.

Race 5 Twilight Glow Stakes – 1400m

Tips: (Odds: Sportsbet)

1st: 2. Hear The Chant ($14)

2nd: 5. Prompt Response ($3)

3rd: 1. Sword of Light ($18)

4th: 6. Quick Feet ($8.50)

Betting: Not a great deal of movement in this market, with longer-priced runners Hear The Chant ($16 into $14) and Sword of Light ($31 into $18) backed at odds.

Summary: This is a closer race than the market would indicate and we think Hear the Chant can bounce back and win here at nice odds. Did not like the Flemington straight but has won at Sandown before and if she can find her form of two starts back, should be winning. Prompt Response is the obvious favourite and has been very consistent, although had its chance to win last time. Sword of Light ran a great race at Flemington and at her best is right in this, while Quick Feet would have benefited greatly from the run at HQ, having had a six weeks between runs before that.

Betting Confidence: Highly confident that Hear The Chant is well above the odds here.

Race 6 Sandown Guineas – 1600m

Tips: (Odds: Sportsbet)

1st: 1. Morton’s Fork ($2.05)

2nd: 8. Jennifer Lynn ($3.90)

3rd: 2. Benz ($9)

4th: 3. Ruthven ($11)

Betting: The only move of note saw Morton’s Fork move from $2.15 into $2 before drifting slightly to $2.05.

Summary: Morton’s Fork is simply busting for a win and was just edged out by a future star in the Carbine Club last start. That’s good form for this. Jennifer Lynn is on quite a little winning streak and Weir horses tend to keep on winning. However, she does rise in class here and will need to be at her best. Benz was a very good winner at MV three back and wasn’t far away last week. He looks nice odds as does Ruthven, who won a good form race at Geelong last time.

Betting Confidence: This looks a race is two, but confident Morton’s Fork’s formline is stronger than Jennifer Lynn and he deserves to be such a short price.

 

Race 7 Zipping Classic – 2400m

Tips: (Odds: Sportsbet)

1st: 2. Big Orange ($4.60)

2nd: 1. Who Shot Thebarman ($3.20)

3rd: 7. Beautiful Romance ($6.50)

4th: 4. Secret Number ($12)

Betting: As Who Shot Thebarman has drifted ($2.90 out to $3.20), the money has come for Big Orange ($5 into $4.60) and So Si Bon ($5 into $4.80).

Summary: Small but select field and plenty of intrigue, with so many of these backing up from the Melbourne Cup. Not sure a 3200m big field handicap is the best guide to a 2400m weight for age race with eight runners. That’s why I think Big Orange has such an edge on these. His best European form is superior to all of these and should he be allowed to roll along as he likes in front, he will prove tough to run down, Who Shot Thebarman’s Cup run was great, but he may get too far off the pace. Beautiful Romance was a nice Cup run and her best Euro form is not far off Big Orange, while Secret Number will much prefer the 2400m.

Betting Confidence: Confident that if the best of Big Orange turns up here, he trounces these.

Race 8 Kevin Heffernan Stakes – 1300m

Tips: (Odds: Sportsbet)

1st: 4. Illustrious Lad ($4.60)

2nd: 7. Faatinah ($7.50)

3rd: 2. Under The Louvre ($3.90)

4th: 1 Lucky Hussler ($5)

Betting: Super Cash has been the one which has been backed, with the mare coming in from $9 into $7.50. Illustrious Lad has been $4.80 into $4.60 and We’ve Got this was as long as $26, but is now $19.

Summary: Illustrious Lad has been in great form this campaign and arguably should be unbeaten. If he produces his Derby day run here, he gets the chocolates. Faatinah has been very good his last two but has found one better on two occasions. He’ll be in the finish again. Under The Louvre drops back in class and will be coming home….again. Not sure he’s come back in as strong this campaign. Lucky Hussler, similarly, gets back to a winnable race on level weights. Would win this at his best.

Betting Confidence: This is a really even race, but confidence in current form over old form means that the money will be going on Illustrious Lad.

Race 9 Eclipse Stakes – 1800m

Tips: (Odds: Sportsbet)

1st: 3. Jacquinot Bay ($10)

2nd: 2. Turnitaround ($11)

3rd: 1. Lidari ($6.50)

4th: 8. Tucanchoo ($6.50)

Betting: Not a lot of early movement here, with Cool Chap firming slight from $4.80 into $4.60, while Tucanchoo has been $6.50 into $6.

Summary: Feel there is a wealth of value in this race. Jacquinot Bay’s form this campaign has been excellent. He wasn’t far off in top company a few times before simply drawing off the track over 1800m on Cup Day. Better barrier and Craig Williams aboard is a big help. Turnitaround was enormous two runs back and then suffered a similar fate to Jacquinot Bay in the 1800m Cup day race. Won at this track and distance in June. Lidari will benefit from a more aggressive ride this time, while Tucanchoo was a good second behind a smart one at Flemington.

Betting Confidence: Very confident there’s a heap of value here, with the top two selections. Jacquinot Bay is clearly the best each-way play of the day.

Race 10 Summoned Stakes – 1500m

Tips: (Odds: Sportsbet)

1st: 12. Shillelagh ($4)

2nd: 2. Silent Sedition ($4.60)

3rd: 9. Extensible ($4.60)

4th: 5. Kimberley Star ($16)

Betting: Some money for Shillelagh ($4.60 into $4) and Silent Sedition ($4.80 into $4.60) at the expense of Extensible ($4 out to $4.60)

Summary: Bookies have this pegged as a race in three and it’s hard to say I disagree. Shillelagh was a big run at Flemington, thanks to a gun ride from Joao Moreira. She’s drawn wide but that will likely suit her riding style and she has Oliver this time around. Silent Sedition was just behind her last start and has come back in good order. Also drawn wide and meets Shillelagh a 0.5kg worse off. The Sydney form of Extensible looks strong and she is capable of causing an upset, while Kimberley Star is overs having done a bit wrong last time. Her prior form was very good.

Betting Confidence: Tough race to finish off, and not convinced there’s a lot of value in this outside of Kimberley Star, who may be worth an each way bet.


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